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Sherman Hoyt Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 27 36 63
2 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 28 38 66
3 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 43 48 91
4 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 63 32 95
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 76 25 101
6 Brown University Brown University Bears 70 35 105
7 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 66 70 136
8 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 80 59 139
9 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 78 62 140
10 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 82 66 148
11 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 84 65 149
12 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 93 57 150
13 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 101 53 154
14 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 88 66 154
15 Boston University Boston University Terriers 98 63 161
16 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 73 91 164
17 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 116 67 183
18 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 103 94 197
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 8 1 3 1 2 7 3 27 Tyler Sinks '11
Lucy Wallace '11
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 2 3 4 2 3 1 10 28 Cy Thompson '11
Kelly Stannard '12
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 4 4 9 1 4 8 6 7 43 Alan Palmer '11
Meghan Wareham '11
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 11 5 2 7 3 9 11 15 63 Jackson Benvenutti '11
Alyssa Aitken '12
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 17 1 11 2 8 1 13 13 66 Sam Williams '12
Matthew Habig '13
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 9 4 9 15 11 12 9 70 Fred Strammer '11 [1-8]
Molly Bernstein '13 [1-2, 5-8]
Max Straus '11 [3-4]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 5 13 5 12 10 10 17 1 73 Samuel Ingham '11 [1-8]
Amanda Hamlet '12 [1-4, 7-8]
Jacob Tronaas '12 [5-6]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 9 17 15 8 11 5 3 8 76 Massimo Soriano '12
Margaret Rew '11
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 13 16 6 6 5 4 16 12 78 Kevin Laube '14
Carolyn Ortel '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 10 15 13 14 7 6 4 11 80 Coleman Bowen '11 [1-8]
Laura Walsh-Rogalski '12 [1-4]
Mackenzie Spencer '12 [5-8]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 12 12 12 5 6 16 14 5 82 Peter Pellegrini '12 [1-8]
Karafaye Buffa '12 [1-4]
Sarah Muzyka '12 [5-8]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 7 11 16 18 12 12 2 6 84 Samuel Blouin '12
Chris Klevan '12
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 14 3 8 15 16 13 15 4 88 Joseph Morris '12 [1-8]
Amanda Salvesen '14 [1-2]
Claire Dennis '13 [3-8]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 15 DSQ 7 11 17 14 8 2 93 Megan Magill '11 [1-8]
Meredith Powlison '11 [1-2, 7-8]
Fletcher Sims '14 [3-6]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 14 18 10 13 15 5 17 98 Ben Greenfield '11
Fiona Gordon '12
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 8 7 10 16 9 17 18 16 101 Shawn Murray '12
Morgan Keating '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 18 10 14 13 14 7 9 18 103 Brady Stagg '14
Dillon Paiva '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 16 6 17 17 18 18 10 14 116 Jason Carminati '12 [1-8]
Sara Burke '11 [1-4, 7-8]
Connor Timmins '14 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 7 5 2 6 4 1 25 William Haeger '14
Sally Levinson '11
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 11 5 10 1 2 32 Mac Mace '13
Perry Emsiek '12
Brown University Brown University Bears 5 2 8 3 12 5 35 Colin Smith '13
Sara Evans '11
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 4 11 7 9 3 36 Taylor Canfield '11
Emily Massa '12
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 9 1 1 16 7 4 38 Alec Anderson '13
Sophie Bellacosa '13
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 1 DSQ 16 4 2 6 48 Tedd Himler '11
Alma Lafler '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 8 10 3 11 6 15 53 Ted Green '13
Madeleine Fahey '12
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 11 14 13 1 8 10 57 Victor Diaz De Leon '14 [1-6]
Karl Haelsig '14 [1-4]
Fletcher Sims '14 [5-6]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 12 12 10 13 5 7 59 Johnny Norfleet '13
Ellie O'Brien '12
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 14 7 9 9 10 13 62 Oliver Toole '14
Yuri Namikawa '14
Boston University Boston University Terriers 10 6 15 5 13 14 63 Daniel Perkins '11 [1-6]
Elizabeth Santovasi '11 [1-2]
Joseph Ballow '13 [3-4]
Paul Perry '11 [5-6]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 16 8 14 12 3 12 65 Austen Anderson '12
Bridget Nannig '13
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 4 9 4 14 18 17 66 Cam Cullman '13 [1-6]
Blair Belling '11 [1-2]
Amanda Salvesen '14 [3-6]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 6 15 17 2 17 9 66 Eric Decesar '11
Hope Dingeman '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 17 17 6 8 11 8 67 Max Lopez '14 [1-6]
Andy Kramer '11 [1-4]
Caroline Lockett '12 [5-6]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 18 3 7 15 16 11 70 Edward Glackin '11
Carissa Crawford '14
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 15 16 12 18 14 16 91 Jonathan Duffett '11 [1-6]
Tanya Cuprak '11 [1-2]
Matthew Stroebel '12 [3-6]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 13 13 18 17 15 18 94 Scott Hoffmann '14
Julia Wiesner '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11335577
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22181816161414
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears33557799
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars442218181616
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears5577991111
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green6644221818
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson779911111313
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen88664422
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen99111113131515
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1010886644
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs1111131315151717
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks121210108866
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks13131515171711
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks14141212101088
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal151517171133
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1616141412121010
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1717113355
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1818161614141212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles224466
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1117171515
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears446688
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars33111717
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears66881010
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green553311
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson8810101212
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen775533
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen101012121414
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers997755
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs121214141616
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks11119977
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks141416161818
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1313111199
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1616181822
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos151513131111
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts18182244
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs171715151313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Tyler Sinks '11 Lucy Wallace '11
Eagles Taylor Canfield '11 Emily Massa '12
Boston University Boston University Ben Greenfield '11 Fiona Gordon '12
Terriers Daniel Perkins '11 [1-6] Elizabeth Santovasi '11 [1-2]
Joseph Ballow '13 [3-4]
Paul Perry '11 [5-6]
Brown University Brown University Fred Strammer '11 [1-8] Molly Bernstein '13 [1-2, 5-8]
Max Straus '11 [3-4]
Bears Colin Smith '13 Sara Evans '11
College of Charleston College of Charleston Jackson Benvenutti '11 Alyssa Aitken '12
Cougars Mac Mace '13 Perry Emsiek '12
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Sam Williams '12 Matthew Habig '13
Big Green Edward Glackin '11 Carissa Crawford '14
Harvard University Harvard University Alan Palmer '11 Meghan Wareham '11
Crimson Tedd Himler '11 Alma Lafler '14
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Samuel Blouin '12 Chris Klevan '12
Statesmen Austen Anderson '12 Bridget Nannig '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Brady Stagg '14 Dillon Paiva '13
Monarchs Scott Hoffmann '14 Julia Wiesner '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Cy Thompson '11 Kelly Stannard '12
Hawks Alec Anderson '13 Sophie Bellacosa '13
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Shawn Murray '12 Morgan Keating '13
Privateers Ted Green '13 Madeleine Fahey '12
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Peter Pellegrini '12 [1-8] Karafaye Buffa '12 [1-4]
Sarah Muzyka '12 [5-8]
Seahawks Eric Decesar '11 Hope Dingeman '14
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Megan Magill '11 [1-8] Meredith Powlison '11 [1-2, 7-8]
Fletcher Sims '14 [3-6]
Seahawks Victor Diaz De Leon '14 [1-6] Karl Haelsig '14 [1-4]
Fletcher Sims '14 [5-6]
Stanford University Stanford University Kevin Laube '14 Carolyn Ortel '14
Cardinal Oliver Toole '14 Yuri Namikawa '14
Tufts University Tufts University Massimo Soriano '12 Margaret Rew '11
Jumbos William Haeger '14 Sally Levinson '11
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Samuel Ingham '11 [1-8] Amanda Hamlet '12 [1-4, 7-8]
Jacob Tronaas '12 [5-6]
Bears Jonathan Duffett '11 [1-6] Tanya Cuprak '11 [1-2]
Matthew Stroebel '12 [3-6]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Jason Carminati '12 [1-8] Sara Burke '11 [1-4, 7-8]
Connor Timmins '14 [5-6]
Midshipmen Max Lopez '14 [1-6] Andy Kramer '11 [1-4]
Caroline Lockett '12 [5-6]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Coleman Bowen '11 [1-8] Laura Walsh-Rogalski '12 [1-4]
Mackenzie Spencer '12 [5-8]
Catamounts Johnny Norfleet '13 Ellie O'Brien '12
Yale University Yale University Joseph Morris '12 [1-8] Amanda Salvesen '14 [1-2]
Claire Dennis '13 [3-8]
Bulldogs Cam Cullman '13 [1-6] Blair Belling '11 [1-2]
Amanda Salvesen '14 [3-6]

Conditions — 10/23/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1018.2 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 44°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.9 kn
avg  ·  max 12.1 kn
Gusts to 28.0 kn
From WNW (288°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover41% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1018.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 13 kn · SE 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Brown: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.17 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Brown by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (78 labelled days at Brown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →