Hewitt Trophy

HostDartmouth
Date10/01/2016
TypeNOT ALLOWED In-Conference
BoatFJ
Scoring3 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	C	TOT
1	Yale University	Bulldogs	58	44	59	161
2	Dartmouth College	Big Green	92	70	43	205
3	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears	55	78	87	220
4	Tufts University	Jumbos	61	64	96	221
5	Boston College	Eagles	93	69	66	228
6	Boston University	Terriers	108	59	85	252
7	Bowdoin College	Polar Bears	104	93	66	263
8	Harvard University	Crimson	94	80	110	284
9	University of Vermont	Catamounts	55	105	141	301
10	University of Rhode Island	Rams	86	125	98	309
11	Roger Williams University	Hawks	98	137	113	348
12	Northeastern University	Huskies	100	123	133	356
13	Massachusetts Maritime Academy	Buccaneers	146	117	94	357
14	McGill University	Redbirds	161	133	101	395
15	Salve Regina University	Seahawks	130	143	149	422

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	TOT	Sailors
University of Vermont	Catamounts	1	5	4	4	6	3	12	2	1	11	4	2	55	William Crary '17 Sydney Connor '18
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears	7	1	8	2	1	1	3	7	14	2	1	8	55	Dana Rohde '18 Sarah Smith '20
Yale University	Bulldogs	DSQ	4	5	3	3	2	1	6	3	5	6	4	58	Nicolas Hernandez '19 Caroline Colwell '18
Tufts University	Jumbos	4	2	7	10	4	4	11	3	2	1	10	3	61	Alexander Tong '17 Lara Dienemann '18
University of Rhode Island	Rams	13	11	3	6	9	11	6	8	8	3	7	1	86	Brendan Read '19 Lauren Richards '19
Dartmouth College	Big Green	2	7	1	15	8	5	4	9	10	13	5	13	92	Erik Weis '18 Alyssa Berger '19
Boston College	Eagles	5	10	6	8	11	10	10	10	7	7	3	6	93	Allyson Donahue '17 Alice Bohan '18
Harvard University	Crimson	3	3	13	7	15	7	2	12	5	8	8	11	94	Nick Digiovanni '19 Julia Lord '17
Roger Williams University	Hawks	9	8	9	12	7	8	7	4	9	4	11	10	98	Conner Harding '19 Beatrice Bellacosa '17
Northeastern University	Huskies	10	6	11	14	5	9	8	11	11	6	2	7	100	Jackson Hamilton '19 Jacqueline Berlin '19
Bowdoin College	Polar Bears	8	14	2	11	14	6	9	1	6	15	9	9	104	William Hawk '18 Louisa Lindgren '19
Boston University	Terriers	12	9	10	1	2	12	5	5	13	12	13	14	108	Robby Gearon '19 Danielle Stonely '17
Salve Regina University	Seahawks	11	13	12	13	10	13	14	14	4	9	12	5	130	Sean Beaulieu '18 Jennifer Ryan '19
Massachusetts Maritime Academy	Buccaneers	6	12	15	9	12	14	13	13	12	10	15	15	146	Kyle Brego '17 Maya Stephani '20
McGill University	Redbirds	14	15	14	5	13	15	15	15	15	14	14	12	161	Markus Suorsa '17 Alexa Ripple '20

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	TOT	Sailors
Yale University	Bulldogs	4	1	3	4	2	1	11	2	1	3	3	9	44	Joseph Kiss '17 Clara Robertson '17
Boston University	Terriers	12	12	5	2	3	4	2	4	4	2	1	8	59	Josh Dochoda '20 Charles Honke '20
Tufts University	Jumbos	1	3	2	7	10	2	7	3	3	10	4	12	64	Jack Bitney '19 Natalie Danziger '17
Boston College	Eagles	3	2	4	3	4	10	4	1	9	1	15	13	69	Wade Waddell '19 Emma Perry '19
Dartmouth College	Big Green	5	8	8	1	7	3	8	6	7	7	5	5	70	Nathaniel Johansson '18 [1-12] Madeleine Walker '18 [1-6] Audrey Bransfield '19 [7-12]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears	6	10	1	15	8	7	1	7	6	5	10	2	78	Mack Fox '20 Emily Wright '20
Harvard University	Crimson	9	4	6	9	5	5	5	10	12	9	2	4	80	Taylor Ladd '18 Kirstin Anderson '18
Bowdoin College	Polar Bears	2	5	11	5	6	9	9	8	8	4	12	14	93	Matthew Lyons '17 Marie Bergsund '20
University of Vermont	Catamounts	13	6	15	14	9	8	10	5	2	8	9	6	105	Jan Kite-Powell '19 Haley Mcmahon '18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy	Buccaneers	11	13	10	12	14	14	3	11	11	11	6	1	117	Jeffrey Adam '18 [1-12] Megan Laurie '20 [1-10] Catherine Haines '19 [11-12]
Northeastern University	Huskies	15	9	12	6	12	15	6	13	15	6	7	7	123	Chris Colbeth '20 Coleen Ross '20
University of Rhode Island	Rams	8	7	13	11	15	6	14	9	5	13	14	10	125	Patrick Penwell '17 Sarah Morin '18
McGill University	Redbirds	10	15	9	10	11	12	13	12	13	12	13	3	133	Julien Brunet '20 Antoine Pacarar '18
Roger Williams University	Hawks	7	11	14	8	13	11	12	15	10	14	11	11	137	James Kennedy '17 Hallie Repeta '19
Salve Regina University	Seahawks	14	14	7	13	1	13	15	14	14	15	8	15	143	Jennifer Killian '19 Madeline Lark '20

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	TOT	Sailors
Dartmouth College	Big Green	1	1	1	1	12	3	2	5	3	10	3	1	43	Jack Mcgraw '20 Mia Steck '17
Yale University	Bulldogs	10	8	9	2	3	1	5	3	7	3	6	2	59	Malcolm Lamphere '18 Amelia Dobronyi '17
Bowdoin College	Polar Bears	5	2	5	9	7	7	3	9	5	6	1	7	66	Chester Jacobs '17 Isabelle Austin-Green '19
Boston College	Eagles	7	7	11	3	1	2	1	6	15	2	5	6	66	Peter Lynn '19 Katharine Bowman '20
Boston University	Terriers	4	9	7	4	10	9	6	1	13	12	7	3	85	Michael Sabourin '20 Avery Sly '20
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears	12	12	2	10	2	8	4	4	1	11	12	9	87	Paul Didham '20 Miyako Miller '20
Massachusetts Maritime Academy	Buccaneers	3	10	13	8	8	13	11	10	2	9	2	5	94	Alexander Bowen '20 [1-12] Catherine Haines '19 [1-4, 9-10] Sergio Gratta '18 [5-8, 11-12]
Tufts University	Jumbos	11	4	4	6	5	6	15	15	6	4	8	12	96	Jackson Mccoy '19 Chloe Amouyal '20
University of Rhode Island	Rams	2	5	3	5	6	11	7	11	9	14	15	10	98	Peter Girard '18 Ryan Geib '19
McGill University	Redbirds	DSQ	11	14	13	9	5	12	8	4	1	4	4	101	Gã¶Rkem Yalã§Ä±Nã¶Z '20 Kevin Wilkinson '17
Harvard University	Crimson	6	3	8	14	14	12	10	2	12	5	11	13	110	Dylan Farrell '18 Pryiscilla Russo '17
Roger Williams University	Hawks	8	6	15	7	4	10	14	14	11	7	9	8	113	Ed Lebens '19 Brigette Croke '17
Northeastern University	Huskies	9	15	6	15	11	15	8	13	8	8	14	11	133	Matteo Alampi '17 Julianne Mozzer '21
University of Vermont	Catamounts	14	13	12	11	15	4	13	12	10	13	10	14	141	Charles Hicks '20 Amanda Engeman '20
Salve Regina University	Seahawks	13	14	10	12	13	14	9	7	14	15	13	15	149	Bayard Lalor '19 Mary Grace Bean '18

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.090+0.09

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A	11A	12A
Boston College Eagles	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6
Boston University Terriers	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7
Bowdoin College Polar Bears	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8
U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears	12	12	13	13	14	14	15	15	1	1	2	2
Dartmouth College Big Green	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9
Harvard University Crimson	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10	11	11
McGill University Redbirds	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10	11	11	12	12
Northeastern University Huskies	8	8	9	9	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13
University of Rhode Island Rams	13	13	14	14	15	15	1	1	2	2	3	3
Roger Williams University Hawks	9	9	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14
Salve Regina University Seahawks	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14	15	15
Tufts University Jumbos	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14	15	15	1	1
University of Vermont Catamounts	14	14	15	15	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4
Yale University Bulldogs	15	15	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B	11B	12B
Boston College Eagles	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6
Boston University Terriers	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7
Bowdoin College Polar Bears	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8
U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears	12	12	13	13	14	14	15	15	1	1	2	2
Dartmouth College Big Green	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9
Harvard University Crimson	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10	11	11
McGill University Redbirds	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10	11	11	12	12
Northeastern University Huskies	8	8	9	9	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13
University of Rhode Island Rams	13	13	14	14	15	15	1	1	2	2	3	3
Roger Williams University Hawks	9	9	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14
Salve Regina University Seahawks	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14	15	15
Tufts University Jumbos	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14	15	15	1	1
University of Vermont Catamounts	14	14	15	15	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4
Yale University Bulldogs	15	15	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5

Division C

Team	1C	2C	3C	4C	5C	6C	7C	8C	9C	10C	11C	12C
Boston College Eagles	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6
Boston University Terriers	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7
Bowdoin College Polar Bears	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8
U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears	12	12	13	13	14	14	15	15	1	1	2	2
Dartmouth College Big Green	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9
Harvard University Crimson	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10	11	11
McGill University Redbirds	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10	11	11	12	12
Northeastern University Huskies	8	8	9	9	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13
University of Rhode Island Rams	13	13	14	14	15	15	1	1	2	2	3	3
Roger Williams University Hawks	9	9	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14
Salve Regina University Seahawks	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14	15	15
Tufts University Jumbos	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14	15	15	1	1
University of Vermont Catamounts	14	14	15	15	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4
Yale University Bulldogs	15	15	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Boston College	Allyson Donahue '17	Alice Bohan '18
Eagles	Wade Waddell '19	Emma Perry '19
	Peter Lynn '19	Katharine Bowman '20
Boston University	Robby Gearon '19	Danielle Stonely '17
Terriers	Josh Dochoda '20	Charles Honke '20
	Michael Sabourin '20	Avery Sly '20
Bowdoin College	William Hawk '18	Louisa Lindgren '19
Polar Bears	Matthew Lyons '17	Marie Bergsund '20
	Chester Jacobs '17	Isabelle Austin-Green '19
Dartmouth College	Erik Weis '18	Alyssa Berger '19
Big Green	Nathaniel Johansson '18 [1-12]	Madeleine Walker '18 [1-6] Audrey Bransfield '19 [7-12]
	Jack Mcgraw '20	Mia Steck '17
Harvard University	Nick Digiovanni '19	Julia Lord '17
Crimson	Taylor Ladd '18	Kirstin Anderson '18
	Dylan Farrell '18	Pryiscilla Russo '17
Massachusetts Maritime Academy	Kyle Brego '17	Maya Stephani '20
Buccaneers	Jeffrey Adam '18 [1-12]	Megan Laurie '20 [1-10] Catherine Haines '19 [11-12]
	Alexander Bowen '20 [1-12]	Catherine Haines '19 [1-4, 9-10] Sergio Gratta '18 [5-8, 11-12]
McGill University	Markus Suorsa '17	Alexa Ripple '20
Redbirds	Julien Brunet '20	Antoine Pacarar '18
	Gã¶Rkem Yalã§Ä±Nã¶Z '20	Kevin Wilkinson '17
Northeastern University	Jackson Hamilton '19	Jacqueline Berlin '19
Huskies	Chris Colbeth '20	Coleen Ross '20
	Matteo Alampi '17	Julianne Mozzer '21
Roger Williams University	Conner Harding '19	Beatrice Bellacosa '17
Hawks	James Kennedy '17	Hallie Repeta '19
	Ed Lebens '19	Brigette Croke '17
Salve Regina University	Sean Beaulieu '18	Jennifer Ryan '19
Seahawks	Jennifer Killian '19	Madeline Lark '20
	Bayard Lalor '19	Mary Grace Bean '18
Tufts University	Alexander Tong '17	Lara Dienemann '18
Jumbos	Jack Bitney '19	Natalie Danziger '17
	Jackson Mccoy '19	Chloe Amouyal '20
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Dana Rohde '18	Sarah Smith '20
Bears	Mack Fox '20	Emily Wright '20
	Paul Didham '20	Miyako Miller '20
University of Rhode Island	Brendan Read '19	Lauren Richards '19
Rams	Patrick Penwell '17	Sarah Morin '18
	Peter Girard '18	Ryan Geib '19
University of Vermont	William Crary '17	Sydney Connor '18
Catamounts	Jan Kite-Powell '19	Haley Mcmahon '18
	Charles Hicks '20	Amanda Engeman '20
Yale University	Nicolas Hernandez '19	Caroline Colwell '18
Bulldogs	Joseph Kiss '17	Clara Robertson '17
	Malcolm Lamphere '18	Amelia Dobronyi '17

Conditions — 10/01/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast

Humidity 93% · Pressure 1022.9 hPa

Temperature

61°F

↑ 63°F ↓ 59°F

Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

10.0 kn

avg · max 10.7 kn

Gusts to 22.2 kn

From NE (37°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity93% Pressure1022.9 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 4 kn · SE 6 kn (scorer’s report)

In this breeze at Dartmouth: a typical day (−0.01)

Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.

Fleet adjustment −0.14 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.15

Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Dartmouth by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (34 labelled days at Dartmouth).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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