Navigate

2015 Women's PCC's

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 4 61 61
2 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 65 65
3 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 75 75
4 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 77 77
5 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 84 84
6 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 110 110
7 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 125 125
8 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 142 142
9 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 144 144
10 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 152 152
11 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 156 156
12 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 159 159
13 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 165 165
14 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 202 202
15 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 208 208
16 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 2 212 MRP 212 MRP
17 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 253 253
18 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 255 255
19 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 3 296 296
20 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 1 299 MRP 299 MRP
21 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 299 299
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 4 6 3 1 1 3 5 1 1 1 4 1 14 8 1 11 61 Maria El-Khazindar '19
Sarah Lucas '18
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 3 4 5 3 5 7 4 7 3 11 2 1 2 4 4 65 Martina Sly '19
Maggie Schult '19
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 14 2 3 9 2 3 3 4 2 2 4 6 7 7 7 75 Cassie Obel '19
Lauren Block '17
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 7 5 10 4 6 6 6 3 11 1 3 3 3 8 1 77 Olivia Godfrey '17
Claire Hunt '19
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 10 11 9 2 1 2 2 2 5 10 8 13 1 2 6 84 Elena Vandenberg '18
Meg Gerli '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 11 1 6 10 4 1 5 5 15 8 16 16 6 3 3 110 Kyra Oakes '18
Ekaterina Goncharova '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 5 7 2 5 8 4 DNF 10 12 5 7 10 4 15 8 125 Ginger Luckey '16 [1-15]
Ellen Gable '17 [1-6, 9-15]
Marissa Rajczi '19 [7-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 1 8 13 11 14 10 7 8 10 9 13 11 12 5 10 142 Grace Carrick '18
Kathryn Cornella '16
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 17 10 7 6 11 8 8 15 13 3 6 2 10 12 16 144 Elizabeth Hansen '19 [1-7]
Jennifer Hays '17 [8-15]
Katie Hitchcock '16 [1-7]
Lauren Rehbein '16 [8-15]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 4 6 11 12 7 14 15 9 6 16 11 15 15 9 2 152 Elizabeth Hays '17
Laura Roudebush '18
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 2 9 8 8 17 15 12 12 14 6 15 5 13 11 9 156 Louise Currie '18
Taylor Morgan '16
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 9 16 19 15 9 9 9 13 9 7 9 8 9 6 12 159 Christina Gasparich '19 [1-15]
Hope Modugno '18 [1-2, 9-15]
Mackenzie Freeman '18 [3-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 18 17 4 7 15 11 10 17 7 14 10 4 5 13 13 165 Leah Ford '19
Kylie Sullivan '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 12 13 15 14 16 12 14 6 16 17 12 7 19 14 15 202 Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker '19
Haley Weber '18
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 16 19 14 17 10 13 11 14 8 15 17 19 11 10 14 208 Annie Johnson '18
Jazlyner Rojas '17
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 2 8 12 17 18 12 DSQ DNF 11 4 13 5 9 14 18 5 212 MRP Melissa Shadden '17
Claire Capeloto '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 15 14 20 19 18 16 16 18 17 19 18 12 17 16 18 253 Belle Lemoine '19
Sophie Ellison '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 20 18 18 16 19 17 17 19 18 12 14 17 16 17 17 255 Melissa Schem '18 [1-15]
Natalie Millstein '18 [1-8]
Mackenzie Freeman '18 [9-15]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 3 21 21 21 20 21 18 18 20 19 20 20 18 20 20 19 296 Francesca Cappellini '16 [1-8]
Jazlyner Rojas '17 [9-15]
No Show [1-10, 15]
Elizabeth Keenan '17 [11-12]
Sydney Munson '18 [13-14]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 1 13 15 12 13 13 RAF 13 16 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 299 MRP Francesca Dana '18 [1-15]
Ciara Murphy '19 [1-8]
Alexandra Cotroneo '17 [9-15]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 19 20 16 21 20 DNF DNS DNS 20 18 19 20 18 19 20 299 Sarah Macpherson '18
Susan Bean '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (35 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 188992121101011111212131314
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 29921211010111112121313141415
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1112233191944556620
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 22233191944556620207
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 33319194455662020778
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 1161622221717181811223319
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 222221717181811223319194
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos 11919445566202077889
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos 2445566202077889921
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos 3212110101111121213131414151516
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 1171718181122331919445
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 21818112233191944556
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 155662020778899212110
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 26620207788992121101011
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 3202077889921211010111112
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 4778899212110101111121213
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1101011111212131314141515161622
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2111112121313141415151616222217
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3121213131414151516162222171718
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 113131414151516162222171718181
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2141415151616222217171818112
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 Grace Carrick '18 Kathryn Cornella '16
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker '19 Haley Weber '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 Belle Lemoine '19 Sophie Ellison '19
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 1 Francesca Dana '18 [1-15] Ciara Murphy '19 [1-8]
Alexandra Cotroneo '17 [9-15]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 2 Melissa Shadden '17 Claire Capeloto '19
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 3 Francesca Cappellini '16 [1-8]
Jazlyner Rojas '17 [9-15]		 No Show [1-10, 15]
Elizabeth Keenan '17 [11-12]
Sydney Munson '18 [13-14]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 Elena Vandenberg '18 Meg Gerli '19
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 Martina Sly '19 Maggie Schult '19
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 Cassie Obel '19 Lauren Block '17
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 4 Maria El-Khazindar '19 Sarah Lucas '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 Kyra Oakes '18 Ekaterina Goncharova '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 Elizabeth Hansen '19 [1-7]
Jennifer Hays '17 [8-15]		 Katie Hitchcock '16 [1-7]
Lauren Rehbein '16 [8-15]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 Elizabeth Hays '17 Laura Roudebush '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 Leah Ford '19 Kylie Sullivan '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 Sarah Macpherson '18 Susan Bean '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 Ginger Luckey '16 [1-15] Ellen Gable '17 [1-6, 9-15]
Marissa Rajczi '19 [7-8]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 Olivia Godfrey '17 Claire Hunt '19
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 Louise Currie '18 Taylor Morgan '16
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 Annie Johnson '18 Jazlyner Rojas '17
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 Christina Gasparich '19 [1-15] Hope Modugno '18 [1-2, 9-15]
Mackenzie Freeman '18 [3-8]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 Melissa Schem '18 [1-15] Natalie Millstein '18 [1-8]
Mackenzie Freeman '18 [9-15]

Conditions — 10/31/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1018.4 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.6 kn
avg  ·  max 5.3 kn
Gusts to 13.0 kn
From WSW (252°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover22% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1018.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn* · NW 11 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Stanford: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stanford by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (48 labelled days at Stanford).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →