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St. Francis Interconference

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 29 21 50
2 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 63 23 86
3 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 33 54 87
4 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 57 40 97
5 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 52 48 100
6 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 70 54 124
7 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 72 56 128
8 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 72 57 129
9 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 44 94 138
10 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 33 112 145
11 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 70 77 147
12 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 86 94 180
13 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 112 70 182
14 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 100 101 201
15 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 123 79 202
16 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 136 88 224
17 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 116 114 230
18 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 98 136 234
19 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 121 147 268
20 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 156 119 275
21 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 117 165 282
22 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 166 131 297
23 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 152 MRP 147 MRP 299 MRP
24 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 163 167 330
25 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 181 MRP 159 MRP 340 MRP
26 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 151 196 347
27 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 196 170 366
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 7 7 1 1 9 2 2 29 Chuck Eaton '17 [1-7]
Cuylar Zimmerman '19 [1-4]
Patrick Manuel '16 [5-7]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 2 3 2 2 11 9 4 33 Gregory Dair '15
Dylan Lincoln '15
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 4 5 3 2 7 9 33 Scott Buckstaff '17
Elena Vandenberg '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 5 5 3 9 10 6 6 44 Simone Staff '18
Marina Fennell '17
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 1 4 DNF 12 3 3 52 Mark Ryan '15
Nicholas Santos '15
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 8 11 7 RDG 7 5 10 57 Matthew Hecht '16
Hope Modugno '18
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 10 9 6 DNF 8 1 1 63 Ryan Hopps '18 [1-7]
Elisabeth Mckee '17 [1-2]
Stephen Katz '16 [3-7]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 6 8 16 8 1 24 7 70 Antonio Rojas Mayol '16
Daniel Baldassare '15
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 16 13 12 5 4 8 12 70 Nicholas Weis '15
Daniel Diaz '15
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 4 2 15 15 5 23 8 72 Dylan Ale '15
Jeff Barone '17
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 12 6 DNS 4 13 4 5 72 Kristopher Swanson '18
Grant Rickon '16
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 9 17 19 13 3 14 11 86 Stephen Moran '16
Gretchen Rude '17
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 11 15 17 6 6 15 DNS 98 Kris Thompson '16 [1-7]
Cassidy Lynch '17 [1-4]
Johanna Mannisto '18 [5-7]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 18 12 11 12 14 17 16 100 Henry Keenan '18
Cole Fargo '18
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 13 18 18 7 23 13 20 112 Andrew Wilkinson '18 [1-7]
Kyle Peterzã©N '16 [1-2, 5-7]
Madison Thompson '16 [3-4]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 19 19 14 14 20 12 18 116 Alex Verdoia '15
Altea Hines '16
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 20 16 10 DNF 18 10 15 117 Eliza Pearce '15
Laura Trent '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons DNS 14 21 10 15 20 13 121 Nicolas Delfino '16
Cheyenne Wright '16
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 15 20 13 DNF 22 11 14 123 David Cornella '17
Kathryn Cornella '16
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 14 10 DNS DNF 16 21 19 136 Kendall Sanson '15
Melissa Schem '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 21 22 9 DNF 24 26 21 151 Kyra Oakes '18
Ekaterina Goncharova '18
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 23 21 8 11 25 22 22 152 MRP Gabe Hill '16
Luca Becker '15
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 24 24 20 DNF 19 18 23 156 Alexander Judd '16
Hunter Ledonne '15
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 25 23 22 DNF 21 19 25 163 Gabriel Monti '15
Kieran Hashmi '17
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 17 25 DNF DNF 26 25 17 166 Olivia Gibbons '17 [1-7]
Lauren Orloff '16 [1-2, 5-7]
Levi Matsushima '17 [3-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 22 26 DNF DNF 17 16 24 181 MRP Jasmine Gerraty '17
Haley Bolin '17
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 DNS DNS DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS 196 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 1 10 3 1 2 2 21 Giacomo Paoletti '15 [1-7]
Mackenzie Cook '17 [1-2]
Katrina Berry '15 [3-7]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 4 12 2 2 1 1 23 Corey Lynch '17 [1-7]
Eileen Welch '15 [1-2]
Elisabeth Mckee '17 [3-4]
Jackson Pentith '17 [5-7]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 3 5 6 13 6 4 3 40 Peter Wong '18
Hollis Barth '16
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 4 2 1 1 23 12 5 48 Tyler Webb '15
Sunny Scarbrough '17
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 5 9 2 12 9 8 9 54 Samuel Heller '15
Brian Maclean '18
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 19 3 7 11 5 3 6 54 Will La Dow '18
Amelia Hardy '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 8 8 3 9 19 5 4 56 Cobi Allen '16
Danielle Erjavec '17
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 11 11 5 10 3 9 8 57 Francesca Cappellini '16
William Pollard '18
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 6 13 11 16 7 7 10 70 Cody Odou '17 [1-7]
Aike Burger '16 [1-2, 5-7]
Alexander Muschler '16 [3-4]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 13 15 9 6 4 RDG 19 77 William Emberley '16 [1-7]
Natasha Jarett '14 [1-2]
Lucas Murray '15 [3-7]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 15 19 4 5 11 13 12 79 Grace Carrick '18 [1-4]
Joseph Lausten '18 [5-7]
Geoffrey Brelsford '18 [1-2]
Haley Weber '18 [3-7]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 10 6 25 8 12 14 13 88 Olivia Gebelein '15 [1-7]
Nicole Bosetti '15 [1-2]
Mackenzie Freeman '18 [3-7]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 7 10 14 21 25 10 7 94 Olivia Godfrey '17
Ellen Gable '17
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 18 14 15 4 14 15 14 94 Ryan Fritsen '14
Janika Jordan '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 9 7 13 22 OCS 6 16 101 Saul Rosen '15
Lauren Rehbein '16
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 14 DNS 8 7 21 19 15 112 Jeffrey Tedmori '15
Bianca Barnes '15
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 12 12 18 23 10 OCS 11 114 Ian Spilman '15
Emma Shaw '14
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 17 18 17 20 8 18 21 119 William Cragin '15
Brinley Kranz '16
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 16 20 20 18 24 11 22 131 Peter Schmidt '18
Kylee Walterman '17
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 22 17 22 14 13 DNS 20 136 Kate Flanagan '17 [1-7]
Audrey Jacobs '18 [1-2]
Ezra Boyer '18 [3-7]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 21 DNS 21 24 18 17 18 147 Brett Farrell '17
No Show
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 25 21 16 15 17 16 17 147 MRP Benjamin Kaas '17
Ryan Van Slyck '17
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 20 16 19 17 22 22 23 159 MRP Elsa Balton '17
Emily Levalley '16
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 24 DNS 23 26 16 23 25 165 Alexa Swartz '17
Sarah Raulston '16
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 23 DNS 24 25 15 OCS 24 167 Max Nutkiewicz '15 [1-4]
Cullen Quine '18 [5-7]
Bleiz Larzul '18 [1-4]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 DNS DNS 26 19 20 21 DNF 170 Levi Matsushima '17
Hannah Aisawa '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNF DNS DNF 196 Janice Wondolleck '15
Nathan Guiles '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (35 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 123232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 224242424242424
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers1111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang3333333
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins9999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers7777777
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows35353535353535
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 111111111111111
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 2117117117117117117117
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 173737373737373
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 274747474747474
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers75757575757575
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos19191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 137373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 238383838383838
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal122122122122122122122
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns5555555
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies47474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters25252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins27272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons30303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 131313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 232323232323232
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's59595959595959
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies81818181818181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 187878787878787
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 288888888888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 123232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 224242424242424
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers1111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang3333333
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins9999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers7777777
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows35353535353535
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 111111111111111
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 2117117117117117117117
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 173737373737373
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 274747474747474
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers75757575757575
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos19191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 137373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 238383838383838
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal122122122122122122122
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns5555555
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies47474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters25252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins27272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons30303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 131313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 232323232323232
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's59595959595959
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies81818181818181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 187878787878787
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 288888888888888
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. David Cornella '17 Kathryn Cornella '16
Mustang Grace Carrick '18 [1-4]
Joseph Lausten '18 [5-7]		 Geoffrey Brelsford '18 [1-2]
Haley Weber '18 [3-7]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Ryan Hopps '18 [1-7] Elisabeth Mckee '17 [1-2]
Stephen Katz '16 [3-7]
Keelhaulers Corey Lynch '17 [1-7] Eileen Welch '15 [1-2]
Elisabeth Mckee '17 [3-4]
Jackson Pentith '17 [5-7]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Gregory Dair '15 Dylan Lincoln '15
Dolphins Jeffrey Tedmori '15 Bianca Barnes '15
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Mark Ryan '15 Nicholas Santos '15
49ers Tyler Webb '15 Sunny Scarbrough '17
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Olivia Gibbons '17 [1-7] Lauren Orloff '16 [1-2, 5-7]
Levi Matsushima '17 [3-4]
Otters 1 Peter Schmidt '18 Kylee Walterman '17
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay No Show No Show
Otters 2 Levi Matsushima '17 Hannah Aisawa '17
Oregon State University Oregon State University Andrew Wilkinson '18 [1-7] Kyle Peterzã©N '16 [1-2, 5-7]
Madison Thompson '16 [3-4]
Beavers Cody Odou '17 [1-7] Aike Burger '16 [1-2, 5-7]
Alexander Muschler '16 [3-4]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Dylan Ale '15 Jeff Barone '17
Broncos Francesca Cappellini '16 William Pollard '18
Stanford University Stanford University Scott Buckstaff '17 Elena Vandenberg '18
Cardinal Will La Dow '18 Amelia Hardy '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Henry Keenan '18 Cole Fargo '18
Bears 1 Saul Rosen '15 Lauren Rehbein '16
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Kyra Oakes '18 Ekaterina Goncharova '18
Bears 2 Janice Wondolleck '15 Nathan Guiles '16
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Antonio Rojas Mayol '16 Daniel Baldassare '15
Aggies William Emberley '16 [1-7] Natasha Jarett '14 [1-2]
Lucas Murray '15 [3-7]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Nicholas Weis '15 Daniel Diaz '15
Anteaters Samuel Heller '15 Brian Maclean '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Gabriel Monti '15 Kieran Hashmi '17
Bruins Max Nutkiewicz '15 [1-4]
Cullen Quine '18 [5-7]		 Bleiz Larzul '18 [1-4]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Nicolas Delfino '16 Cheyenne Wright '16
Tritons Brett Farrell '17 No Show
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Kristopher Swanson '18 Grant Rickon '16
Gauchos 1 Cobi Allen '16 Danielle Erjavec '17
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Simone Staff '18 Marina Fennell '17
Gauchos 2 Olivia Godfrey '17 Ellen Gable '17
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Alex Verdoia '15 Altea Hines '16
Banana Slug's Ian Spilman '15 Emma Shaw '14
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Chuck Eaton '17 [1-7] Cuylar Zimmerman '19 [1-4]
Patrick Manuel '16 [5-7]
Rainbows Giacomo Paoletti '15 [1-7] Mackenzie Cook '17 [1-2]
Katrina Berry '15 [3-7]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Stephen Moran '16 Gretchen Rude '17
Ducks 1 Ryan Fritsen '14 Janika Jordan '17
University of Oregon University of Oregon Eliza Pearce '15 Laura Trent '17
Ducks 2 Alexa Swartz '17 Sarah Raulston '16
University of Southern California University of Southern California Matthew Hecht '16 Hope Modugno '18
Trojans 1 Peter Wong '18 Hollis Barth '16
University of Southern California University of Southern California Kendall Sanson '15 Melissa Schem '18
Trojans 2 Olivia Gebelein '15 [1-7] Nicole Bosetti '15 [1-2]
Mackenzie Freeman '18 [3-7]
University of Texas University of Texas Alexander Judd '16 Hunter Ledonne '15
Longhorns William Cragin '15 Brinley Kranz '16
University of Washington University of Washington Kris Thompson '16 [1-7] Cassidy Lynch '17 [1-4]
Johanna Mannisto '18 [5-7]
Huskies Kate Flanagan '17 [1-7] Audrey Jacobs '18 [1-2]
Ezra Boyer '18 [3-7]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Gabe Hill '16 Luca Becker '15
Vikings 1 Benjamin Kaas '17 Ryan Van Slyck '17
Western Washington University Western Washington University Jasmine Gerraty '17 Haley Bolin '17
Vikings 2 Elsa Balton '17 Emily Levalley '16

Conditions — 04/04/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1017.9 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.0 kn
avg  ·  max 10.2 kn
Gusts to 27.0 kn
From WNW (283°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover44% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1017.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 11 kn · W 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Stanford: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.21 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stanford by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (48 labelled days at Stanford).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →