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Riley Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 39 32 71
2 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 41 34 75
3 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 45 44 89
4 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 55 37 92
5 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 47 48 95
6 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 34 62 96
7 University of Virginia University of Virginia Virginia 64 39 103
8 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 93 81 174
9 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 97 86 183
10 William and Mary William and Mary William and Mary 98 98 196
11 Hampton University Hampton University Hampton 73 127 200
12 Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola College 97 114 211
13 St. John's College St. John's College St. John's 130 112 242
14 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 138 137 275
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 5 3 4 3 7 1 4 4 1 2 34 Gary Herring '12
Alyssa Montague '11
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 2 1 2 3 6 2 1 DSQ 3 39 Ian Liberty '14
Meredith Powlison '11
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 8 4 3 1 6 4 1 7 6 1 41 Michael Campbell '11
Annalee Leggett '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 2 5 2 6 2 5 7 2 5 9 45 Scott Hoffmann '14
Jessica Milligan '12
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 1 7 6 4 1 3 6 9 4 6 47 Dillon Paiva '13
Kaitlyn Harris '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 1 5 8 9 7 5 10 2 5 55 Lukas Edegran '13
Chelsea Smith '14
University of Virginia University of Virginia Virginia 7 6 8 5 4 12 3 3 8 8 64 Madeline Gill '12
Linda Codega '13
Hampton University Hampton University Hampton 10 8 9 9 8 2 8 12 3 4 73 Andrew Shoemaker '15
Ian Guagliardo '15
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 6 11 11 10 11 9 9 5 10 11 93 Kyle Dattola-Harris '11
Skye Kussman '13
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola College 11 10 7 12 12 10 11 6 11 7 97 Nicholas Amalfetano '11
Robert Alldian '14
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 12 9 10 7 10 8 12 8 9 12 97 Jessica Thal '12
Kira Munger '12
William and Mary William and Mary William and Mary 9 12 12 11 5 11 10 11 7 10 98 Isaac Clark '12 [1-10]
Sarah Dorton '13 [1-6]
Andrew Bryan '13 [7-10]
St. John's College St. John's College St. John's 13 13 13 14 13 13 13 13 12 13 130 Luke Wakeen '12 [1-4, 7-10]
Alexandra Brown '11 [5-6]
Alexandra Brown '11 [1-4, 9-10]
Lydia Booz '13 [5-8]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 14 14 14 13 14 14 14 14 13 14 138 Scott Brink '14
Alexandre Vann '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 1 1 7 6 2 5 5 1 2 32 Don Hause Iii '14
Ainsley Thomson '13
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 6 2 3 1 5 3 1 4 6 3 34 Andrew Mason '12
Leslie Cowen '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 3 5 6 4 1 2 9 2 1 37 Michael Grove '14
Kristin Rovito '14
University of Virginia University of Virginia Virginia 1 4 2 3 1 5 6 6 5 6 39 Christopher Stessing '14
Veronica Manuel '14
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 3 7 4 2 2 6 8 3 4 5 44 Brady Stagg '14
Chloe Constants '14
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 5 6 6 8 7 4 4 1 3 4 48 Miles Martschink '12
Jill Fattibene '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 9 11 7 4 3 7 3 2 9 7 62 Robert Boger '13
Kristin Koval '12
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 10 5 8 5 10 10 7 8 10 8 81 Kathleen Hilton '12
Kaitlin Denny '14
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 7 9 12 9 8 8 10 7 7 9 86 Maxwell Plarr '11
Meghan Magee '12
William and Mary William and Mary William and Mary 8 10 10 10 11 9 9 10 11 10 98 Jonathan Conway '12 [1-10]
Catherine Olsen '12 [1-6]
Briana Paxton '11 [7-10]
St. John's College St. John's College St. John's 11 8 9 11 9 11 12 13 DSQ 13 112 Evgenia Olimpieva '14 [1-10]
Sarah Hartzell '13 [1-2, 5-10]
Lydia Booz '13 [3-4]
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola College 12 12 11 12 12 12 11 12 8 12 114 Sean Sanders '13
Alexandra Fricchione '11
Hampton University Hampton University Hampton 13 13 14 13 14 13 13 11 12 11 127 Kimannee Simon '14
Athnel George '13
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 14 14 13 14 13 14 14 14 13 14 137 Christine Goodrich '13
Matt Mclean '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (49 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains1133557799
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials2214141212101088
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas335577991111
Hampton UniversityHampton University Hampton4422141412121010
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners55779911111313
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Loyola College66442214141212
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen77991111131311
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 1886644221414
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 299111113131133
St. John's CollegeSt. John's College St. John's101088664422
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks11111313113355
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Virginia131311335577
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Virginia Tech12121010886644
William and MaryWilliam and Mary William and Mary1414121210108866

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains224466881010
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials11131311119977
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas44668810101212
Hampton UniversityHampton University Hampton33111313111199
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners6688101012121414
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Loyola College55331113131111
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen8810101212141422
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 1775533111313
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 21010121214142244
St. John's CollegeSt. John's College St. John's9977553311
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks12121414224466
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Virginia141422446688
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Virginia Tech111199775533
William and MaryWilliam and Mary William and Mary13131111997755
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Jessica Thal '12 Kira Munger '12
Captains Maxwell Plarr '11 Meghan Magee '12
George Washington University George Washington University Kyle Dattola-Harris '11 Skye Kussman '13
Colonials Kathleen Hilton '12 Kaitlin Denny '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Michael Campbell '11 Annalee Leggett '13
Hoyas Andrew Mason '12 Leslie Cowen '13
Hampton University Hampton University Andrew Shoemaker '15 Ian Guagliardo '15
Hampton Kimannee Simon '14 Athnel George '13
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Nicholas Amalfetano '11 Robert Alldian '14
Loyola College Sean Sanders '13 Alexandra Fricchione '11
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Dillon Paiva '13 Kaitlyn Harris '13
Monarchs 1 Miles Martschink '12 Jill Fattibene '14
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Scott Hoffmann '14 Jessica Milligan '12
Monarchs 2 Brady Stagg '14 Chloe Constants '14
St. John's College St. John's College Luke Wakeen '12 [1-4, 7-10]
Alexandra Brown '11 [5-6]		 Alexandra Brown '11 [1-4, 9-10]
Lydia Booz '13 [5-8]
St. John's Evgenia Olimpieva '14 [1-10] Sarah Hartzell '13 [1-2, 5-10]
Lydia Booz '13 [3-4]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Ian Liberty '14 Meredith Powlison '11
Seahawks Don Hause Iii '14 Ainsley Thomson '13
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Gary Herring '12 Alyssa Montague '11
Mariners Robert Boger '13 Kristin Koval '12
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Lukas Edegran '13 Chelsea Smith '14
Midshipmen Michael Grove '14 Kristin Rovito '14
University of Virginia University of Virginia Madeline Gill '12 Linda Codega '13
Virginia Christopher Stessing '14 Veronica Manuel '14
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Scott Brink '14 Alexandre Vann '12
Virginia Tech Christine Goodrich '13 Matt Mclean '14
William and Mary William and Mary Isaac Clark '12 [1-10] Sarah Dorton '13 [1-6]
Andrew Bryan '13 [7-10]
William and Mary Jonathan Conway '12 [1-10] Catherine Olsen '12 [1-6]
Briana Paxton '11 [7-10]

Conditions — 09/11/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1016.1 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 67°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.6 kn
avg  ·  max 8.6 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From NNE (25°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover49% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1016.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 4 kn · E 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Old Dominion: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.23 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Old Dominion by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (76 labelled days at Old Dominion).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →