Tufts University '15
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.89 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 18 | Fall 2012 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.63 (fleet 3.63) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 155–90 (63%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2015 | 5 | 47–41 | — |
| Fall 2014 | 1 | 9–5 | — |
| Spring 2014 | 6 | 67–24 | — |
| Fall 2013 | 1 | 1–0 | — |
| Spring 2013 | 3 | 31–20 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 13 graded regattas (205 matches) the record is 130–75 against 131.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.7). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 4 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 13 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-05-29 | LaserPerformance Team Race National Championships | skipper | 3.51 | 3.42 | 10–13 | 10.3 | −0.09 | 0.0 | 66% |
| 2015-04-11 | Fowle Trophy | skipper | 3.59 | 4.02 | 11–7 | 9.4 | +0.43 | 0.5 | 29% |
| 2015-04-04 | 34th Lynne Marchiando Regatta | skipper | 3.59 | 3.83 | 10–5 | 9.3 | +0.23 | 0.1 | 47% |
| 2015-03-28 | Jan T. Friis Team Race | skipper | 3.63 | 2.72 | 5–9 | 7.4 | −0.91 | 1.6 | 96% |
| 2015-03-21 | Graham Hall Team Race | skipper | 3.59 | 3.77 | 11–7 | 10.4 | +0.18 | 0.1 | 47% |
| 2014-11-08 | Hap Moore Team Race | skipper | 3.62 | 3.33 | 9–5 | 9.8 | −0.29 | 0.2 | 79% |
| 2014-04-05 | Mystic Lake Team Race Invitational | skipper | 3.17 | 6.17 | 18–0 | 15.1 | ≥+3.00 | 4.8 | 3% |
| 2014-03-29 | 2nd Barque Eagle Team Race | skipper | 3.10 | 3.51 | 14–3 | 13.0 | +0.41 | 0.3 | 39% |
| 2014-03-22 | Admiral Moore Team Race | skipper | 3.17 | 2.80 | 11–7 | 12.3 | −0.37 | 0.4 | 84% |
| 2014-03-15 | Ike Geiger Team Race Trophy | skipper | 3.23 | 3.65 | 10–5 | 8.9 | +0.42 | 0.3 | 35% |
| 2014-03-08 | TR Invite | skipper | 3.24 | 2.09 | 9–7 | 12.5 | −1.15 | 3.1 | 99% |
| 2014-03-01 | Thames River Team Race | skipper | 3.27 | 3.83 | 5–2 | 4.2 | +0.56 | 0.3 | 42% |
| 2013-04-20 | Staake Trophy Team Race | skipper | 3.24 | 2.25 | 7–5 | 9.1 | −0.98 | 1.5 | 97% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Tufts Alumni Regatta 2023-420s | Skipper | A | 5 | 4.0 | 3.12 |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Baby 'Bos - Tufts Alumni Regatta | Skipper | A | 6 | 7.7 | 3.21 |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Ryan Richards Alumni Regatta | Skipper | A, B | 5 | 3.6 | 4.61 |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Ryan Richards (Tufts) Alumni Regatta | Skipper | B | 6 | 10.2 | 2.68 |
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Thompson Trophy | Skipper | A | 13 | 9.2 | 3.34 |
| LaserPerformance Team Race National Championships | Skipper | TR | 22 | 41% | — |
| Jan T. Friis Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 36% | — |
| Graham Hall Team Race | Skipper | TR | 18 | 61% | — |
| Gill Coed Eastern Semifinals | Skipper | B | 11 | 6.0 | 4.06 |
| Fowle Trophy | Skipper | TR | 18 | 61% | — |
| Coast Guard Alumni Bowl/NE Champs | Skipper | B | 4 | 13.8 | 2.07 |
| 80th Boston Dinghy Cup | Skipper | B | 9 | 6.0 | 4.11 |
| 34th Lynne Marchiando Regatta | Skipper | TR | 15 | 67% | — |
| Gill College Sailing Coed National Championship | Skipper | B | 9 | 10.2 | 3.49 |
| Fall 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Moody Trophy | Skipper | A | 10 | 11.2 | 2.73 |
| Hatch Brown Trophy | Skipper | B | 17 | 10.6 | 2.85 |
| Harry Anderson Jr. Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 10.3 | 2.90 |
| Hap Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 64% | — |
| Danmark Trophy | Skipper | B | 15 | 8.5 | 3.96 |
| Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | B | 12 | 7.6 | 3.54 |
| Atlantic Coast Championship | Skipper | B | 13 | 6.6 | 4.15 |
| 76th Annual Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 17 | 4.4 | 4.14 |
| 74th Professor Erwin Schell Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 8.2 | 3.53 |
| Spring 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| TR Invite | Skipper | TR | 20 | 65% | — |
| Thames River Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 71% | — |
| Mystic Lake Team Race Invitational | Skipper | TR | 18 | 100% | — |
| Ike Geiger Team Race Trophy | Skipper | TR | 15 | 67% | — |
| 79th Boston Dinghy Cup | Skipper | C | 14 | 6.8 | 3.43 |
| 2nd Barque Eagle Team Race | Skipper | TR | 17 | 82% | — |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 18 | 61% | — |
| Fall 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| 75th Annual Oberg Trophy | Skipper | A | 17 | 6.9 | 3.43 |
| Mt. Hope Bay Invitational | Skipper | A | 10 | 4.8 | 2.89 |
| Moody | Skipper | B | 10 | 8.4 | 3.08 |
| Lake Champlain Open | Skipper | B | 6 | 4.2 | 2.63 |
| Hap Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 11 | 46% | — |
| George Warren Smith Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 3.3 | 3.15 |
| Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | A | 15 | 11.0 | 2.91 |
| Spring 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | C | 12 | 8.3 | 3.08 |
| Staake Trophy Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 58% | — |
| Mystic Lake Team Race Invitational | Skipper | TR | 21 | 81% | — |
| Central Series | Skipper | A | 14 | 3.6 | 2.15 |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 18 | 39% | — |
| Admiral Alymers Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 1.6 | 4.10 |
| Fall 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| RI State Champs, Sister Esther Open | Skipper | B | 10 | 6.3 | 2.75 |
| NEISA Men's Singlehanded Championship Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 18 | 8.7 | 3.20 |
| Mt. Hope Bay Invitational | Skipper | B | 10 | 3.6 | 2.99 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | A | 12 | 6.2 | 2.60 |
| Dave Perry | Skipper | A | 14 | 4.1 | 2.87 |
| Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | B | 6 | 7.5 | 3.56 |
| Barnett Trophy | Skipper | A | 12 | 4.2 | 3.16 |
| Spring 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | C | 13 | 5.8 | 2.55 |
| Southern Series Two | Skipper | A | 8 | 4.4 | 2.63 |
| Clark Open Keelboat | Crew | A | 10 | 1.9 | — |
| Central Series 3 | Skipper | B | 10 | 2.3 | 3.85 |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | C | 19 | 9.1 | 2.65 |
| Fall 2011 Team page Season | |||||
| Navy Fall | Skipper | C | 17 | 8.6 | 2.83 |
| Mt. Hope Bay Invitational | Skipper | B | 8 | 7.6 | 1.43 |
| Freshman Intersectional | Skipper | A | 9 | 6.3 | 1.36 |
| Central Series 4 | Skipper | B | 8 | 2.9 | 2.26 |
| BU invite | Skipper | A | 10 | 2.9 | 1.80 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
