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Yale Women's Backup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 79 57 136
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 49 97 146
3 Boston University Boston University Terriers 103 44 147
4 Boston College Boston College Eagles 83 92 175
5 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 111 80 191
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 63 144 207
7 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 124 99 223
8 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 100 127 227
9 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 122 105 227
10 Brown University Brown University Bears 115 117 232
11 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 132 104 236
12 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 165 93 258
13 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 125 142 267
14 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 117 159 276
15 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 117 161 278
16 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 144 138 282
17 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 116 171 287
18 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 188 122 310
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 6 3 1 4 7 5 2 6 1 3 10 1 49 Rachel Bryer '17
Hannah Scanlon '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 7 3 2 10 2 6 7 5 1 13 4 63 Maryclaire Kiernan '17
Julia Fuller '17
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 2 9 2 3 8 14 14 3 13 7 1 3 79 Casey Klingler '18
Natalya Doris '17
Boston College Boston College Eagles 5 1 9 8 6 1 7 9 10 9 12 6 83 Allyson Donahue '17
Alice Bohan '18
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 8 16 5 1 4 15 18 2 10 8 12 100 Lindsay Doyle '18
Lilla Salvesen '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers 9 6 5 10 11 15 3 2 9 8 11 14 103 Hannah Polster '17
Emily Croteau '19
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 17 11 10 13 5 12 1 1 11 14 5 11 111 Paris Henken '22
Elizabeth Pemberton '18
Brown University Brown University Bears 12 5 4 14 2 6 11 13 8 16 OCS 5 115 Hannah Steadman '20
Emily Ito '19
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 4 4 18 1 4 18 17 11 14 13 3 9 116 Taylor Gavula '19
Emma Wheeler '17
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 7 17 15 12 3 7 4 16 12 5 2 17 117 Adelaide Ferguson '17
Lauren Holderman '18
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 14 16 13 16 9 10 5 8 7 2 15 2 117 Emily Wright '20
Sarah Smith '20
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 8 10 7 11 17 11 10 10 17 4 7 10 122 Ragna Agerup '20
Eliza Garry '17
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 13 13 17 9 15 8 9 4 3 6 9 18 124 Carolyn Smith '17
Vera Mariani '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 10 12 11 7 18 9 12 15 4 15 4 8 125 Hannah Hughes '17
Sarah Barkley '19
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 11 2 12 6 16 3 18 5 18 11 17 13 132 Emma White '19 [1-12]
Peninah Benjamin '20 [1-8]
Madeleine Walker '18 [9-12]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 16 14 8 15 13 13 8 17 15 12 6 7 144 Rose Edwards '18
Emily Fung '17
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 15 18 6 17 14 17 13 12 6 17 14 16 165 Kelsey Shakin '19
Ariana Smaldone '20
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 18 15 14 18 12 16 16 14 16 18 16 15 188 Gabby Rizika '20
Tara Bergstrom '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 15 2 10 2 3 2 1 1 1 2 4 44 Lydia Grasberger '18
Meredith Harrington '18
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 10 3 1 7 1 4 14 3 9 3 1 1 57 Louisa Nordstrom '20
Isabelle Rossi De Leon '17
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 14 1 6 2 6 6 7 4 3 15 4 12 80 Nikki Medley '17
Irene Abascal '17
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 8 5 16 16 7 5 7 5 6 10 5 92 Lily Mcgrath '18
Megan Bamford '18
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 12 10 8 8 7 11 12 10 4 2 7 2 93 Janel Decurtis '18 [1-3, 7-9]
Maia Agerup '20 [4-6, 10-12]
Maia Agerup '20 [1-3, 7-9]
Janel Decurtis '18 [4-6, 10-12]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 5 9 4 15 10 15 16 6 2 4 5 6 97 Sarah Hermus '18
Marisa Decollibus '17
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 5 11 5 14 2 10 13 8 5 16 7 99 Greer Wattson '17
Elizabeth Dennison '17
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 6 2 14 11 3 1 13 16 7 8 12 11 104 Audrey Giblin '20
Sophia Diserio '18
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 17 6 7 4 11 8 1 8 6 10 11 16 105 Charlotte List '18 [1-12]
Gwynie Dunlevy '20 [1-2]
Katherine (Katie) Rodger '20 [3-12]
Brown University Brown University Bears 15 4 15 1 13 13 3 2 14 14 15 8 117 Sophie Hibben '19
Haley Carter '17
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 9 17 12 9 4 9 8 9 18 12 6 9 122 Sebby Turner '20
Lindsay Gimple '17
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 18 14 3 3 17 18 6 18 17 7 3 3 127 Annie Spence '20 [1-12]
Victoria Pyne Mercier '19 [1-9]
Elizabeth Holiman '20 [10-12]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 13 7 9 17 12 5 17 12 10 9 13 14 138 Lola Bushnell '18
Hannah Hess '19
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 7 11 18 12 9 14 15 5 16 17 8 10 142 Mary Robertson '17 [1-6]
Jessica Mcjones '20 [7-12]
Carlyn Sawdy-Bowes '20 [1-6]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 16 17 6 5 12 11 14 15 11 18 15 144 Molly Pleskus '18
Sabina Van Mell '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 8 13 10 14 18 17 4 15 12 16 14 18 159 Darden Purrington '20
Anna Maria Vaccaro '19
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 16 18 16 13 8 10 9 11 13 13 17 17 161 Grace Howie '20
Elizabeth Foulston '17
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 11 12 13 18 15 16 18 17 11 18 9 13 171 Jessica Williams '20
Kirstin Anderson '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (18 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles111222333444
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers222111181818171717
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears333444555666
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars444333222111
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears141414131313121212111111
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels555666777888
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red666555444333
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green777888999101010
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams888777666555
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas999101010111111121212
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson101010999888777
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen151515161616171717181818
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams161616151515141414131313
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks111111121212131313141414
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks121212111111101010999
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131313141414151515161616
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts171717181818111222
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181818171717161616151515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles111222333444
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers222111181818171717
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears333444555666
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars444333222111
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears141414131313121212111111
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels555666777888
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red666555444333
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green777888999101010
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams888777666555
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas999101010111111121212
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson101010999888777
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen151515161616171717181818
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams161616151515141414131313
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks111111121212131313141414
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks121212111111101010999
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131313141414151515161616
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts171717181818111222
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181818171717161616151515
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Allyson Donahue '17 Alice Bohan '18
Eagles Lily Mcgrath '18 Megan Bamford '18
Boston University Boston University Hannah Polster '17 Emily Croteau '19
Terriers Lydia Grasberger '18 Meredith Harrington '18
Brown University Brown University Hannah Steadman '20 Emily Ito '19
Bears Sophie Hibben '19 Haley Carter '17
College of Charleston College of Charleston Paris Henken '22 Elizabeth Pemberton '18
Cougars Nikki Medley '17 Irene Abascal '17
Connecticut College Connecticut College Ragna Agerup '20 Eliza Garry '17
Camels Charlotte List '18 [1-12] Gwynie Dunlevy '20 [1-2]
Katherine (Katie) Rodger '20 [3-12]
Cornell University Cornell University Gabby Rizika '20 Tara Bergstrom '18
Big Red Sebby Turner '20 Lindsay Gimple '17
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Emma White '19 [1-12] Peninah Benjamin '20 [1-8]
Madeleine Walker '18 [9-12]
Big Green Audrey Giblin '20 Sophia Diserio '18
Fordham University Fordham University Adelaide Ferguson '17 Lauren Holderman '18
Rams Grace Howie '20 Elizabeth Foulston '17
Georgetown University Georgetown University Rose Edwards '18 Emily Fung '17
Hoyas Lola Bushnell '18 Hannah Hess '19
Harvard University Harvard University Taylor Gavula '19 Emma Wheeler '17
Crimson Jessica Williams '20 Kirstin Anderson '18
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Kelsey Shakin '19 Ariana Smaldone '20
Hawks Janel Decurtis '18 [1-3, 7-9]
Maia Agerup '20 [4-6, 10-12]		 Maia Agerup '20 [1-3, 7-9]
Janel Decurtis '18 [4-6, 10-12]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Carolyn Smith '17 Vera Mariani '20
Seahawks Greer Wattson '17 Elizabeth Dennison '17
Tufts University Tufts University Maryclaire Kiernan '17 Julia Fuller '17
Jumbos Molly Pleskus '18 Sabina Van Mell '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Emily Wright '20 Sarah Smith '20
Bears Darden Purrington '20 Anna Maria Vaccaro '19
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Hannah Hughes '17 Sarah Barkley '19
Midshipmen Mary Robertson '17 [1-6]
Jessica Mcjones '20 [7-12]		 Carlyn Sawdy-Bowes '20 [1-6]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rachel Bryer '17 Hannah Scanlon '18
Rams Sarah Hermus '18 Marisa Decollibus '17
University of Vermont University of Vermont Lindsay Doyle '18 Lilla Salvesen '18
Catamounts Annie Spence '20 [1-12] Victoria Pyne Mercier '19 [1-9]
Elizabeth Holiman '20 [10-12]
Yale University Yale University Casey Klingler '18 Natalya Doris '17
Bulldogs Louisa Nordstrom '20 Isabelle Rossi De Leon '17

Conditions — 10/15/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1030.0 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 5.5 kn
Gusts to 12.2 kn
From SE (139°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1030.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn* · W 14 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Yale: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.12)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.17 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Yale by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Yale).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →