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HWS Intersectional

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 63 74 137
2 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 48 105 153
3 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 81 81 162
4 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 64 103 167
5 Boston University Boston University Terriers 85 109 194
6 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 116 86 202
7 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 157 67 224
8 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 138 98 236
9 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 110 131 241
10 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 132 117 249
11 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 126 123 249
12 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 122 137 259
13 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 150 129 279
14 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 136 153 289
15 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 207 196 403
16 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 188 230 418
17 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 216 205 421
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 10 3 6 8 2 2 48 Joseph Kutschenreuter '12
Molly Forbes '12
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 5 4 1 15 7 1 2 4 2 4 3 1 7 7 63 Quentin Chafee '11
Paige Baeder '12
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 7 3 8 2 1 5 15 3 1 2 2 4 1 10 64 Clark Hayes '11
Saverio Maldari '12
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 9 1 3 16 3 3 4 1 5 10 7 10 8 1 81 Austen Anderson '12
Bridget Nannig '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 9 11 6 4 7 1 5 8 9 9 6 3 4 85 Ben Greenfield '11
Fiona Gordon '12
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 4 5 6 5 5 8 8 12 9 12 1 12 DSQ 5 110 Alexander Sachs '12
Alex Wiggins '13
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 11 14 4 8 10 6 6 12 11 8 3 10 11 116 Fletcher Sims '14
Ben Lezin '13
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 11 12 5 9 12 4 5 9 7 5 10 15 6 12 122 Tyler Steel '13
Kyle Crandall '12
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 12 6 9 7 14 14 12 7 14 8 4 5 11 3 126 Max Famiglietti '13
Matthew Wilson '11
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 8 8 12 1 6 6 9 11 6 7 12 17 13 16 132 George Saunders '12
Adrienne White '13
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 6 10 7 8 9 12 16 10 4 15 15 7 4 13 136 Brendan Hannon '11
Marie Johnson '12
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 10 14 13 12 BKD 11 11 8 11 13 5 2 12 6 138 Blair Davis '10
Devon Furlong '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 13 15 16 13 11 13 7 14 3 6 11 14 5 9 150 Zach Runci '13 [1-14]
Jessica Milligan '12 [1-2, 7-14]
Rachel Pokorny '12 [3-6]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners DSQ 7 17 14 10 9 10 13 13 1 17 11 9 8 157 Nick Aswad '11
Aaron Gottlieb '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies DNS 17 4 10 13 17 14 15 15 14 13 9 15 14 188 Colin Silveno '12
Katelyn Guerrera '12
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 15 13 10 11 16 15 17 17 17 16 16 13 16 15 207 Mark Abraao York '12
Veronique Theriault '10
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 14 16 15 17 15 16 13 16 16 17 14 16 14 17 216 John Marzulli '12
William Ellis '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 8 7 2 4 6 4 3 6 6 2 8 2 8 1 67 Gary Herring '12
Kristin Koval '12
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 1 4 1 4 16 9 1 7 7 4 3 12 4 74 Olin Davis '14
Margaret Stone '11
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 3 2 7 9 2 3 13 5 5 9 2 1 DSQ 2 81 Louis Padnos '14
Chris Klevan '12
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 6 3 3 3 1 8 14 13 3 3 5 5 6 13 86 Ian Liberty '14
Ainsley Thomson '13
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 5 5 1 8 8 6 6 3 13 5 12 15 2 9 98 Vincent Andrews '11
Juliet Levine '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 12 14 2 5 7 11 10 1 12 1 13 7 6 103 Taylor Vann '13
Jocelynn Knudsen '13
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 4 13 8 6 3 10 1 4 9 14 10 6 10 7 105 Andrew Fox '13 [1-4, 9-10]
Michael Lee '14 [5-8, 11-14]
Lizzie Kunze '13 [1-4, 9-10]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 11 10 11 13 12 2 8 2 11 6 6 8 4 5 109 Ian Towill '14
Caitlin Goodrich '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 14 4 6 7 10 9 7 11 12 13 7 4 1 12 117 Andrew Tamblyn '13
Emerald Epke '11
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 10 6 16 5 11 1 5 7 8 10 9 11 9 15 123 Caroline Wright '12
Allison Gray '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 7 9 10 RAF 7 15 12 12 10 11 3 9 3 3 129 Dillon Paiva '13
Julia Wiesner '14
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 12 14 5 10 14 13 2 14 2 1 13 7 13 11 131 Ryann Hall '11
Sarah Mckay '12
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 13 8 9 11 13 14 4 8 14 4 14 10 5 10 137 Dan Crouch Crouch '12
Morgan Keating '13
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 9 11 12 14 15 12 10 9 4 8 15 12 14 8 153 John Croll '12
Irene Jacqz '13
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 16 16 15 12 16 5 15 16 16 15 11 14 15 14 196 Natalie Fohl '11
Joshua Bullen '13
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 15 15 13 16 9 11 16 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 205 Gavin Schlissel '13 [1-8]
Eleanor Elbert '12 [9-14]
Eleanor Elbert '12 [1-4]
Andrew Werner '14 [5-8]
Philip Oasis '13 [9-14]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 17 17 17 15 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 11 17 230 Doug Harrison '11
Ben Ryan '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers113355779911111313
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions22446688101012121414
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies15151717224466881010
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red33557799111113131515
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators4466881010121214141616
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams5577991111131315151717
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen6688101012121414161611
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners7799111113131515171722
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds8810101212141416161133
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen9911111313151517172244
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1010121214141616113355
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs1111131315151717224466
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers12121414161611335577
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks13131515171722446688
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks141416161133557799
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts161611335577991111
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers17172244668810101212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22446688101012121414
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions33557799111113131515
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies161611335577991111
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red4466881010121214141616
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators5577991111131315151717
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams6688101012121414161611
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen7799111113131515171722
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners8810101212141416161133
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds9911111313151517172244
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1010121214141616113355
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1111131315151717224466
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs12121414161611335577
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers13131515171722446688
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks141416161133557799
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks15151717224466881010
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts17172244668810101212
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers113355779911111313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Ben Greenfield '11 Fiona Gordon '12
Terriers Ian Towill '14 Caitlin Goodrich '14
Columbia University Columbia University Brendan Hannon '11 Marie Johnson '12
Lions John Croll '12 Irene Jacqz '13
Cornell University Cornell University Blair Davis '10 Devon Furlong '13
Big Red Vincent Andrews '11 Juliet Levine '14
Fordham University Fordham University Alexander Sachs '12 Alex Wiggins '13
Rams Ryann Hall '11 Sarah Mckay '12
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Austen Anderson '12 Bridget Nannig '13
Statesmen Louis Padnos '14 Chris Klevan '12
McGill University McGill University Mark Abraao York '12 Veronique Theriault '10
Redbirds Natalie Fohl '11 Joshua Bullen '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Zach Runci '13 [1-14] Jessica Milligan '12 [1-2, 7-14]
Rachel Pokorny '12 [3-6]
Monarchs Dillon Paiva '13 Julia Wiesner '14
Princeton University Princeton University John Marzulli '12 William Ellis '12
Tigers Gavin Schlissel '13 [1-8]
Eleanor Elbert '12 [9-14]		 Eleanor Elbert '12 [1-4]
Andrew Werner '14 [5-8]
Philip Oasis '13 [9-14]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University George Saunders '12 Adrienne White '13
Hawks Andrew Tamblyn '13 Emerald Epke '11
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Tyler Steel '13 Kyle Crandall '12
Privateers Dan Crouch Crouch '12 Morgan Keating '13
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Fletcher Sims '14 Ben Lezin '13
Seahawks Ian Liberty '14 Ainsley Thomson '13
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Nick Aswad '11 Aaron Gottlieb '13
Mariners Gary Herring '12 Kristin Koval '12
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Clark Hayes '11 Saverio Maldari '12
Midshipmen Taylor Vann '13 Jocelynn Knudsen '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Colin Silveno '12 Katelyn Guerrera '12
Huskies Doug Harrison '11 Ben Ryan '14
University of Florida University of Florida Max Famiglietti '13 Matthew Wilson '11
Gators Caroline Wright '12 Allison Gray '13
University of Vermont University of Vermont Quentin Chafee '11 Paige Baeder '12
Catamounts Olin Davis '14 Margaret Stone '11
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Joseph Kutschenreuter '12 Molly Forbes '12
Badgers Andrew Fox '13 [1-4, 9-10]
Michael Lee '14 [5-8, 11-14]		 Lizzie Kunze '13 [1-4, 9-10]

Conditions — 10/09/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 52%  ·  Pressure 1017.7 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.3 kn
avg  ·  max 7.1 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From N (357°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover5% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1017.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn · W 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Hobart & William Sm: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.24 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hobart & William Sm by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (30 labelled days at Hobart & William Sm).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →