Dartmouth College '19
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 16.94 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.084 rating points from 187 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.46 | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 61–35 (64%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 | 3 | — | 24–10 |
| Spring 2018 | 2 | — | 17–12 |
| Spring 2017 | 1 | — | 9–5 |
| Spring 2016 | 1 | — | 11–8 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 7 graded regattas (96 matches) the record is 61–35 against 60.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.0). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-04-13 | Women's Team Race National Invitational | crew | 2.79 | 2.80 | 14–5 | 14.0 | +0.01 | 0.0 | 62% |
| 2019-03-30 | Jumbo Team Race | crew | 3.48 | 3.36 | 5–2 | 5.1 | −0.12 | 0.0 | 74% |
| 2019-03-24 | Eagle Team Race | crew | 3.44 | 3.79 | 5–3 | 4.5 | +0.35 | 0.1 | 51% |
| 2018-04-28 | Women's National Team Race Invitational | crew | 2.36 | 1.93 | 8–8 | 9.6 | −0.43 | 0.5 | 87% |
| 2018-03-24 | Joseph R. Duplin Women's Team Race | crew | 2.14 | 2.80 | 9–4 | 7.4 | +0.66 | 0.7 | 25% |
| 2017-03-25 | Duplin Women's Team Race | crew | 2.79 | 3.19 | 9–5 | 7.9 | +0.41 | 0.3 | 37% |
| 2016-03-26 | Admiral Moore Team Race | crew | 2.86 | 2.73 | 11–8 | 11.5 | −0.13 | 0.0 | 70% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Team Race National Invitational Women's | Crew | TR | 19 | 74% | — |
| Jumbo Team Race | Crew | TR | 7 | 71% | — |
| Eagle Team Race | Crew | TR | 10 | 70% | — |
| Admiral's Cup | Crew | B | 8 | 5.8 | — |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Women's | Crew | A | 6 | 9.3 | — |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Crew | B | 6 | 2.2 | — |
| The Hatch Brown Memorial Trophy | Crew | C | 3 | 1.7 | — |
| Danmark Trophy | Crew | A | 5 | 9.2 | — |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's National Team Race Invitational Women's | Crew | TR | 16 | 50% | — |
| Wick/Shrew Women's | Crew | B | 9 | 9.3 | — |
| Joseph R. Duplin Women's Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 13 | 69% | — |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 17 | 13.9 | — |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Hewitt Trophy | Crew | C | 5 | 7.0 | — |
| Central Series | Crew | A | 8 | 5.2 | — |
| Amanda Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 6 | 5.2 | — |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Thompson Trophy | Crew | B | 13 | 9.5 | — |
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Crew | A | 3 | 8.3 | — |
| Sperry College Sailing Women's Nationals Women's | Crew | A | 6 | 7.8 | — |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 10 | 9.9 | — |
| Duplin Women's Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 14 | 64% | — |
| Charleston Women's Women's | Crew | B | 4 | 7.5 | — |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Stu Nelson Women's | Crew | A | 4 | 12.5 | — |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Crew | B | 16 | 6.9 | — |
| David Lee Arnoff | Crew | B | 11 | 3.7 | — |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Mosbacher, Owen, Knapp Trophies | Crew | B | 14 | 8.8 | — |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Crew | TR | 19 | 58% | — |
| 81st Boston Dinghy Challenge Cup | Crew | C | 9 | 8.2 | — |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Oberg Trophy | Crew | C | 7 | 2.9 | — |
| Hewitt Trophy | Crew | A | 11 | 10.8 | — |
| David Lee Arnoff Trophy | Crew | A | 6 | 5.5 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
