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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 68 23 91
2 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 68 33 101
3 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 50 56 106
4 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 72 44 116
5 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 62 88 150
6 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 45 113 158
7 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 89 71 160
8 Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Vaqueros 52 116 168
9 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 104 86 190
10 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 83 127 210
11 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 104 110 214
12 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 125 102 227
13 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 74 163 237
14 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 109 130 239
15 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 169 79 248
16 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 147 117 264
17 Banana Slug's Banana Slug's Banana Slug's 159 MRP 161 MRP 320 MRP
18 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 175 166 341
19 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 185 196 381
20 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 191 203 394
21 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 216 181 397
22 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 211 216 427
23 Sun Devils Sun Devils Sun Devils 246 MRP 226 MRP 472 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5 6 3 6 1 2 6 2 5 9 45 Stephen Long '17
Bailey Clark '19
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 8 4 10 2 11 3 3 5 3 1 50 Johannes Mcelvain '18
Kian Patrick '20
Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Vaqueros 1 7 2 1 7 7 1 1 1 DNS 52 Silas Barton '18
Sydney Jones '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 6 3 4 5 9 5 7 6 9 8 62 Ben Brough '19
Helen Payne '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 9 2 8 9 6 4 11 9 4 6 68 Peter Wong '18
Mackenzie Freeman '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 11 1 15 8 10 6 4 4 6 3 68 Grace Yakutis '20
Melissa Schem '18
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 7 5 12 7 5 12 9 3 8 4 72 Nestor Cano Sostre '20
Lauren Block '17
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 14 16 1 4 2 1 14 15 2 5 74 Robbie Culkin '19 [1-2]
Brandon Kirby '20 [3-10]
Jackson O'Reilly '18 [1-2]
Robbie Culkin '19 [3-10]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 12 12 5 10 3 9 5 10 7 10 83 Alex Demmler '19 [1-10]
Kaela Riha '19 [1-4, 7-10]
Shyon Seyed-Emami '18 [5-6]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 10 9 13 4 10 10 7 12 12 89 Nathaniel Gordon '20 [1-2]
Connor Hughes '19 [3-10]
Cora Knauss '18 [1-2]
Audrey Jacobs '18 [3-10]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 4 8 18 14 16 11 13 8 10 2 104 Will Paulsen '19 [1-4, 9-10]
Aaron Kiyotoki '19 [5-8]
Natalie Millstein '18 [1-4, 9-10]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 10 14 11 3 13 14 2 16 14 7 104 Andrew Solomon '18
Olivia Macdonald '19
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 3 11 6 15 14 8 17 13 11 11 109 Brian Maclean '18
Christian Parizea '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 13 15 16 12 8 15 8 12 13 13 125 Abraham Dearden '20
Georgia Potter '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 15 17 14 11 19 16 12 14 15 14 147 Samuel Rohrbach '17
Christopher Steefel '18
Banana Slug's Banana Slug's Banana Slug's 17 13 7 16 12 13 16 11 19 15 159 MRP
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 18 19 13 17 15 17 19 18 16 17 169 Laura Roudebush '18
Grace Phillips '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 19 9 19 18 20 18 15 19 20 18 175 Natalie Hopper '19
Laura Furtado '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 16 20 17 19 17 19 20 17 21 19 185 Hallie Muller '20
Charles Villalpando '18
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 21 18 20 21 18 20 18 21 18 16 191 Newt Cutcliffe '17
Gillian Dean '19
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 20 21 21 20 21 21 22 22 22 21 211 Andrew Clements '17
Jasiri Carmichael '20
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 23 23 23 DNF 23 22 21 20 17 20 216 Sebastian Guerra '20
Jesus Viramontes '19
Sun Devils Sun Devils Sun Devils 22 22 22 DNF 22 23 23 23 23 22 246 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 3 5 1 3 3 3 1 1 1 2 23 Paul Chyz '18
Hope Modugno '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 4 2 7 5 2 1 2 3 3 4 33 Christina Gasparich '19
Lorea Mendiguren '20
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 5 6 2 1 6 5 7 5 2 5 44 Cassie Obel '19
Olivia Gugliemini '19
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 6 10 3 2 5 9 3 10 7 1 56 Nolan Van Dine '20
Kyle Hunt '19
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 13 7 18 4 4 7 5 2 5 6 71 Hayden Potter '20 [1-2]
Erik Skeel '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Karl Skeel '20 [5-6, 9-10]
Shaan Shridhar '19 [1-2]
Veronica Owen '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Cassidy Lynch '17 [5-6, 9-10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 7 4 4 8 10 12 4 9 13 8 79 Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19
Mingyi Chen '20
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 8 3 8 14 15 8 6 6 9 9 86 Cole Fargo '18
Gina Canzona '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 10 12 9 6 16 2 9 7 10 7 88 Joseph Lausten '18
James Kerman '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 1 11 19 15 12 6 13 8 14 3 102 Leah Ford '19
Kylie Sullivan '17
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 12 16 12 13 8 16 12 4 4 13 110 Lauren Lopez '20
Sabrina Moreno '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 9 14 10 12 7 11 15 17 6 12 113 Maxwell Mckinney '19
Pyper Atkin '20
Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Vaqueros 2 1 5 7 1 4 DNS DNS DNS DNS 116 Kate Madigan '20
Theodore Bascom '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 17 8 15 11 9 10 10 11 16 10 117 Erika Barth '16
Jake Adams '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 14 13 13 9 13 15 8 18 8 16 127 Julia Jaynes '19 [1-10]
Annie Thompson '19 [1-6]
Shyon Seyed-Emami '18 [7-10]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 15 9 11 16 18 13 11 12 11 14 130 Philip Tagatac '17
Jesse Campbell '19
Banana Slug's Banana Slug's Banana Slug's 16 18 6 10 11 17 16 13 15 19 161 MRP
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 11 15 14 19 22 21 18 14 12 17 163 Peter Collins '20
William Pollard '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 19 19 16 18 17 20 14 15 17 11 166 Grant Lin '17
Young Jeong '19
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 DNS 17 17 20 14 14 22 20 18 15 181 John Lisenby '17
Valentina Avincola '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 18 20 20 17 21 19 17 21 22 21 196 Arjun Boddu '18
Kristopher Wong '18
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 20 22 21 21 19 18 19 22 21 20 203 Adam Wild '18
Emilia Cloutman '20
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 21 21 22 23 DNF DNS 20 19 20 22 216 Madison Guynn '18
Jowelle Long '18
Sun Devils Sun Devils Sun Devils 22 23 23 22 20 22 21 16 19 18 226 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.280+0.28
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (19 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Sun DevilsSun Devils Sun Devils40404040404040404040
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears23232323232323232323
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers1111111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang4444444444
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins9999999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 171717171717171717171
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 27777777777
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs41414141414141414141
Santa Barbara City CollegeSanta Barbara City College Vaqueros32323232323232323232
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos19191919191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 137373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 238383838383838383838
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 3138138138138138138138138138138
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal21212121212121212121
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters25252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 128282828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 227272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3128128128128128128128128128128
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 129292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 230303030303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos31313131313131313131
Banana Slug'sBanana Slug's Banana Slug's33333333333333333333
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies81818181818181818181

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Sun DevilsSun Devils Sun Devils40404040404040404040
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears23232323232323232323
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers1111111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang4444444444
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins9999999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 171717171717171717171
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 27777777777
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs41414141414141414141
Santa Barbara City CollegeSanta Barbara City College Vaqueros32323232323232323232
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos19191919191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 137373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 238383838383838383838
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 3138138138138138138138138138138
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal21212121212121212121
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters25252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 128282828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 227272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3128128128128128128128128128128
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 129292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 230303030303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos31313131313131313131
Banana Slug'sBanana Slug's Banana Slug's33333333333333333333
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies81818181818181818181
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Ben Brough '19 Helen Payne '19
Mustang Joseph Lausten '18 James Kerman '17
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Johannes Mcelvain '18 Kian Patrick '20
Keelhaulers Nolan Van Dine '20 Kyle Hunt '19
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Andrew Clements '17 Jasiri Carmichael '20
Dolphins Madison Guynn '18 Jowelle Long '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Sebastian Guerra '20 Jesus Viramontes '19
49ers 1 John Lisenby '17 Valentina Avincola '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Alex Demmler '19 [1-10] Kaela Riha '19 [1-4, 7-10]
Shyon Seyed-Emami '18 [5-6]
49ers 2 Julia Jaynes '19 [1-10] Annie Thompson '19 [1-6]
Shyon Seyed-Emami '18 [7-10]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Newt Cutcliffe '17 Gillian Dean '19
Aztecs Adam Wild '18 Emilia Cloutman '20
Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Silas Barton '18 Sydney Jones '18
Vaqueros Kate Madigan '20 Theodore Bascom '20
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Robbie Culkin '19 [1-2]
Brandon Kirby '20 [3-10]		 Jackson O'Reilly '18 [1-2]
Robbie Culkin '19 [3-10]
Broncos Peter Collins '20 William Pollard '18
Stanford University Stanford University Nestor Cano Sostre '20 Lauren Block '17
Cardinal Cassie Obel '19 Olivia Gugliemini '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Andrew Solomon '18 Olivia Macdonald '19
Bears Cole Fargo '18 Gina Canzona '19
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Brian Maclean '18 Christian Parizea '18
Anteaters Philip Tagatac '17 Jesse Campbell '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Abraham Dearden '20 Georgia Potter '18
Bruins 1 Leah Ford '19 Kylie Sullivan '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Laura Roudebush '18 Grace Phillips '18
Bruins 2 Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19 Mingyi Chen '20
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Hallie Muller '20 Charles Villalpando '18
Bruins 3 Arjun Boddu '18 Kristopher Wong '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Samuel Rohrbach '17 Christopher Steefel '18
Tritons 1 Erika Barth '16 Jake Adams '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Natalie Hopper '19 Laura Furtado '18
Tritons 2 Grant Lin '17 Young Jeong '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Stephen Long '17 Bailey Clark '19
Gauchos Maxwell Mckinney '19 Pyper Atkin '20
University of Southern California University of Southern California Peter Wong '18 Mackenzie Freeman '18
Trojans 1 Paul Chyz '18 Hope Modugno '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Grace Yakutis '20 Melissa Schem '18
Trojans 2 Christina Gasparich '19 Lorea Mendiguren '20
University of Southern California University of Southern California Will Paulsen '19 [1-4, 9-10]
Aaron Kiyotoki '19 [5-8]		 Natalie Millstein '18 [1-4, 9-10]
Trojans 3 Lauren Lopez '20 Sabrina Moreno '19
University of Washington University of Washington Nathaniel Gordon '20 [1-2]
Connor Hughes '19 [3-10]		 Cora Knauss '18 [1-2]
Audrey Jacobs '18 [3-10]
Huskies Hayden Potter '20 [1-2]
Erik Skeel '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Karl Skeel '20 [5-6, 9-10]		 Shaan Shridhar '19 [1-2]
Veronica Owen '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Cassidy Lynch '17 [5-6, 9-10]

Conditions — 03/25/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1018.4 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.5 kn
avg  ·  max 9.9 kn
Gusts to 19.0 kn
From W (262°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover58% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1018.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 11 kn · S 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Southern Cal: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.24 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southern Cal by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Southern Cal, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →