Admiral's Cup

# SchoolTeam A B C TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 145 106 63 314
2 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 168 89 86 343
3 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 85 106 159 350
4 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 116 147 108 371
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 131 135 172 438
6 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 118 183 138 439
7 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 151 197 165 513
8 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 201 196 122 519
9 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 149 232 151 532
10 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 186 184 166 536
11 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 192 183 164 539
12 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 224 158 177 559
13 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 189 159 251 599
14 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 256 195 200 651
15 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 231 171 271 673
16 Boston University Boston University Terriers 225 233 280 738
17 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 229 249 279 757
18 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 264 330 335 929
19 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 345 358 335 1038
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 R19 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 5 11 5 14 5 1 1 8 3 5 2 1 3 2 4 8 2 1 85 Chris Barnard '13 [1-19]
Hilary Kenyon '13 [1-10, 15-19]
Edward Mark '14 [11-14]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 6 2 4 7 11 17 2 4 10 2 1 1 4 2 8 5 2 16 12 116 Dillon Paiva '13 [1-19]
Chloe Constants '14 [1-9, 15-19]
Miles Martschink '12 [10-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 1 1 6 10 15 6 11 3 6 2 12 13 1 9 8 5 4 4 118 Shawn Murray '12 [1-19]
Paige Conlin '14 [1-9, 15-19]
Morgan Keating '13 [10-14]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 3 2 10 5 2 5 2 6 18 13 8 6 6 5 12 14 1 11 131 William Haeger '14
Paula Grasberger '14
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 9 15 12 3 6 3 4 10 15 4 6 11 2 4 11 2 13 8 7 145 Mac Mace '13 [1-3, 6-19]
Samuel Stokes '12 [4-5]
Perry Emsiek '12 [1-10, 15-19]
Samuel Stokes '12 [11-14]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 7 9 8 11 9 9 15 3 4 9 9 10 3 10 7 10 11 3 2 149 Michael Whitford '12
Edwin Strong '15
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 8 16 10 1 7 6 8 9 1 1 10 5 7 5 12 6 9 10 OCS 151 Brendan Kopp '12 [1-19]
Sarah Pierson '14 [1-10, 15-19]
Richard Bergsund '15 [11-14]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 5 7 3 OCS 8 8 9 5 18 7 3 15 11 8 4 7 3 13 14 168 Kevin Laube '14
Carolyn Ortel '14
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 10 11 6 4 12 10 12 8 14 11 12 16 14 14 1 13 4 11 3 186 Sam Williams '12
Ian Storck '15
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 3 13 5 12 1 16 3 7 9 12 DNF 13 16 12 16 9 10 7 5 189 Joseph Kutschenreuter '12 [1-19]
Molly Forbes '12 [1-8, 14, 16-19]
Daniel Hanna '13 [9-13, 15]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 17 8 19 9 2 7 16 17 12 5 8 4 8 9 15 14 7 6 9 192 Cam Cullman '13
Genoa Warner '12
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks RDG 4 14 14 13 11 11 18 2 8 4 3 5 7 18 11 15 15 17 201 John Wallace '14 [1-19]
Katherine Gluskin '13 [1-10, 16-19]
Nina-Mercedes Rabin '13 [11-15]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 12 14 7 13 4 1 14 15 13 19 14 6 18 16 14 1 18 9 16 224 Jason Carminati '12 [1-19]
Julie Digiovanni '13 [1-10, 16-19]
Glenn Mckenna '14 [11-15]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 13 17 15 2 3 12 17 16 5 15 16 18 12 15 3 15 1 17 13 225 Ryan Pesch '12 [1-19]
Alejandra Higgins '13 [1-14]
Lalitha Kumaresan '13 [15-19]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 15 6 9 15 16 4 13 12 19 17 11 17 9 13 13 3 17 5 15 229 Ig Schottlaender '14 [1-19]
Benjamin Meyers '15 [1-9, 15-19]
Ellis Tonissi '15 [10-14]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 11 10 17 8 15 14 10 13 7 14 15 14 15 18 6 16 6 12 10 231 Louis Padnos '14
Alex Nugent '15
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 14 18 13 16 17 13 7 6 17 10 17 7 17 11 17 18 12 18 8 256 George Saunders '12
Samantha Bobo '15
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 16 12 18 17 19 19 19 14 11 13 7 9 10 17 10 17 16 14 6 264 Andrew Bates '15
Thomas Greathouse '14
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 18 19 16 18 18 18 18 19 16 16 18 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 18 345 Lindsay Eysenbach '15 [1-6]
Andrew Grasso '15 [7-19]
Alexandra Macleod '14 [1-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 R19 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 2 4 9 6 6 4 16 2 1 2 3 10 2 7 4 3 5 2 89 Oliver Toole '14
Haley Kirk '15
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 7 2 5 5 3 6 9 15 4 4 1 2 3 2 9 1 15 11 106 Ben Spector '13
Alyssa Aitken '12
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 1 1 2 7 1 1 11 6 6 5 4 12 1 1 14 7 14 9 106 Evan Aras '12 [1-19]
Katherine Canty '12 [1-9, 11-19]
Edward Mark '14 [10]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 14 11 7 4 2 3 17 12 10 16 2 3 4 4 6 4 2 10 135 Massimo Soriano '12 [1-19]
Madeline Luce '13 [1-8, 17-18]
Duncan Swain '15 [9-16, 19]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 8 3 15 10 14 5 11 10 8 5 6 10 1 5 9 10 12 4 1 147 Gavin Rudolph '12
Jill Fattibene '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 9 4 8 1 1 7 14 6 13 9 17 13 15 13 5 8 5 7 3 158 Markus Edegran '16 [1-19]
Chelsea Smith '14 [1-8, 11-19]
Glenn Mckenna '14 [9-10]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 6 6 9 3 2 8 2 14 9 7 13 5 6 16 10 13 17 9 4 159 George Kutschenreuter '15 [1-19]
Megan Six '12 [1-8, 18]
Michael Lee '14 [9-17, 19]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 12 10 12 14 10 10 8 8 5 8 11 15 8 17 3 5 6 1 8 171 Elliott Morrill '15
William Florio '15
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 10 15 13 4 9 11 10 3 3 13 7 7 16 7 8 17 13 10 7 183 Rob Struckett '12
Sarah Smith '15
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 14 12 17 6 16 9 9 1 11 3 3 16 7 8 11 2 15 11 12 183 Harry Scott '13
Emma Lamontagne '14
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 13 9 7 15 3 14 13 13 7 17 1 9 13 12 6 7 2 6 17 184 Scott Houck '15
Rachel Moncton '12
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 5 5 12 15 4 5 2 10 16 12 8 18 11 13 11 14 13 16 195 Andrew Tamblyn '13
Daniel Goldman '13
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 11 11 10 17 12 16 17 4 16 11 9 6 4 9 16 1 8 12 6 196 Jacob La Dow '15 [1-19]
Ainsley Thomson '13 [1-8, 11-19]
Nina-Mercedes Rabin '13 [9-10]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 7 16 3 16 11 15 7 7 14 2 15 12 5 10 12 12 10 3 DSQ 197 Michael Drumm '15 [1-19]
Emma Smith '15 [1-4, 15-19]
Richard Bergsund '15 [5-8]
Luke O'Connor '14 [9, 11-14]
Ben Lamont '14 [10]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 17 8 6 13 13 13 15 15 18 12 8 14 9 6 15 16 11 8 15 232 Sam Fitzgerald '14 [1-19]
Thomas Heist '15 [1-9, 13-19]
Samuel Bedinger '13 [10-12]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 15 17 16 8 8 17 12 12 1 15 10 11 11 15 18 15 9 18 5 233 Matt Johnson '12
Lindsey Kennett '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 16 13 14 11 17 12 16 5 4 14 14 18 17 14 14 3 16 17 14 249 Timothy Clark '13
Michael Sweeney '15
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 18 18 18 19 19 18 18 18 17 18 18 17 14 18 17 18 18 16 13 330 Andrew Baransky '14 [1-19]
Noel Ingalls '15 [1-14]
Timothy Broskus '15 [15-19]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 19 19 19 18 18 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 18 358 Sarah Gross '15 [1-19]
Ashley Barclift '14 [1-6]
Thomas Senecal '14 [7-19]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 R19 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 1 8 OCS 4 4 1 1 2 3 1 1 2 1 1 8 1 1 1 63 Zeke Horowitz '12
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 2 7 5 2 2 6 3 3 6 4 6 5 3 6 4 11 6 4 86 Mateo Vargas '14
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 4 3 10 6 12 3 12 7 1 5 3 3 8 5 11 6 2 5 2 108 Collin Leon '13
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 8 9 11 9 8 5 2 5 6 4 2 2 3 10 9 10 4 12 3 122 Gordon Lamphere '12
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 3 10 5 4 DSQ 8 10 12 5 2 6 4 1 2 5 5 7 14 15 138 Randall Hartranft '12
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 9 7 12 10 3 6 11 6 10 14 7 8 7 7 8 2 8 4 12 151 Ryan Bailey '15
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 6 14 14 1 7 10 13 2 4 1 14 12 11 4 2 13 13 11 7 159 Emily Gowell '13
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 10 11 6 11 11 12 8 4 8 10 11 7 4 8 4 1 15 13 10 164 Max Nickbarg '14
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 7 5 2 2 10 14 3 17 11 11 8 13 12 14 10 3 5 7 11 165 Jason Michas '13
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 4 1 7 9 1 7 11 14 9 16 9 15 12 12 12 12 2 8 166 Bo Mcclatchy '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 11 8 9 13 6 7 4 9 7 18 9 10 10 11 7 9 10 9 5 172 Dan Nickerson '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 13 15 13 8 13 9 16 8 9 8 10 11 13 6 3 7 6 3 6 177 George Prieto '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 12 6 4 3 1 RAF 5 18 16 7 12 17 14 13 14 11 3 10 14 200 Connor Needham '14
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 14 12 16 12 16 13 9 15 15 16 13 14 9 9 13 16 14 16 9 251 Brendan Boylan '13
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 17 19 18 17 14 17 15 10 13 12 5 5 6 17 17 17 19 17 16 271 Peter Holz '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 16 18 15 15 5 11 17 14 12 13 DNF DNS DNS 15 16 15 16 8 13 279 Liz Dubovik '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 15 13 3 14 17 15 14 13 19 15 15 16 17 19 15 19 9 15 17 280 Ian Towill '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 18 17 17 18 18 18 18 16 18 19 17 15 16 18 19 18 18 18 19 335 Padraig Loughlin '15
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 19 16 19 16 15 16 19 19 17 17 DNF DNF DNS 16 18 14 17 19 18 335 Gavin Schlissel '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A19A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11223344556677889910
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars334455667788991010111112
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels2211202019191818171716161515141413
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green443322112020191918181717161615
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas5566778899101011111212131314
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson66554433221120201919181817
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen77889910101111121213131414151516
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners8877665544332211202019
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen991010111112121313141415151616171718
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers101099887766554433221
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs11111212131314141515161617171818191920
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1212111110109988776655443
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks13131414151516161717181819192020112
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks14141313121211111010998877665
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1515161617171818191920201122334
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos161615151414131312121111101099887
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1818171716161515141413131212111110109
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers19192020112233445566778
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs20201919181817171616151514141313121211

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B19B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11223344556677889910
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars334455667788991010111112
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels2211202019191818171716161515141413
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green443322112020191918181717161615
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas5566778899101011111212131314
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson66554433221120201919181817
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen77889910101111121213131414151516
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners8877665544332211202019
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen991010111112121313141415151616171718
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers101099887766554433221
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs11111212131314141515161617171818191920
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1212111110109988776655443
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks13131414151516161717181819192020112
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks14141313121211111010998877665
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1515161617171818191920201122334
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos161615151414131312121111101099887
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1818171716161515141413131212111110109
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers19192020112233445566778
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs20201919181817171616151514141313121211

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C10C11C12C13C14C15C16C17C18C19C
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11223344556677889910
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars334455667788991010111112
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels2211202019191818171716161515141413
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green443322112020191918181717161615
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas5566778899101011111212131314
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson66554433221120201919181817
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen77889910101111121213131414151516
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners8877665544332211202019
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen991010111112121313141415151616171718
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers101099887766554433221
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs11111212131314141515161617171818191920
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1212111110109988776655443
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks13131414151516161717181819192020112
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks14141313121211111010998877665
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1515161617171818191920201122334
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos161615151414131312121111101099887
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1818171716161515141413131212111110109
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers19192020112233445566778
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs20201919181817171616151514141313121211
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Ryan Pesch '12 [1-19] Alejandra Higgins '13 [1-14]
Lalitha Kumaresan '13 [15-19]
Terriers Matt Johnson '12 Lindsey Kennett '15
Ian Towill '14
College of Charleston College of Charleston Mac Mace '13 [1-3, 6-19]
Samuel Stokes '12 [4-5]
Perry Emsiek '12 [1-10, 15-19]
Samuel Stokes '12 [11-14]
Cougars Ben Spector '13 Alyssa Aitken '12
Zeke Horowitz '12
Connecticut College Connecticut College Ig Schottlaender '14 [1-19] Benjamin Meyers '15 [1-9, 15-19]
Ellis Tonissi '15 [10-14]
Camels Timothy Clark '13 Michael Sweeney '15
Liz Dubovik '15
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Sam Williams '12 Ian Storck '15
Big Green Scott Houck '15 Rachel Moncton '12
Bo Mcclatchy '13
Georgetown University Georgetown University Chris Barnard '13 [1-19] Hilary Kenyon '13 [1-10, 15-19]
Edward Mark '14 [11-14]
Hoyas Evan Aras '12 [1-19] Katherine Canty '12 [1-9, 11-19]
Edward Mark '14 [10]
Emily Gowell '13
Harvard University Harvard University Brendan Kopp '12 [1-19] Sarah Pierson '14 [1-10, 15-19]
Richard Bergsund '15 [11-14]
Crimson Michael Drumm '15 [1-19] Emma Smith '15 [1-4, 15-19]
Richard Bergsund '15 [5-8]
Luke O'Connor '14 [9, 11-14]
Ben Lamont '14 [10]
Jason Michas '13
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Louis Padnos '14 Alex Nugent '15
Statesmen Elliott Morrill '15 William Florio '15
Peter Holz '15
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Dillon Paiva '13 [1-19] Chloe Constants '14 [1-9, 15-19]
Miles Martschink '12 [10-14]
Monarchs Gavin Rudolph '12 Jill Fattibene '14
Collin Leon '13
Princeton University Princeton University Lindsay Eysenbach '15 [1-6]
Andrew Grasso '15 [7-19]
Alexandra Macleod '14 [1-6]
Tigers Sarah Gross '15 [1-19] Ashley Barclift '14 [1-6]
Thomas Senecal '14 [7-19]
Gavin Schlissel '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University George Saunders '12 Samantha Bobo '15
Hawks Andrew Tamblyn '13 Daniel Goldman '13
Connor Needham '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Shawn Murray '12 [1-19] Paige Conlin '14 [1-9, 15-19]
Morgan Keating '13 [10-14]
Privateers Harry Scott '13 Emma Lamontagne '14
Randall Hartranft '12
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland John Wallace '14 [1-19] Katherine Gluskin '13 [1-10, 16-19]
Nina-Mercedes Rabin '13 [11-15]
Seahawks Jacob La Dow '15 [1-19] Ainsley Thomson '13 [1-8, 11-19]
Nina-Mercedes Rabin '13 [9-10]
Gordon Lamphere '12
Stanford University Stanford University Kevin Laube '14 Carolyn Ortel '14
Cardinal Oliver Toole '14 Haley Kirk '15
Mateo Vargas '14
Tufts University Tufts University William Haeger '14 Paula Grasberger '14
Jumbos Massimo Soriano '12 [1-19] Madeline Luce '13 [1-8, 17-18]
Duncan Swain '15 [9-16, 19]
Dan Nickerson '15
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Andrew Bates '15 Thomas Greathouse '14
Mariners Andrew Baransky '14 [1-19] Noel Ingalls '15 [1-14]
Timothy Broskus '15 [15-19]
Padraig Loughlin '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Jason Carminati '12 [1-19] Julie Digiovanni '13 [1-10, 16-19]
Glenn Mckenna '14 [11-15]
Midshipmen Markus Edegran '16 [1-19] Chelsea Smith '14 [1-8, 11-19]
Glenn Mckenna '14 [9-10]
George Prieto '13
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Joseph Kutschenreuter '12 [1-19] Molly Forbes '12 [1-8, 14, 16-19]
Daniel Hanna '13 [9-13, 15]
Badgers George Kutschenreuter '15 [1-19] Megan Six '12 [1-8, 18]
Michael Lee '14 [9-17, 19]
Brendan Boylan '13
Washington College Washington College Michael Whitford '12 Edwin Strong '15
Shoremen Sam Fitzgerald '14 [1-19] Thomas Heist '15 [1-9, 13-19]
Samuel Bedinger '13 [10-12]
Ryan Bailey '15
Yale University Yale University Cam Cullman '13 Genoa Warner '12
Bulldogs Rob Struckett '12 Sarah Smith '15
Max Nickbarg '14

Conditions — 04/21/2012 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1008.2 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.7 kn
avg  ·  max 11.9 kn
Gusts to 23.1 kn
From SSE (161°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover64% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1008.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 13 kn · NE 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Kings Point: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.13 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.06)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kings Point by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (80 labelled days at Kings Point).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →