26th U S C Rose Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 35 52 87
2 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 46 43 89
3 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 41 63 104
4 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 51 60 111
5 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 65 69 134
6 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 91 45 136
7 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 93 74 167
8 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 125 53 178
9 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 76 108 184
10 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 101 92 193
11 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 70 125 195
12 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 109 98 207
13 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 105 116 221
14 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 143 87 230
15 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 138 92 230
16 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 100 136 236
17 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 90 163 253
18 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 142 113 255
19 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 129 135 264
20 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 145 121 266
21 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 142 136 278
22 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 126 153 279
23 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 191 133 324
24 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 143 182 325
25 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 214 191 405
26 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 187 226 413
27 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 204 210 414
28 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 177 248 425
29 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Channel Islands 223 203 426
30 Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 234 205 439
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 7 3 3 12 2 4 3 1 35 Tyler Sinks '11
Katy Nastro '11
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 18 8 2 1 1 2 4 5 41 Chris Barnard '13
Hilary Kenyon '13
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 11 17 1 7 6 1 1 2 46 Michael Menninger '11
Frances Kupersmith '11
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 4 14 6 4 10 2 10 51 Mac Mace '13
Corinna Decollibus '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 12 14 8 3 13 5 7 3 65 Samuel Ingham '11
Amanda Hamlet '12
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 5 15 8 10 11 6 13 70 Judge Ryan '14
Erica Parker '14
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 20 7 10 5 5 8 9 12 76 Ryan Sullivan '12
Keely Scates '12
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 9 12 12 2 3 23 22 7 90 Alexander Sachs '12
Ryann Hall '11
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 15 1 4 22 16 3 14 16 91 Coleman Bowen '11
Laura Walsh-Rogalski '12
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 16 16 11 13 7 7 15 8 93 Dillon Paiva '13
Alexa Cavalieri '14
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 4 19 9 11 14 13 5 25 100 Sean Kelly '12
Jessica Schember '12
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 6 10 6 16 15 17 16 15 101 Kevin Laube '14
Carolyn Ortel '14
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 14 11 7 10 17 12 13 21 105 Stephen Lue '12 [1-6]
Kelsey Rupp '12 [7-8]
Mallory Schluter '14 [1-6]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 19 6 5 15 19 21 18 6 109 Devin Laviano '13
Julie Digiovanni '13
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 3 9 17 20 18 9 25 24 125 Jack Porter '11 [1-4]
Colin Kincaid '14 [5-8]
Christopher Huang '12 [1-4]
Ashley Hobson '13 [5-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 5 2 22 21 20 19 23 14 126 Eric Alamillo '13 [1-6]
Matthew Nguyen '12 [7-8]
Amanda Suarez '13 [1-6]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 21 18 19 9 8 6 26 22 129 Wells Bacon '11
Elizabeth Wilsterman '12
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 17 20 21 17 21 26 12 4 138 Zachary Hester '10 [1-4, 8]
William Petersen '11 [5-7]
Shealin Johnson '11 [1-6]
Zachary Hester '10 [7]
William Petersen '11 [8]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 10 15 23 14 24 20 8 28 142 Brandon Wood '14 [1-2, 5-8]
Lindsay Grove '13 [3-4]
Lindsay Grove '13 [1-2, 7-8]
Eileen Demarkles '14 [3-4]
Rachel Flanagan '14 [5-6]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 23 21 16 23 12 18 20 9 142 George Saunders '12
Kathleen Keaveney '11
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 13 24 27 25 9 24 10 11 143 Philip Gordon '12 [1-2, 5-6]
Andrew Balter '12 [3-4, 7-8]
Hannah Darrow '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Hyojung Na '12 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 25 30 18 4 11 15 17 23 143 Cody Shevitz '12
Jacob Freimer '11
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 8 22 24 19 28 14 11 19 145 Eric Horrocks '11
Alyssa Montague '11
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 26 25 20 18 26 16 19 27 177 Thomas Maher '12
Francesca Delle Cese '12
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 22 28 25 24 22 22 24 20 187 Ryan Lee '12
Elizabeth Thome '11
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 30 23 13 DSQ 23 25 28 18 191 Bryan Rust '11
Debbi Kenote '13
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 28 26 26 27 25 28 27 17 204 Nathaniel Walden '12
Ali Donahue '11
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 29 27 29 28 27 27 21 26 214 Robert Long '12 [1-8]
Travis James '13 [1-2, 5-8]
Kerry Pelton '13 [3-4]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Channel Islands 24 13 DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 223 Gregory Dair '15
Lisa Marchand '12
Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 27 29 28 26 DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 234 Trevor Moseley '13 [1-8]
Taylor Forster '13 [1-4]
Maxwell Kosdar '14 [5-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 7 2 1 1 9 6 2 15 43 Megan Magill '11
Meredith Powlison '11
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 3 10 10 1 2 5 13 45 Johnny Norfleet '13
Ellie O'Brien '12
Boston College Boston College Eagles 3 14 4 6 5 8 11 1 52 William Bowman '14
Emily Massa '12
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 4 4 3 2 8 22 7 3 53 Rex Cameron '12
Blair Johnston '11
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 10 10 2 5 4 1 6 22 60 Ben Spector '13
Alexis Scott '13
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 14 9 12 13 2 3 3 7 63 Michael Campbell '11
Annalee Leggett '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 1 16 3 14 5 22 6 69 Jennifer Proctor '11
Kristen Holloway '12
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 5 15 7 4 3 19 10 11 74 Scott Hoffmann '14
Emily Reich '12
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 9 18 6 7 16 15 8 8 87 Elliot Drake '12
Jessica Prange '14
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 8 8 24 8 11 17 4 12 92 Craig Schifferns '12 [1-8]
Lindsay Stewart '13 [1-4]
Shealin Johnson '11 [5-8]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 20 5 5 14 6 25 15 2 92 Sarah Mace '14
Katie Riklin '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11 24 8 11 23 4 12 5 98 Michael Grove '14
Alice Hong '12
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 12 20 19 9 7 11 13 17 108 Matt Foster '11
Katherine Sander '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 13 7 14 22 20 14 14 9 113 Eric Schwarm '13
Megan Place '13
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 16 11 11 19 15 23 1 20 116 Emily Dahl '13 [1-6]
Mallory Schluter '14 [7-8]
Maggie Nolting '14 [1-6]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 23 16 15 23 24 7 9 4 121 Kevin Reilly '11
Maggy Ashton '14
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 18 6 13 18 13 10 23 24 125 Oscar Jasklowski '11 [1-6]
Andrew Morton '11 [7-8]
Carly Olenick '13 [1-6]
Emelia Pelliccio '13 [7-8]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 21 21 18 15 12 13 19 14 133 Patrick Taylor '12
Sarah Hanavan '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 17 22 9 16 22 9 17 23 135 Max Rollins '12
Stephanie Kapinos '13
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 15 23 20 21 17 12 18 10 136 John Connor Bathen '14 [1-8]
Rachel Flanagan '14 [1-4]
Eileen Demarkles '14 [5-8]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 19 12 17 17 18 16 16 21 136 Scott Doyle '14
Sara Himes '13
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 6 26 25 24 10 20 24 18 153 Alicia Bernhard '13 [1-4, 7-8]
John Olson '14 [5-6]
Brooke Sharp '11 [1-4]
Tyler Wooldridge '14 [5-6]
Jennifer Lyons '12 [7-8]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 22 13 21 20 25 18 25 19 163 Joseph Turchiano '11
Emma Pfohman '13
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 25 17 22 12 29 26 26 25 182 Elizabeth Felando '13
Sarah Adams '13
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 24 19 26 25 19 21 28 29 191 Colin Feik '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Conner Fullerton '12 [3-4, 7-8]
Jennifer Bender '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Amanda Quintanilla '11 [3-4, 7-8]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Channel Islands 27 28 DSQ DSQ 21 28 21 16 203 Andrew Domingos '11 [1-8]
Lisa Marchand '12 [1-2, 7-8]
Kinsey Cohen '17 [3-4]
Hayley Bracken '13 [5-6]
Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 26 27 27 27 27 24 20 27 205 Catherine Bevens '14
Alyssa Aoki '12
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 28 25 23 26 26 27 29 26 210 Jeffrey Miller '12 [1-2, 5-8]
Elizabeth Werley '12 [3-4]
Jessica Hedrich '11 [1-2, 5-8]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 29 29 28 28 28 29 27 28 226 Karisa Chapa '14 [1-8]
Jonathan Wilkerson '11 [1-4]
Brittany Hirsch '13 [5-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 248 Shaun Prestridge '13 [1-8]
Christine Gorney '11 [1-4, 7-8]
Macy Stout '13 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (19 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley5353555557575959
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1010886644
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers4949515153535555
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang5252505018181616
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Channel Islands5050181816161414
Chapman UniversityChapman University Panthers6060585856565454
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars1717494951515353
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears121210108866
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels1111131315151717
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams33557799
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas442260605858
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows22606058585656
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners6644226060
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen88664422
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish99111113131515
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs5577991111
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks1616141412121010
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1313151517174949
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Santa Clara5151535355555757
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans11335577
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks779911111313
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal5959113355
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies1818161614141212
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis5454525250501818
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters5858565654545252
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins575759591133
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego UC San Diego5656545452525050
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos55555757595911
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts14141212101088
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings1515171749495151

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley5454565658586060
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles99775533
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers5050525254545656
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang5151494917171515
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Channel Islands4949171715151313
Chapman UniversityChapman University Panthers5959575755555353
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars1818505052525454
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1111997755
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels1212141416161818
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams4466881010
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas331159595757
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows11595957575555
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners5533115959
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen77553311
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish1010121214141616
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs668810101212
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks15151313111199
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1414161618185050
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Santa Clara5252545456565858
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans22446688
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks88101012121414
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal6060224466
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies1717151513131111
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis5353515149491717
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters5757555553535151
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins585860602244
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego UC San Diego5555535351514949
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos56565858606022
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts131311119977
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings1616181850505252
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Tyler Sinks '11 Katy Nastro '11
Eagles William Bowman '14 Emily Massa '12
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Thomas Maher '12 Francesca Delle Cese '12
Mustang Shaun Prestridge '13 [1-8] Christine Gorney '11 [1-4, 7-8]
Macy Stout '13 [5-6]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Sean Kelly '12 Jessica Schember '12
Keelhaulers Scott Doyle '14 Sara Himes '13
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Gregory Dair '15 Lisa Marchand '12
Channel Islands Andrew Domingos '11 [1-8] Lisa Marchand '12 [1-2, 7-8]
Kinsey Cohen '17 [3-4]
Hayley Bracken '13 [5-6]
Chapman University Chapman University Trevor Moseley '13 [1-8] Taylor Forster '13 [1-4]
Maxwell Kosdar '14 [5-8]
Panthers Catherine Bevens '14 Alyssa Aoki '12
College of Charleston College of Charleston Mac Mace '13 Corinna Decollibus '13
Cougars Ben Spector '13 Alexis Scott '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Wells Bacon '11 Elizabeth Wilsterman '12
Camels Max Rollins '12 Stephanie Kapinos '13
Fordham University Fordham University Alexander Sachs '12 Ryann Hall '11
Rams Joseph Turchiano '11 Emma Pfohman '13
Georgetown University Georgetown University Chris Barnard '13 Hilary Kenyon '13
Hoyas Michael Campbell '11 Annalee Leggett '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Dillon Paiva '13 Alexa Cavalieri '14
Monarchs Scott Hoffmann '14 Emily Reich '12
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University George Saunders '12 Kathleen Keaveney '11
Hawks Eric Schwarm '13 Megan Place '13
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Brandon Wood '14 [1-2, 5-8]
Lindsay Grove '13 [3-4]
Lindsay Grove '13 [1-2, 7-8]
Eileen Demarkles '14 [3-4]
Rachel Flanagan '14 [5-6]
Santa Clara John Connor Bathen '14 [1-8] Rachel Flanagan '14 [1-4]
Eileen Demarkles '14 [5-8]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Michael Menninger '11 Frances Kupersmith '11
Seahawks Megan Magill '11 Meredith Powlison '11
Stanford University Stanford University Kevin Laube '14 Carolyn Ortel '14
Cardinal Sarah Mace '14 Katie Riklin '13
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Robert Long '12 [1-8] Travis James '13 [1-2, 5-8]
Kerry Pelton '13 [3-4]
Aggies Colin Feik '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Conner Fullerton '12 [3-4, 7-8]
Jennifer Bender '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Amanda Quintanilla '11 [3-4, 7-8]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Samuel Ingham '11 Amanda Hamlet '12
Bears Jennifer Proctor '11 Kristen Holloway '12
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Eric Horrocks '11 Alyssa Montague '11
Mariners Kevin Reilly '11 Maggy Ashton '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Devin Laviano '13 Julie Digiovanni '13
Midshipmen Michael Grove '14 Alice Hong '12
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Cody Shevitz '12 Jacob Freimer '11
Berkeley Elizabeth Felando '13 Sarah Adams '13
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Ryan Lee '12 Elizabeth Thome '11
UC Davis Karisa Chapa '14 [1-8] Jonathan Wilkerson '11 [1-4]
Brittany Hirsch '13 [5-8]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Jack Porter '11 [1-4]
Colin Kincaid '14 [5-8]
Christopher Huang '12 [1-4]
Ashley Hobson '13 [5-8]
Anteaters Rex Cameron '12 Blair Johnston '11
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Judge Ryan '14 Erica Parker '14
Bruins Oscar Jasklowski '11 [1-6]
Andrew Morton '11 [7-8]
Carly Olenick '13 [1-6]
Emelia Pelliccio '13 [7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Eric Alamillo '13 [1-6]
Matthew Nguyen '12 [7-8]
Amanda Suarez '13 [1-6]
UC San Diego Alicia Bernhard '13 [1-4, 7-8]
John Olson '14 [5-6]
Brooke Sharp '11 [1-4]
Tyler Wooldridge '14 [5-6]
Jennifer Lyons '12 [7-8]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Ryan Sullivan '12 Keely Scates '12
Gauchos Matt Foster '11 Katherine Sander '13
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Zachary Hester '10 [1-4, 8]
William Petersen '11 [5-7]
Shealin Johnson '11 [1-6]
Zachary Hester '10 [7]
William Petersen '11 [8]
Rainbows Craig Schifferns '12 [1-8] Lindsay Stewart '13 [1-4]
Shealin Johnson '11 [5-8]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Nathaniel Walden '12 Ali Donahue '11
Fighting Irish Jeffrey Miller '12 [1-2, 5-8]
Elizabeth Werley '12 [3-4]
Jessica Hedrich '11 [1-2, 5-8]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Philip Gordon '12 [1-2, 5-6]
Andrew Balter '12 [3-4, 7-8]
Hannah Darrow '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Hyojung Na '12 [3-4, 7-8]
Ducks Elliot Drake '12 Jessica Prange '14
University of Southern California University of Southern California Stephen Lue '12 [1-6]
Kelsey Rupp '12 [7-8]
Mallory Schluter '14 [1-6]
Trojans Emily Dahl '13 [1-6]
Mallory Schluter '14 [7-8]
Maggie Nolting '14 [1-6]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Coleman Bowen '11 Laura Walsh-Rogalski '12
Catamounts Johnny Norfleet '13 Ellie O'Brien '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Bryan Rust '11 Debbi Kenote '13
Vikings Patrick Taylor '12 Sarah Hanavan '13

Conditions — 01/08/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1015.0 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 4.0 kn
Gusts to 8.4 kn
From SSE (166°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover79% Sunshine3.9 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1015.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn · SW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Southern Cal: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.08 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southern Cal by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Southern Cal, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →