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Navy Fall

# SchoolTeam A B C D TOT
1 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 109 122 86 83 400
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 92 109 134 88 423
3 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 191 94 97 84 466
4 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 139 111 179 78 507
5 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 144 157 130 97 528
6 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 144 88 160 138 530
7 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 92 126 155 163 536
8 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 147 139 164 127 577
9 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 148 172 125 182 627
10 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 161 113 131 225 630
11 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 163 142 191 140 636
12 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 159 140 162 212 673
13 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 163 216 158 177 714
14 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 146 227 190 193 756
15 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 263 266 197 158 884
16 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 229 235 161 309 934
17 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 269 302 300 287 1158
18 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 309 321 334 311 1275
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 2 8 4 8 11 11 BKD 3 10 4 1 3 4 4 1 1 9 92 Massimo Soriano '12 [1-18]
Duncan Swain '15 [1-9]
Adam Weisman '12 [10-12]
Madeline Luce '13 [13-18]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 13 1 1 8 5 3 5 1 8 2 3 9 1 6 3 14 5 4 92 Mac Mace '13 [1-18]
Perry Emsiek '12 [1-2, 13-18]
Samuel Stokes '12 [3-9]
Ben Spector '13 [10-12]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 2 10 7 2 1 1 1 6 6 6 6 13 13 8 11 7 3 6 109 Joseph Morris '12 [1-18]
Isabel Elliman '12 [1-2, 13-18]
Heather May '13 [3-9]
William Feldman '14 [10-12]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 12 9 7 16 10 16 8 11 13 2 10 6 1 2 12 2 1 139 Johnny Norfleet '13 [1-18]
Chris Klevan '12 [1-4, 13-18]
Julia Oak '14 [5-9]
Jacqueline Day '14 [10-12]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 9 16 10 12 3 5 12 12 7 7 5 3 4 5 8 3 11 12 144 Sydney Bolger '12 [1-18]
Nancy Hagood '14 [1-4]
Michael Schalka '13 [5-12]
Rebecca Evans '12 [13-18]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 10 4 3 9 7 2 3 3 14 5 1 15 5 15 17 10 13 8 144 Joshua Greenslade '14 [1-18]
Fletcher Sims '14 [1-2]
Ben Lezin '13 [3-12]
Lauren Schoene '13 [13-18]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 7 3 2 1 9 12 6 11 1 9 10 2 15 2 10 16 14 16 146 Michael Whitford '12 [1-18]
Edwin Strong '15 [1-12, 17-18]
Matt Lawler '13 [13-16]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 8 9 5 3 12 4 8 7 15 3 13 12 11 9 7 4 12 5 147 Dillon Paiva '13 [1-18]
Chloe Constants '14 [1, 13-18]
Brady Stagg '14 [2-12]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 12 13 6 5 4 6 2 2 4 1 17 4 9 10 14 18 18 3 148 Will Stocke '13
Emily Johnson '13
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 4 6 14 13 10 15 4 5 13 12 7 5 7 11 16 11 4 2 159 Shawn Murray '12 [1-18]
Morgan Keating '13 [1-4]
Michael Vermilyea '13 [5-12]
Emma Lamontagne '14 [13-18]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 5 8 11 14 2 8 9 4 5 15 8 11 18 7 1 9 16 10 161 Eamon Glackin '12 [1-18]
Steven Drapcho '13 [1-12]
Kelden Pehr '13 [13-18]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 6 11 4 15 11 14 13 15 2 4 12 8 10 12 5 5 9 7 163 Nicholas Voss '12 [1-18]
Kara Voss '15 [1-2, 9-18]
Bryce Scarfone '15 [3-8]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11 14 13 6 6 7 7 9 16 8 16 6 2 3 12 6 7 14 163 Jason Carminati '12 [1-18]
Saverio Maldari '12 [1-12]
Julie Digiovanni '13 [13-18]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 14 7 12 10 13 9 14 13 9 11 9 14 12 13 6 2 10 13 191 Nick Dugdale '12
Mckenzie Wilson '14
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 16 5 16 DNF 14 13 10 14 12 14 15 18 8 14 9 15 6 11 229 Jack Swikart '15 [1-18]
Ali Zablocki '12 [1-4, 13-18]
Marina Reppucci '12 [5-12]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 17 15 15 11 17 17 15 16 17 16 14 16 14 17 13 8 8 17 263 Collin Weston '13 [1-18]
Leslie Holt '12 [1-2, 10-18]
Benjamin Kennady '13 [3-9]
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 15 17 18 DNF 15 18 18 10 10 17 11 7 16 16 15 17 15 15 269 Lance Fraser '15
John Neal '15
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 18 18 17 16 18 16 17 17 18 18 18 17 17 18 18 13 17 18 309 David Oliver '14 [1-18]
Scott Ismail '14 [1-9]
Alex Mayo '15 [10-18]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 5 2 8 2 4 4 2 7 7 7 6 8 7 1 1 5 1 11 88 Victor Diaz De Leon '14 [1-18]
Ben Lezin '13 [1-2]
Jacob La Dow '15 [3-10]
Fletcher Sims '14 [11-12]
Kelley Merryman '14 [13-18]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 6 1 4 3 2 2 9 4 8 8 2 10 12 6 2 1 11 3 94 Kevin Laube '14 [1-18]
John Ortel '15 [1-10]
Carolyn Ortel '14 [11-18]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 9 6 5 1 6 1 8 1 11 2 10 2 6 4 10 12 14 1 109 Zeke Horowitz '12 [1-18]
Corinna Decollibus '13 [1-2, 13-18]
Brooks Clark '13 [3-6, 10-12]
Ben Spector '13 [7-9]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 10 4 1 10 5 10 11 2 10 1 11 6 4 2 8 8 6 2 111 Austen Anderson '12 [1-18]
Bridget Nannig '13 [1-4, 13-18]
Jacqueline Day '14 [5-9]
Julia Oak '14 [10-12]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 14 11 2 5 3 3 5 5 6 9 4 4 3 7 5 7 10 10 113 Andrew Sommer '13 [1-18]
Mark Van De Loo '13 [1-12]
Stephanie Tong '12 [13-18]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 7 3 12 7 14 5 1 11 9 5 1 14 1 3 4 6 13 6 122 Christopher Segerblom '14 [1-18]
Margot Benedict '12 [1-2, 13-18]
Zachary Foreman '13 [3-9]
Heather May '13 [10-12]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 9 6 4 1 12 6 8 13 6 9 3 9 5 14 4 12 4 126 William Haeger '14 [1-18]
Adam Weisman '12 [1-9]
Duncan Swain '15 [10-12]
Paula Grasberger '14 [13-18]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 4 13 14 15 15 7 3 6 4 4 8 1 11 8 6 10 3 7 139 Scott Hoffmann '14 [1-6]
Gavin Rudolph '12 [7-18]
Emily Reich '12 [1-6]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 12 7 3 9 7 8 12 3 1 10 5 7 10 9 13 17 2 5 140 Harry Scott '13 [1-18]
Emma Lamontagne '14 [1-4]
Morgan Keating '13 [5-18]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11 8 10 12 9 6 7 14 5 3 3 15 2 11 7 2 8 9 142 Taylor Vann '13 [1-9]
Michael Grove '14 [10-18]
Jocelynn Knudsen '13 [1-3]
Michael Grove '14 [4-9]
Caroline Lockett '12 [10-18]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 5 9 6 12 13 4 9 3 14 12 13 8 12 11 11 4 8 157 Peter Johns '12 [1-18]
Edward Mark '14 [1-12]
Victoria Lynch '13 [13-18]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 10 11 13 8 9 13 12 12 13 7 5 5 14 12 3 9 14 172 Sean Ross '12 [1-14]
David Harrison '13 [15-18]
David Harrison '13 [1-14]
Kaitlin Kramer '13 [15-18]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 8 16 7 8 13 11 10 13 15 11 15 12 15 13 15 14 7 13 216 Alex Olt '12 [1-18]
Nikki Bruno '12 [1-2, 13-18]
Liam Munzenmaier '13 [3-12]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 13 12 13 11 11 15 14 15 2 12 DSQ 9 14 15 9 13 15 15 227 Mildred Conroy '12
Thomas Heist '15
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 15 15 17 16 10 17 16 10 14 15 13 11 16 10 3 9 16 12 235 Christina Johns '13
Kelsi Schoenrock '12
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 16 14 15 14 16 14 17 16 16 16 14 17 13 16 16 15 5 16 266 Coleman Terrell '14 [1-9]
Benjamin Kennady '13 [10-18]
Megan Chan Chow '13 [1-2, 13-18]
Ava Kovach '12 [3-12]
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 17 18 16 17 17 16 15 17 17 DNS 16 16 17 17 17 16 17 17 302 Clifton Kartner '15
Jonathan Klynkramer '14
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 18 17 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 17 17 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 321 Karinne Smolenyak '15
Lukas Rowland '14
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 2 8 3 1 1 1 2 4 2 12 14 8 3 16 1 1 6 1 86 Cam Cullman '13
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 7 9 9 6 10 4 3 3 9 9 3 5 1 2 6 3 4 4 97 Mateo Vargas '14
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 9 4 14 5 11 3 7 8 6 7 8 7 BKD 10 10 2 1 6 125 Christopher Stocke '15
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 13 5 2 2 2 15 6 OCS 3 13 6 7 12 4 BKD 7 2 130 Chris Barnard '13
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 14 2 10 4 3 12 11 1 4 13 2 10 6 9 12 4 11 3 131 David Alfonso '14
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 12 1 1 7 4 10 14 7 15 16 5 4 8 4 2 12 2 10 134 Erik Bowers '12
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 7 7 10 BKD 14 13 14 7 1 16 13 4 5 3 7 15 9 155 Dan Nickerson '15
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 13 3 13 13 14 8 1 9 5 4 1 3 14 7 11 10 14 15 158 David Hernandez '12
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 10 6 6 3 7 6 6 11 10 2 12 11 11 15 7 13 13 11 160 John Wallace '14
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 6 12 15 12 9 13 8 15 3 10 9 2 2 3 9 5 12 16 161 Michael Russom '13
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 3 5 12 14 13 5 4 2 1 OCS 15 12 13 1 14 9 8 12 162 Randall Hartranft '12
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 11 11 8 11 8 7 10 10 11 8 10 BKD 10 8 8 6 10 8 164 Collin Leon '13
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 8 15 16 15 15 16 12 12 8 11 4 1 5 6 5 11 5 14 179 Timothy Zacher '13
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 4 14 4 9 5 9 9 16 14 5 11 15 15 14 16 14 3 13 190 Ryan Bailey '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 15 10 11 8 6 15 BKD 5 12 6 7 14 9 13 13 15 16 5 191 Philip Youngberg '15
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 16 16 2 BKD OCS 11 5 13 13 14 6 9 12 11 15 8 9 7 197 Trey Hartman '15
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 17 17 17 16 16 17 16 17 DNS 15 17 16 16 17 17 16 17 17 300 William Schwenger '13
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 18 18 DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNF DNF 17 18 18 DNF 18 18 334 Nick Hecht '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 7 4 6 11 3 1 2 7 6 1 3 4 1 1 7 10 3 1 78 Samuel Blouin '12
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 3 1 5 7 BKD BKD 4 1 8 7 1 3 5 15 2 3 5 5 83 Claire Dennis '13
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 6 3 4 2 4 2 5 2 1 4 6 1 10 8 14 2 2 8 84 Kieran Chung '15
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 2 2 1 1 5 8 4 2 BKD 2 5 9 5 11 11 4 10 88 William Sands '15
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 11 3 5 2 3 7 9 5 8 4 2 11 9 4 9 1 2 97 Alex Post '15
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 5 5 9 4 7 10 13 14 7 11 9 7 4 2 1 6 7 6 127 Evan Hoffmann '14
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 10 8 1 3 5 4 9 6 4 2 7 15 14 13 9 7 12 9 138 Catherine Shanahan '15 [1-2, 13-18]
Gordon Lamphere '12 [3-12]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 13 6 10 8 11 8 10 8 11 5 8 9 2 10 3 8 6 4 140 Marissa Lihan '14
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 12 13 14 12 10 6 3 5 9 3 5 6 6 7 13 12 11 11 158 Jonathan Atwood '12
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 15 10 11 14 12 12 12 11 13 10 11 8 3 3 5 1 9 3 163 Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon '15
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 4 BKD 7 10 6 7 1 10 14 6 15 11 17 12 12 5 15 15 177 Matt Jaykus '14
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 9 9 13 13 13 13 6 12 15 12 12 13 8 4 6 4 8 12 182 Dominique Wright '15
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 11 14 15 9 9 11 14 13 3 13 13 10 12 6 10 13 10 7 193 Sam Fitzgerald '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 8 7 8 6 14 9 11 15 10 16 14 12 15 11 8 16 14 18 212 Matthew Schoene '15
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 14 12 12 15 8 14 16 3 12 9 10 14 13 14 15 15 16 13 225 Hanna Vincent '14
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 17 15 17 16 16 15 17 17 DNS DNS 17 17 7 17 18 14 13 16 287 Aaron Babier '15
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 16 DNF 16 DNS 15 16 15 18 DNS DNS 16 18 16 18 17 18 17 17 309 Armaan Pai '15
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 18 DNF DNS DNS DNF DNS 18 16 16 15 18 16 18 16 16 17 18 14 311 Evelyn Hull '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars112233445566778899
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas22111818171716161515141413131212
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen3344556677889910101111
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes4433221118181717161615151414
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines55667788991010111112121313
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers665544332211181817171616
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen778899101011111212131314141515
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers88776655443322111818
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs9910101111121213131414151516161717
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers15151616171718181122334455
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels10109988776655443322
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls16161515141413131212111110109988
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1111121213131414151516161717181811
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal121211111010998877665544
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies131314141515161617171818112233
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1414131312121111101099887766
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717181811223344556677
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514141313121211111010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars112233445566778899
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas22111818171716161515141413131212
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen3344556677889910101111
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes4433221118181717161615151414
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines55667788991010111112121313
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers665544332211181817171616
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen778899101011111212131314141515
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers88776655443322111818
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs9910101111121213131414151516161717
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers15151616171718181122334455
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels10109988776655443322
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls16161515141413131212111110109988
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1111121213131414151516161717181811
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal121211111010998877665544
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies131314141515161617171818112233
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1414131312121111101099887766
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717181811223344556677
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514141313121211111010

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C10C11C12C13C14C15C16C17C18C
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars112233445566778899
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas22111818171716161515141413131212
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen3344556677889910101111
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes4433221118181717161615151414
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines55667788991010111112121313
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers665544332211181817171616
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen778899101011111212131314141515
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers88776655443322111818
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs9910101111121213131414151516161717
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers15151616171718181122334455
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels10109988776655443322
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls16161515141413131212111110109988
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1111121213131414151516161717181811
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal121211111010998877665544
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies131314141515161617171818112233
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1414131312121111101099887766
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717181811223344556677
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514141313121211111010

Division D

Team1D2D3D4D5D6D7D8D9D10D11D12D13D14D15D16D17D18D
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars112233445566778899
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas22111818171716161515141413131212
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen3344556677889910101111
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes4433221118181717161615151414
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines55667788991010111112121313
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers665544332211181817171616
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen778899101011111212131314141515
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers88776655443322111818
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs9910101111121213131414151516161717
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers15151616171718181122334455
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels10109988776655443322
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls16161515141413131212111110109988
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1111121213131414151516161717181811
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal121211111010998877665544
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies131314141515161617171818112233
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1414131312121111101099887766
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717181811223344556677
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514141313121211111010
School / Team SkipperCrew
College of Charleston College of Charleston Mac Mace '13 [1-18] Perry Emsiek '12 [1-2, 13-18]
Samuel Stokes '12 [3-9]
Ben Spector '13 [10-12]
Cougars Zeke Horowitz '12 [1-18] Corinna Decollibus '13 [1-2, 13-18]
Brooks Clark '13 [3-6, 10-12]
Ben Spector '13 [7-9]
Erik Bowers '12
William Sands '15
Georgetown University Georgetown University Sydney Bolger '12 [1-18] Nancy Hagood '14 [1-4]
Michael Schalka '13 [5-12]
Rebecca Evans '12 [13-18]
Hoyas Peter Johns '12 [1-18] Edward Mark '14 [1-12]
Victoria Lynch '13 [13-18]
Chris Barnard '13
Alex Post '15
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Johnny Norfleet '13 [1-18] Chris Klevan '12 [1-4, 13-18]
Julia Oak '14 [5-9]
Jacqueline Day '14 [10-12]
Statesmen Austen Anderson '12 [1-18] Bridget Nannig '13 [1-4, 13-18]
Jacqueline Day '14 [5-9]
Julia Oak '14 [10-12]
Timothy Zacher '13
Samuel Blouin '12
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Eamon Glackin '12 [1-18] Steven Drapcho '13 [1-12]
Kelden Pehr '13 [13-18]
Beavers Andrew Sommer '13 [1-18] Mark Van De Loo '13 [1-12]
Stephanie Tong '12 [13-18]
David Alfonso '14
Hanna Vincent '14
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Dillon Paiva '13 [1-18] Chloe Constants '14 [1, 13-18]
Brady Stagg '14 [2-12]
Monarchs Scott Hoffmann '14 [1-6]
Gavin Rudolph '12 [7-18]		 Emily Reich '12 [1-6]
Collin Leon '13
Evan Hoffmann '14
Queen's University Queen's University Lance Fraser '15 John Neal '15
Gaels Clifton Kartner '15 Jonathan Klynkramer '14
William Schwenger '13
Aaron Babier '15
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Shawn Murray '12 [1-18] Morgan Keating '13 [1-4]
Michael Vermilyea '13 [5-12]
Emma Lamontagne '14 [13-18]
Privateers Harry Scott '13 [1-18] Emma Lamontagne '14 [1-4]
Morgan Keating '13 [5-18]
Randall Hartranft '12
Matthew Schoene '15
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Joshua Greenslade '14 [1-18] Fletcher Sims '14 [1-2]
Ben Lezin '13 [3-12]
Lauren Schoene '13 [13-18]
Seahawks Victor Diaz De Leon '14 [1-18] Ben Lezin '13 [1-2]
Jacob La Dow '15 [3-10]
Fletcher Sims '14 [11-12]
Kelley Merryman '14 [13-18]
John Wallace '14
Catherine Shanahan '15 [1-2, 13-18]
Gordon Lamphere '12 [3-12]
Stanford University Stanford University Nick Dugdale '12 Mckenzie Wilson '14
Cardinal Kevin Laube '14 [1-18] John Ortel '15 [1-10]
Carolyn Ortel '14 [11-18]
Mateo Vargas '14
Kieran Chung '15
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Collin Weston '13 [1-18] Leslie Holt '12 [1-2, 10-18]
Benjamin Kennady '13 [3-9]
Aggies Coleman Terrell '14 [1-9]
Benjamin Kennady '13 [10-18]		 Megan Chan Chow '13 [1-2, 13-18]
Ava Kovach '12 [3-12]
Trey Hartman '15
Jonathan Atwood '12
Tufts University Tufts University Massimo Soriano '12 [1-18] Duncan Swain '15 [1-9]
Adam Weisman '12 [10-12]
Madeline Luce '13 [13-18]
Jumbos William Haeger '14 [1-18] Adam Weisman '12 [1-9]
Duncan Swain '15 [10-12]
Paula Grasberger '14 [13-18]
Dan Nickerson '15
Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Jason Carminati '12 [1-18] Saverio Maldari '12 [1-12]
Julie Digiovanni '13 [13-18]
Midshipmen Taylor Vann '13 [1-9]
Michael Grove '14 [10-18]		 Jocelynn Knudsen '13 [1-3]
Michael Grove '14 [4-9]
Caroline Lockett '12 [10-18]
Philip Youngberg '15
Marissa Lihan '14
University of Miami University of Miami Nicholas Voss '12 [1-18] Kara Voss '15 [1-2, 9-18]
Bryce Scarfone '15 [3-8]
Hurricanes Alex Olt '12 [1-18] Nikki Bruno '12 [1-2, 13-18]
Liam Munzenmaier '13 [3-12]
David Hernandez '12
Matt Jaykus '14
University of Michigan University of Michigan David Oliver '14 [1-18] Scott Ismail '14 [1-9]
Alex Mayo '15 [10-18]
Wolverines Karinne Smolenyak '15 Lukas Rowland '14
Nick Hecht '15
Evelyn Hull '13
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Jack Swikart '15 [1-18] Ali Zablocki '12 [1-4, 13-18]
Marina Reppucci '12 [5-12]
Quakers Christina Johns '13 Kelsi Schoenrock '12
Michael Russom '13
Armaan Pai '15
University of South Florida University of South Florida Will Stocke '13 Emily Johnson '13
Bulls Sean Ross '12 [1-14]
David Harrison '13 [15-18]		 David Harrison '13 [1-14]
Kaitlin Kramer '13 [15-18]
Christopher Stocke '15
Dominique Wright '15
Washington College Washington College Michael Whitford '12 [1-18] Edwin Strong '15 [1-12, 17-18]
Matt Lawler '13 [13-16]
Shoremen Mildred Conroy '12 Thomas Heist '15
Ryan Bailey '15
Sam Fitzgerald '14
Yale University Yale University Joseph Morris '12 [1-18] Isabel Elliman '12 [1-2, 13-18]
Heather May '13 [3-9]
William Feldman '14 [10-12]
Bulldogs Christopher Segerblom '14 [1-18] Margot Benedict '12 [1-2, 13-18]
Zachary Foreman '13 [3-9]
Heather May '13 [10-12]
Cam Cullman '13
Claire Dennis '13

Conditions — 10/15/2011 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 46%  ·  Pressure 1007.0 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.8 kn
avg  ·  max 16.3 kn
Gusts to 29.2 kn
From SW (235°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover3% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity46% Pressure1007.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 16 kn · SW 12 kn · W 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Navy: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.10 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.05)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →