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Southern Series Two

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 43 24 67
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 35 32 67
3 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 37 48 85
4 Boston University Boston University Terriers 47 55 102
5 Brown University Brown University Bears 64 40 104
6 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 84 38 122
7 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 58 74 132
8 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 36 107 143
9 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 75 74 149
10 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 83 95 178
11 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 101 86 187
12 Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 62 138 200
13 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 118 85 203
14 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 82 122 204
15 Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 115 99 214
16 Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 123 101 224
17 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 148 93 241
18 Beacons Beacons Beacons 129 118 247
19 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 130 118 248
20 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 113 138 251
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 7 1 4 4 1 12 1 35 Dan Nickerson '15
Jamie Maffeo '15
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 7 6 3 6 6 3 3 2 36 Andrew Bates '15
Alison Griffith '15
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 8 1 2 1 1 9 5 10 37 Katherine Gullick '12 [1-8]
Iris Xu '14 [1-4]
Soraya Shehata '13 [5-8]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 2 5 3 5 2 2 OCS 43 Ian Hollerbach '14
Nicole Sikowitz '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 3 4 2 7 8 1 OCS 47 Elizabeth Glivinski '14
Keeton Leisure '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 10 5 13 9 10 4 4 3 58 Becker Awqatty '14
Zach Shapiro '15
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 2 11 6 13 8 6 7 9 62 Johannes Raatz '15
Alex Dion '15
Brown University Brown University Bears 4 9 7 8 2 15 15 4 64 Kelly Mcglynn '15
Brandon Kaufmann '12
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 13 15 8 11 3 5 6 14 75 Sean Mclaughlin '15
Camille Aiello '15
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 9 16 11 10 14 7 8 7 82 Tyler Durant '14
Andrew Gronet '13
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 6 4 16 7 11 14 9 16 83 Jared Dunn '13
Beth Cohen '14
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 14 8 9 5 12 12 19 5 84 Philip Gordon '12 [1-4]
Eliza Pearce '15 [5-8]
Jamie Wai '12 [1-4]
Anna Hahn '14 [5-8]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 17 14 12 12 17 13 10 6 101 Mary Clawson '15 [1-4, 7-8]
Tom Mckenzie '13 [5-6]
Tom Mckenzie '13 [1-4, 7-8]
Mary Clawson '15 [5-6]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 16 12 14 14 9 18 13 17 113 Molly Haley '13
Taran Catania '13
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 11 13 17 16 18 11 18 11 115 Brendan Griffiths '14
Jared Lafosse-Baker '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 15 20 10 18 15 16 11 13 118
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 12 10 15 15 19 20 20 12 123 Elizabeth Morgan '13
Beacons Beacons Beacons 19 17 19 17 16 10 16 15 129
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 20 19 20 19 13 17 14 8 130 Michael Hoffman '12
Max Hammon '14
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 18 18 18 20 20 19 17 18 148 Lyndsay Stockwell '14
Timothy Donahoe '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 4 1 1 4 6 5 2 1 24 Alexander Rudkin '14
Ryan Topal '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 2 3 9 5 2 5 3 32
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 6 9 2 2 4 6 7 2 38 Andrew Balter '12
Mickey Scott '14
Brown University Brown University Bears 9 4 12 3 1 4 3 4 40 Emmett Weeks '14
Lucas Serra '13
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 5 6 OCS 5 2 3 1 5 48 Hanna Vincent '14
Taylor Burfield '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 3 OCS 8 3 1 8 10 55 Erica Lush '14
Lindsey Kennett '15
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 7 17 5 7 8 7 12 11 74 Priscilla Stoll '15
Marshall Bailey '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 10 7 10 1 11 10 9 16 74 Heidi Hood '16
Elizabeth Sczerzenie '15
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 5 4 14 15 12 16 17 85 Conor O'Neil '15
Samuel Morley '14
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 20 13 13 6 7 8 13 6 86 Pierce Conlin '15
Baillie Lawless '15
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 8 8 17 13 20 15 4 8 93 Brooke Doyon '13
Thomas Presti '13
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 12 11 11 19 10 13 10 9 95 John Fonte '12
Ariel Ganz '12
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 11 14 15 15 9 17 6 12 99 Alex Hering '13
Chelsea Abbenante '14
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 13 10 8 17 12 11 11 19 101 Ann Stallings '12
Eve Davis '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 16 12 16 12 13 16 15 7 107 Noel Ingalls '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Padraig Loughlin '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Timothy Broskus '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Shawn Wehking '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 17 16 7 11 18 19 17 13 118 Winsor Williams '13 [1-4]
Gregory Henkelman '13 [5-8]
Emily Greagori '13 [1-4]
Sarah Conley '15 [5-8]
Beacons Beacons Beacons 19 15 6 10 16 18 19 15 118
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 15 19 14 16 17 9 14 18 122 Francisco Salas '15
Craig Timoney '13
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 14 20 18 20 14 20 18 14 138 William Iselin '14
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 18 18 9 18 19 14 DNS DNS 138
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs11335577
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons33557799
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers5577991111
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges22446688
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears4466881010
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies16161818202022
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats668810101212
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners779911111313
BeaconsBeacons Beacons171719191133
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers1010121214141616
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers99111113131515
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners88101012121414
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1111131315151717
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks1212141416161818
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams181820202244
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1313151517171919
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1414161618182020
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos15151717191911
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue1919113355
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals2020224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs22446688
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons4466881010
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers668810101212
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges33557799
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears5577991111
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies171719191133
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats779911111313
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners88101012121414
BeaconsBeacons Beacons181820202244
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers1111131315151717
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers1010121214141616
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners99111113131515
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1212141416161818
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks1313151517171919
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1919113355
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1414161618182020
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks15151717191911
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos16161818202022
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue2020224466
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Amherst College Amherst College Johannes Raatz '15 Alex Dion '15
Lord Jeffs
Bentley University Bentley University Tyler Durant '14 Andrew Gronet '13
Falcons Francisco Salas '15 Craig Timoney '13
Boston University Boston University Elizabeth Glivinski '14 Keeton Leisure '14
Terriers Erica Lush '14 Lindsey Kennett '15
Brandeis University Brandeis University Jared Dunn '13 Beth Cohen '14
Judges John Fonte '12 Ariel Ganz '12
Brown University Brown University Kelly Mcglynn '15 Brandon Kaufmann '12
Bears Emmett Weeks '14 Lucas Serra '13
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Michael Hoffman '12 Max Hammon '14
Wildcats Winsor Williams '13 [1-4]
Gregory Henkelman '13 [5-8]		 Emily Greagori '13 [1-4]
Sarah Conley '15 [5-8]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Katherine Gullick '12 [1-8] Iris Xu '14 [1-4]
Soraya Shehata '13 [5-8]
Engineers Hanna Vincent '14 Taylor Burfield '13
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Sean Mclaughlin '15 Camille Aiello '15
Buccaneers Priscilla Stoll '15 Marshall Bailey '15
Mitchell College Mitchell College Brendan Griffiths '14 Jared Lafosse-Baker '14
Mariners Alex Hering '13 Chelsea Abbenante '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Becker Awqatty '14 Zach Shapiro '15
Huskies Heidi Hood '16 Elizabeth Sczerzenie '15
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Ian Hollerbach '14 Nicole Sikowitz '15
Hawks Alexander Rudkin '14 Ryan Topal '15
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Mary Clawson '15 [1-4, 7-8]
Tom Mckenzie '13 [5-6]		 Tom Mckenzie '13 [1-4, 7-8]
Mary Clawson '15 [5-6]
Seahawks Pierce Conlin '15 Baillie Lawless '15
Tufts University Tufts University Dan Nickerson '15 Jamie Maffeo '15
Jumbos
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Andrew Bates '15 Alison Griffith '15
Mariners Noel Ingalls '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Padraig Loughlin '15 [3-4, 7-8]		 Timothy Broskus '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Shawn Wehking '15 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Lyndsay Stockwell '14 Timothy Donahoe '15
Huskies Brooke Doyon '13 Thomas Presti '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Philip Gordon '12 [1-4]
Eliza Pearce '15 [5-8]		 Jamie Wai '12 [1-4]
Anna Hahn '14 [5-8]
Ducks Andrew Balter '12 Mickey Scott '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island
Rams Conor O'Neil '15 Samuel Morley '14
Wellesley College Wellesley College Elizabeth Morgan '13
Blue Ann Stallings '12 Eve Davis '14
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Molly Haley '13 Taran Catania '13
Cardinals William Iselin '14

Conditions — 03/31/2012 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 92%  ·  Pressure 1013.7 hPa

Temperature

39°F
↑ 41°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 33°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.1 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From ENE (65°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity92% Pressure1013.7 hPa Rain0.16 in Snow0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at U. Connecticut: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.09 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Connecticut by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at U. Connecticut, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →