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Stoney Burke JV Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 14 10 24
2 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 19 14 33
3 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 16 17 33
4 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 31 12 43
5 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 31 37 68
6 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5 33 35 68
7 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 38 31 69
8 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 56 19 75
9 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA Sailing 1 66 24 90
10 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 51 42 93
11 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA Sailing 2 76 31 107
12 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 51 67 118
13 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 76 63 139
14 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 85 55 140
15 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 102 40 142
16 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 94 58 152
17 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 93 61 154
18 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 95 68 163
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 3 4 2 2 2 1 14 Christopher Weis '18
Danielle Erjavec '17
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 5 3 1 1 3 3 16 Sterling Henken '18
Amelia Anderson '18
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 2 5 6 3 1 2 19 Stephen Katz '16
Aiyana Rettinghouse '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 6 8 6 6 4 31 Sunny Scarbrough '17
Nicholas Santos '15
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 7 1 4 4 9 6 31 Cobi Allen '16
Rory Mcclish '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5 4 8 5 5 4 7 33 Tristram Craig '18
Daniel Pekin '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 6 2 7 10 5 8 38 Neil Stapleton '18
Alexander Burrow '18
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 9 9 9 11 8 5 51 Brian Maclean '18
Dominic Brack '16
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 12 7 3 7 10 12 51 Joshua Leung '18
Ishita Singh '17
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 8 11 10 9 7 11 56 Ryan Hopps '18
Joseph Monhollon '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA Sailing 1 13 10 13 8 12 10 66 Saul Rosen '15 [1-6]
Jacob Basinger '18 [1-4]
Chun Ting Justin Lai '16 [5-6]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 11 14 11 12 15 13 76 Lucas Murray '15
Hayley Palmer '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA Sailing 2 DNF 12 12 13 11 9 76 Greg Martin '15 [1-4]
Cole Fargo '18 [5-6]
Zachary Brown '17 [1-4]
Hani Azam '17 [5-6]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 10 15 14 15 13 18 85 Annarose Leff '18
Alexander Brocchini '17
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 16 18 15 16 14 14 93 Russell Sutter '16
James Greisen '16
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 17 16 16 14 16 15 94 Max Nutkiewicz '15
Marina Lindsay '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 14 13 17 17 17 17 95 Dylan Rinker '16 [1-6]
Kathryn Eberle '17 [1-4]
Patrick Soper '18 [5-6]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 15 17 18 18 18 16 102 Sarah Macpherson '18 [1-4]
Erin Kelly '17 [5-6]
Bleiz Larzul '18 [1-2]
Alex Frei '18 [3-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 3 1 2 4 10 Gregory Coumes '17
Claire Stivers '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 4 3 3 2 12 Lucas Ryder '16
Elizabeth Long '18
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 1 4 1 8 14 Michael Magnussen '18
Jonathan Beardon '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 2 2 12 1 17 Remy Margerum '17
Kevin Leddy '17
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 5 6 5 3 19 Andrew Gunnell '17
Seamus Dougherty '16
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA Sailing 1 6 7 4 7 24 Eric Witte '17
Robert Mcroskey '15
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 8 11 7 5 31 Anthony Helm '15
Olivia Montiano '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA Sailing 2 9 10 6 6 31 William Brown '17
Nathan Guiles '16
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5 12 5 9 9 35 Hayden Christensen '17
Shannie Kuo '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 7 9 10 11 37 Tyler Caroe '15
Brooke Scholl '16
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 11 8 11 10 40 John Beutter '17
Kylie Sullivan '17
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 10 12 8 12 42 James Heller '15
Mykha Pham '16
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 14 13 15 13 55 Ry Ulmer-Strack '18
Conrad Esch '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 15 15 13 15 58 Cullen Quine '18
Noor El-Farra '16
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 17 16 14 14 61 Joseph Albertine '15
Erik Vigeland '14
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 13 14 18 18 63 Alana Mcsween '17
Alex Bush '15
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 16 17 17 17 67 Juan Kara '15
Cynthia Shyvers '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 18 18 16 16 68 Matthew Susank '15 [1-4]
Zachary Simon '18 [1-2]
James Kerman '17 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA Sailing 1123123123123123123
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA Sailing 2777777
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2105105105105105105
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers888888
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 1171717171717
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 2471471471471471471
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters262626262626
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1271271271271271271
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2281281281281281281
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1130130130130130130
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3323232323232
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4131131131131131131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5132132132132132132
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's343434343434

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA Sailing 1123123123123
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA Sailing 27777
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2105105105105
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers8888
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 117171717
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 2471471471471
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters26262626
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1271271271271
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2281281281281
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1130130130130
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 231313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 332323232
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4131131131131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5132132132132
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's34343434
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Dylan Rinker '16 [1-6] Kathryn Eberle '17 [1-4]
Patrick Soper '18 [5-6]
Mustang Matthew Susank '15 [1-4] Zachary Simon '18 [1-2]
James Kerman '17 [3-4]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Ryan Hopps '18 Joseph Monhollon '18
Keelhaulers 1 Andrew Gunnell '17 Seamus Dougherty '16
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Stephen Katz '16 Aiyana Rettinghouse '18
Keelhaulers 2 Michael Magnussen '18 Jonathan Beardon '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Sunny Scarbrough '17 Nicholas Santos '15
49ers Tyler Caroe '15 Brooke Scholl '16
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Saul Rosen '15 [1-6] Jacob Basinger '18 [1-4]
Chun Ting Justin Lai '16 [5-6]
CALIFORNIA Sailing 1 Eric Witte '17 Robert Mcroskey '15
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Greg Martin '15 [1-4]
Cole Fargo '18 [5-6]		 Zachary Brown '17 [1-4]
Hani Azam '17 [5-6]
CALIFORNIA Sailing 2 William Brown '17 Nathan Guiles '16
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Lucas Murray '15 Hayley Palmer '17
Aggies 1 Alana Mcsween '17 Alex Bush '15
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Joshua Leung '18 Ishita Singh '17
Aggies 2 Juan Kara '15 Cynthia Shyvers '17
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Brian Maclean '18 Dominic Brack '16
Anteaters James Heller '15 Mykha Pham '16
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Max Nutkiewicz '15 Marina Lindsay '17
Bruins 1 Cullen Quine '18 Noor El-Farra '16
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Sarah Macpherson '18 [1-4]
Erin Kelly '17 [5-6]		 Bleiz Larzul '18 [1-2]
Alex Frei '18 [3-6]
Bruins 2 John Beutter '17 Kylie Sullivan '17
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Christopher Weis '18 Danielle Erjavec '17
Gauchos 1 Gregory Coumes '17 Claire Stivers '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Sterling Henken '18 Amelia Anderson '18
Gauchos 2 Remy Margerum '17 Kevin Leddy '17
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Cobi Allen '16 Rory Mcclish '18
Gauchos 3 Lucas Ryder '16 Elizabeth Long '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Neil Stapleton '18 Alexander Burrow '18
Gauchos 4 Anthony Helm '15 Olivia Montiano '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Tristram Craig '18 Daniel Pekin '18
Gauchos 5 Hayden Christensen '17 Shannie Kuo '18
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Annarose Leff '18 Alexander Brocchini '17
Banana Slug's Ry Ulmer-Strack '18 Conrad Esch '17
University of Oregon University of Oregon Russell Sutter '16 James Greisen '16
Ducks Joseph Albertine '15 Erik Vigeland '14

Conditions — 10/18/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1013.5 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.3 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From SW (223°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover5% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1013.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn · W 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Berkeley: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.08 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Berkeley by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Berkeley).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →