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Tom Curtis Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 35 38 73
2 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 39 36 75
3 American University American University Eagles 58 53 111
4 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 70 81 151
5 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 77 76 153
6 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 74 99 173
7 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 98 88 186
8 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 124 86 210
9 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 88 131 219
10 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 127 97 224
11 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 151 120 271
12 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 174 153 327
13 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 158 172 330
14 St. John's College St. John's College Johnnies 170 174 344
15 Salisbury University Salisbury University Seagulls 171 184 355
16 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 174 197 371
17 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 196 203 399
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 2 2 1 1 7 2 1 1 1 10 1 4 35 Peter Johns '12 [1-6]
Michael Campbell '11 [7-13]
Brooks Walker '12 [1-6]
Hilary Kenyon '13 [7-13]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 1 1 6 3 4 1 2 2 2 2 7 5 39 Victor Diaz De Leon '14
Christopher O'Donnell '12
American University American University Eagles 1 7 4 2 9 2 3 6 4 13 1 4 2 58 Billy Hluchan '12
Leigh Cramer '12
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 4 3 3 4 9 13 3 7 7 6 6 1 70 Nathaniel Sabatt '11
Erica Leinmiller '13
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 9 14 5 5 7 8 5 4 3 4 4 3 3 74 Ian Holtzworth '13
Kristin Koval '12
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 5 13 9 9 2 1 4 7 8 5 5 2 7 77 Zach Runci '13
Shannon Wilkins '13
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 6 5 8 11 10 6 6 5 5 8 3 8 BKD 88 Russell Cramer '11
Laurin Parthemos '11
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 13 9 6 4 11 5 7 9 6 3 8 11 6 98 William Ricketson '11
Margaret Walrod '12
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 7 8 10 7 8 11 9 10 13 12 16 5 8 124 Chris Kennedy '11
Madeline Gill '12
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 8 3 7 10 14 3 10 14 16 9 7 12 14 127 Andrew Shoemaker '15
Ian Guagliardo '15
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 11 12 13 12 12 16 8 12 10 10 13 9 13 151 Tyler Myers '11 [1-4, 7-8, 11-13]
Maxwell Plarr '11 [5-6, 9-10]
Lynn Ball '11 [1-4, 7-8, 11-13]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 10 6 14 16 15 12 12 8 9 16 12 13 15 158
St. John's College St. John's College Johnnies 17 15 16 13 5 10 15 16 15 15 9 14 10 170 Michael Feldman '10 [1-13]
Matthew Harris '10 [1-2, 5-8, 11-12]
Elyssa Reid '10 [3-4, 9-10, 13]
Salisbury University Salisbury University Seagulls 16 10 12 17 17 14 11 13 11 14 11 16 9 171 Kyle Miller '11
Bradley Macpherson '13
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 12 11 11 14 13 17 14 17 17 6 14 17 11 174 Jonathan Conway '12 [1-4, 7-8]
Isaac Clark '12 [5-6, 9-13]
Priscilla Pinckney '11 [1-8, 11-13]
Jonathan Conway '12 [9-10]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 14 17 15 15 6 13 16 11 12 11 17 10 17 174 Weston Thayer '12
Alexa Karatsikis '11
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 15 16 17 8 16 15 17 15 14 17 15 15 16 196 Aaron Chapin '11
Andrew Cebulski '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 4 2 1 6 2 1 6 1 2 3 3 3 36 Gordon Lamphere '12
Stefanie Glorioso '10
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 3 7 4 4 1 4 1 3 1 1 4 2 38 Daniel Eichler '13 [1-6]
Hugh Mcbride '10 [7-13]
Rebecca Evans '12 [1-6]
Carlisle Williams '10 [7-13]
American University American University Eagles 1 1 3 2 2 4 6 4 7 4 9 2 8 53 Merrin Overbeck '18
Sarah Kreshtool '12
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 4 10 6 12 5 6 8 7 2 3 2 7 4 76 Dillon Paiva '13
Kaitlyn Harris '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 7 5 9 8 3 7 5 5 5 7 5 5 10 81 Nathaniel Sabatt '11
Erica Leinmiller '13
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 10 7 8 6 9 9 3 3 8 9 7 1 6 86 Tyler Milne '12 [1-13]
Bradley Whitwell '13 [1-6]
Nate Wapner '11 [7-13]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 6 2 1 7 1 10 7 10 12 8 4 8 12 88 Meredith Carroll '11
Anne Laterra '11
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 11 8 4 3 DSQ 3 11 8 4 5 11 6 5 97 Shane Horsford '11
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 9 13 5 11 8 5 2 2 6 10 10 9 9 99 Evan Siepert '13
Jessie Shifalo '11
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 5 9 11 15 10 8 10 9 9 13 8 12 1 120 Jessica Thal '12
Sarah-Daye Hand '12
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 15 6 10 10 13 14 9 BKD 11 6 6 10 11 131 Andrew Rybczynski '12
Carey Ward '12
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 8 12 13 5 12 16 12 12 10 14 14 11 14 153 Emily Meehan '17 [1-4]
Jonathan Conway '12 [5-13]
Catherine Olsen '12 [1-4]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 13 11 15 17 15 13 13 11 15 12 13 17 7 172 Gavin Schlissel '13
Sean Mcgowan '12
St. John's College St. John's College Johnnies 12 15 14 13 7 11 16 17 13 15 15 13 13 174 Pavlos Papadopoulos '10 [1-6]
Macall Moran '10 [7-13]
Thomas Myers '11 [1-2, 5-6]
Anna Dirkse '10 [3-4, 7-13]
Salisbury University Salisbury University Seagulls 14 17 16 9 11 15 14 14 16 11 16 14 17 184 Corey Reichenbach '11
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 17 14 12 14 14 12 17 16 17 17 17 15 15 197 Edward Barth '12
Sophia Karatsikis '13
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 16 16 RAF 16 16 17 15 15 14 16 12 16 16 203 Sean Orzolek '14
Anthony Koch '10
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles224466881010121214
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains335577991111131315
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons44668810101212141416
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials55779911111313151517
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas6688101012121414161618
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates779911111313151517172
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners88101012121414161618183
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps991111131315151717224
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen10101212141416161818335
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs111113131515171722446
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers121214141616181833557
Salisbury UniversitySalisbury University Seagulls1313151517172244668
St. John's CollegeSt. John's College Johnnies1414161618183355779
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks151517172244668810
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos161618183355779911
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies171722446688101012
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe181833557799111113

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles335577991111131315
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains44668810101212141416
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons55779911111313151517
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials6688101012121414161618
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas779911111313151517172
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates88101012121414161618183
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners991111131315151717224
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps10101212141416161818335
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen111113131515171722446
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs121214141616181833557
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1313151517172244668
Salisbury UniversitySalisbury University Seagulls1414161618183355779
St. John's CollegeSt. John's College Johnnies151517172244668810
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks161618183355779911
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos171722446688101012
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies181833557799111113
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe224466881010121214
School / Team SkipperCrew
American University American University Billy Hluchan '12 Leigh Cramer '12
Eagles Merrin Overbeck '18 Sarah Kreshtool '12
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Tyler Myers '11 [1-4, 7-8, 11-13]
Maxwell Plarr '11 [5-6, 9-10]		 Lynn Ball '11 [1-4, 7-8, 11-13]
Captains Jessica Thal '12 Sarah-Daye Hand '12
Drexel University Drexel University Aaron Chapin '11 Andrew Cebulski '12
Dragons Sean Orzolek '14 Anthony Koch '10
George Washington University George Washington University William Ricketson '11 Margaret Walrod '12
Colonials Meredith Carroll '11 Anne Laterra '11
Georgetown University Georgetown University Peter Johns '12 [1-6]
Michael Campbell '11 [7-13]		 Brooks Walker '12 [1-6]
Hilary Kenyon '13 [7-13]
Hoyas Daniel Eichler '13 [1-6]
Hugh Mcbride '10 [7-13]		 Rebecca Evans '12 [1-6]
Carlisle Williams '10 [7-13]
Hampton University Hampton University Andrew Shoemaker '15 Ian Guagliardo '15
Pirates Shane Horsford '11
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Zach Runci '13 Shannon Wilkins '13
Monarchs Dillon Paiva '13 Kaitlyn Harris '13
Princeton University Princeton University
Tigers Gavin Schlissel '13 Sean Mcgowan '12
Salisbury University Salisbury University Kyle Miller '11 Bradley Macpherson '13
Seagulls Corey Reichenbach '11
St. John's College St. John's College Michael Feldman '10 [1-13] Matthew Harris '10 [1-2, 5-8, 11-12]
Elyssa Reid '10 [3-4, 9-10, 13]
Johnnies Pavlos Papadopoulos '10 [1-6]
Macall Moran '10 [7-13]		 Thomas Myers '11 [1-2, 5-6]
Anna Dirkse '10 [3-4, 7-13]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Victor Diaz De Leon '14 Christopher O'Donnell '12
Seahawks Gordon Lamphere '12 Stefanie Glorioso '10
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Ian Holtzworth '13 Kristin Koval '12
Mariners Evan Siepert '13 Jessie Shifalo '11
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Nathaniel Sabatt '11 Erica Leinmiller '13
Midshipmen Nathaniel Sabatt '11 Erica Leinmiller '13
University of Maryland University of Maryland Russell Cramer '11 Laurin Parthemos '11
Terps Andrew Rybczynski '12 Carey Ward '12
University of Virginia University of Virginia Chris Kennedy '11 Madeline Gill '12
Wahoos Tyler Milne '12 [1-13] Bradley Whitwell '13 [1-6]
Nate Wapner '11 [7-13]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Weston Thayer '12 Alexa Karatsikis '11
Hokies Edward Barth '12 Sophia Karatsikis '13
William and Mary William and Mary Jonathan Conway '12 [1-4, 7-8]
Isaac Clark '12 [5-6, 9-13]		 Priscilla Pinckney '11 [1-8, 11-13]
Jonathan Conway '12 [9-10]
Tribe Emily Meehan '17 [1-4]
Jonathan Conway '12 [5-13]		 Catherine Olsen '12 [1-4]

Conditions — 10/03/2009 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1010.5 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.0 kn
Gusts to 15.4 kn
From S (172°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover20% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1010.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn · NW 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Georgetown: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgetown by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (27 labelled days at Georgetown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →