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Danmark Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 17 46 63
2 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 32 36 68
3 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 47 31 78
4 Boston College Boston College Eagles 47 36 83
5 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 34 51 85
6 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 40 47 87
7 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 46 42 88
8 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 34 54 88
9 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 62 26 88
10 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 37 57 94
11 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 66 28 94
12 Boston University Boston University Terriers 40 68 108
13 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 44 65 109
14 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 66 47 113
15 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 66 51 117
16 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 62 71 133
17 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 71 64 135
18 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 94 53 147
19 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 62 86 148
20 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 84 93 177
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 9 2 1 3 17 Wiley Rogers '22
Victoria Thompson '21
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 3 7 4 9 9 32 Nicholas Baird '19
Sonia Lingos-Utley '22
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 2 12 13 6 34 Mack Fox '20
Christina Nothacker '21
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 8 11 5 8 2 34 Matthew Kaplan '19
Julia Adams '21
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 13 3 14 3 4 37 Jack Brown '21
Mary Morano '21
Boston University Boston University Terriers 9 4 3 12 12 40 Robby Gearon '19
Lexi Pline '19
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 12 6 8 4 10 40 Trevor Long '19
Julia Cho '20
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 6 14 1 18 5 44 Charles Miller '19
Lindsey Kloc '19
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 4 12 6 16 8 46 Cole Harris '22
Lisa Genthner '19
Boston College Boston College Eagles 7 8 11 7 14 47 Sophia Reineke '21
Tara Ferraris '19
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 14 10 10 2 11 47 Carter Pemberton '20 [1-4]
Cj Mckenna '23 [5]
Elizabeth Davis '21 [1-4]
Katherine (Katie) Rodger '20 [5]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 5 5 17 17 18 62 Dakota Northrup '19 [1-4]
Michael O'Flaherty '21 [5]
Caroline Rocchio '20 [1-4]
Maguire Bennett '21 [5]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 18 1 20 10 13 62 Henry Burnes '22
Catherine Tang '19
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 19 17 13 6 7 62 Matt Cappetta '19 [1-5]
Cortney Rielly '20 [1-4]
William Dumke '20 [5]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 10 19 9 11 17 66 Spencer Cartwright '22
Rachel Holick '22
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 11 18 16 5 16 66 Lucas Pierce '21
Samantha Obel '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 15 15 15 20 1 66 Cameron Holley '19
Ian Morgan '19
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 17 13 7 19 15 71 Lewis Cooper '21
Lydia Mcpherson-Shambarger '19
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 16 16 18 15 19 84 Mark Davies '20 [1-5]
Neha Pashankar '21 [1-4]
Madison Shirey '19 [5]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 20 20 19 14 DSQ 94 Derek Poon Tip '19
Mercedes Mcphee '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 7 5 2 8 4 26 Nicholas Karnovsky '19
Jessica Williams '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 6 7 3 11 28 Jackson Mccoy '19
Emma Clutterbuck '20
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 5 13 6 2 5 31 Thomas Whittemore '23 [1-5]
Walter Henry '23 [1-2]
Erin Smith '19 [3]
Elizabeth Davis '21 [4-5]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 2 12 16 4 2 36 Shawn Harvey '22 [1-5]
Claudia Loiacono '21 [1-3]
Anisha Arcot '23 [4-5]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 3 11 1 7 14 36 Thomas Walden '20
Caroline Downey '19
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 4 3 9 18 8 42 Max Clapp '21
Madeleine Sharp '22
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 9 8 14 6 9 46 Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo '22
Sammy Pickell '22
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 6 1 10 10 20 47 Ivan Shestopalov '21
Sameena Shaffeeullah '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 18 14 4 1 10 47 David Eastwood '22
Claire Hunt '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 8 7 17 13 6 51 Andrew Widmeier '20
Brian Nelson '21
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 16 17 12 5 1 51 Ian Moran '22
Emily Gildea '21
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 15 10 3 12 13 53 Matt Logue '22
Michael Houllahan '20
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 19 15 8 9 3 54 Christian Filter '20
Louisa Lindgren '19
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 11 9 11 11 15 57 Ryan Ratliffe '21
Hannah Kinder '21
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 12 19 5 16 12 64 Liam Mccarthy '19
Kaisey Mccallion '19
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 14 16 13 15 7 65 Kyle Easton '20
Anna Flaherty '20
Boston University Boston University Terriers 13 4 18 17 16 68 Josh Dochoda '20 [1-4]
Casey Cabot '21 [5]
Charles Honke '20 [1-4]
Shannon Macdonald '21 [5]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 17 2 DSQ 14 17 71 Brad Seferian '19 [1-5]
William Dumke '20 [1-3]
Cortney Rielly '20 [4-5]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 10 18 19 20 19 86 Christopher Pearson '20 [1-4]
Aidan Naughton '22 [5]
Ryan Geib '19 [1-4]
Kevin Stamp '22 [5]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats DNF 20 15 19 18 93 Ryder Easterlin '20
Mitchell Moore '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11223
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers221120
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears33445
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars44332
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1717181819
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels55667
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green66554
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams77889
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials88776
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson99101011
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen1010998
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers1111121213
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats1212111110
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams191920201
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1313141415
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1414131312
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1515161617
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1616151514
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos1818171716
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs2020191918

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11223
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers221120
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears33445
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars44332
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1717181819
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels55667
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green66554
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams77889
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials88776
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson99101011
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen1010998
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers1111121213
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats1212111110
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams191920201
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1313141415
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1414131312
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1515161617
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1616151514
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos1818171716
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs2020191918
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Sophia Reineke '21 Tara Ferraris '19
Eagles Thomas Walden '20 Caroline Downey '19
Boston University Boston University Robby Gearon '19 Lexi Pline '19
Terriers Josh Dochoda '20 [1-4]
Casey Cabot '21 [5]		 Charles Honke '20 [1-4]
Shannon Macdonald '21 [5]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Matthew Kaplan '19 Julia Adams '21
Polar Bears Christian Filter '20 Louisa Lindgren '19
College of Charleston College of Charleston Jack Brown '21 Mary Morano '21
Cougars Ryan Ratliffe '21 Hannah Kinder '21
Connecticut College Connecticut College Carter Pemberton '20 [1-4]
Cj Mckenna '23 [5]		 Elizabeth Davis '21 [1-4]
Katherine (Katie) Rodger '20 [5]
Camels Thomas Whittemore '23 [1-5] Walter Henry '23 [1-2]
Erin Smith '19 [3]
Elizabeth Davis '21 [4-5]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Cole Harris '22 Lisa Genthner '19
Big Green Max Clapp '21 Madeleine Sharp '22
Fordham University Fordham University Matt Cappetta '19 [1-5] Cortney Rielly '20 [1-4]
William Dumke '20 [5]
Rams Brad Seferian '19 [1-5] William Dumke '20 [1-3]
Cortney Rielly '20 [4-5]
George Washington University George Washington University Derek Poon Tip '19 Mercedes Mcphee '19
Colonials Matt Logue '22 Michael Houllahan '20
Harvard University Harvard University Henry Burnes '22 Catherine Tang '19
Crimson Nicholas Karnovsky '19 Jessica Williams '20
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Charles Miller '19 Lindsey Kloc '19
Statesmen Kyle Easton '20 Anna Flaherty '20
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Trevor Long '19 Julia Cho '20
Engineers Ivan Shestopalov '21 Sameena Shaffeeullah '19
Northwestern University Northwestern University Mark Davies '20 [1-5] Neha Pashankar '21 [1-4]
Madison Shirey '19 [5]
Wildcats Ryder Easterlin '20 Mitchell Moore '21
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Spencer Cartwright '22 Rachel Holick '22
Hawks Ian Moran '22 Emily Gildea '21
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Lewis Cooper '21 Lydia Mcpherson-Shambarger '19
Seahawks Liam Mccarthy '19 Kaisey Mccallion '19
Stanford University Stanford University Wiley Rogers '22 Victoria Thompson '21
Cardinal Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo '22 Sammy Pickell '22
Tufts University Tufts University Cameron Holley '19 Ian Morgan '19
Jumbos Jackson Mccoy '19 Emma Clutterbuck '20
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Mack Fox '20 Christina Nothacker '21
Bears Andrew Widmeier '20 Brian Nelson '21
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Lucas Pierce '21 Samantha Obel '21
Gauchos David Eastwood '22 Claire Hunt '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Dakota Northrup '19 [1-4]
Michael O'Flaherty '21 [5]		 Caroline Rocchio '20 [1-4]
Maguire Bennett '21 [5]
Rams Christopher Pearson '20 [1-4]
Aidan Naughton '22 [5]		 Ryan Geib '19 [1-4]
Kevin Stamp '22 [5]
Yale University Yale University Nicholas Baird '19 Sonia Lingos-Utley '22
Bulldogs Shawn Harvey '22 [1-5] Claudia Loiacono '21 [1-3]
Anisha Arcot '23 [4-5]

Conditions — 09/29/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1021.2 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 5.7 kn
Gusts to 14.4 kn
From WNW (290°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover22% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1021.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn · W 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Coast Guard: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.22 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.34
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Coast Guard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (57 labelled days at Coast Guard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →