Old Dominion University '13
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 71.43 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.103 rating points from 149 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.79 (fleet 3.85) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 23–36 (39%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2013 | 4 | 23–36 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (14 matches) the record is 6–8 against 6.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.3). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-04-06 | Captain Prosser Trophy | skipper | 3.76 | 3.62 | 6–8 | 6.3 | −0.14 | 0.0 | 71% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Hinman Trophy (U.S. Team Racing Championship) | Selected | TR | — | — | — |
| Spring 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | A | 12 | 10.5 | 3.35 |
| St. Mary's Team Race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 22% | — |
| College Sailing Eastern Semifinals | Skipper | A | 13 | 6.2 | 4.08 |
| Graham Hall Team Race | Skipper | TR | 22 | 59% | — |
| Gill Coed Championships | Skipper | A | 18 | 9.6 | 3.95 |
| Captain Prosser Trophy | Skipper | TR | 14 | 43% | — |
| America Trophy | Skipper | A | 18 | 4.6 | 4.34 |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | A | 15 | 7.1 | 3.49 |
| Aaron Szambecki Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 14% | — |
| Fall 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | A | 18 | 5.6 | 3.83 |
| St. Mary's Fall Interconference | Skipper | A | 18 | 6.8 | 4.05 |
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Skipper | A | 12 | 9.9 | 3.14 |
| Rose Bowl Regatta | Skipper | A | 8 | 10.8 | 3.12 |
| Nevin's Trophy | Skipper | A | 16 | 9.9 | 3.08 |
| Navy Fall | Skipper | A | 14 | 8.5 | 3.33 |
| HWS Fall Intersectional | Skipper | A | 12 | 3.0 | 4.39 |
| Danmark Trophy | Skipper | A | 9 | 9.4 | 3.61 |
| Spring 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | A | 6 | 4.3 | 4.96 |
| Gill Dinghy National Championship | Skipper | A | 12 | 12.9 | 2.56 |
| America Trophy | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.2 | 3.48 |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | A | 19 | 6.1 | 4.30 |
| Fall 2011 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | A | 18 | 6.3 | 3.58 |
| St. Mary's Fall Intersectional | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.6 | 2.88 |
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Skipper | A | 4 | 11.2 | 2.65 |
| Nevins Trophy | Skipper | A | 18 | 11.5 | 2.70 |
| Navy Fall | Skipper | A | 18 | 8.2 | 3.40 |
| Danmark Trophy | Skipper | A | 13 | 10.9 | 3.24 |
| Atlantic Coast Championship | Skipper | A | 18 | 8.5 | 3.75 |
| Spring 2011 Team page Season | |||||
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | A | 16 | 11.6 | 2.74 |
| ICSA/Gill Co-ed National Championship | Skipper | B | 13 | 12.0 | 2.82 |
| ICSA Coed Dinghy Eastern Semifinals | Skipper | B | 12 | 7.8 | 3.04 |
| America Trophy | Skipper | B | 17 | 6.0 | 3.23 |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | B | 10 | 9.8 | 2.58 |
| Fall 2010 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Crew | A, B | 10 | 5.9 | — |
| 26th U S C Rose Bowl | Skipper | A | 8 | 11.6 | 2.95 |
| St. Mary's Fall | Crew | B | 5 | 11.2 | — |
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Crew | A | 8 | 12.9 | — |
| Riley Cup | Skipper | A | 10 | 4.7 | 2.54 |
| Nevins Trophy | Skipper | B | 5 | 10.0 | 2.83 |
| Navy Fall | Crew | A, B | 16 | 9.9 | — |
| HWS Intersectional | Skipper | B | 13 | 8.5 | 1.82 |
| Danmark Trophy | Crew | B | 10 | 13.2 | — |
| Atlantic Coast Dinghies | Skipper | A | 2 | 7.0 | 4.08 |
| Spring 2010 Team page Season | |||||
| Truxtun Umsted | Crew | B | 18 | 11.5 | — |
| ODU Open, South 1 | Skipper | B | 4 | 4.8 | 2.50 |
| ICSA Western Semifinals | Crew | B | 2 | 8.0 | — |
| ICSA/Gill Coed Dinghy Champs | Crew | B | 1 | 18.0 | — |
| Charleston Spring | Crew | B | 12 | 7.2 | — |
| America Trophy | Crew | B | 12 | 7.5 | — |
| Admiral's Cup | Crew | A | 15 | 9.6 | — |
| Fall 2009 Team page Season | |||||
| Tom Curtis Memorial Regatta | Skipper | B | 13 | 5.8 | 1.82 |
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Crew | A | 14 | 13.4 | — |
| Maisa Top 9 Invite | Crew | A | 17 | 6.7 | — |
| Atlantic Coast Championship | Crew | B | 10 | 11.6 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
