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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 43 72 115
2 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 88 57 145
3 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 82 76 158
4 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 81 106 187
5 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 130 91 221
6 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 123 166 289
7 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 143 165 308
8 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 158 161 319
9 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 194 166 360
10 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 223 142 365
11 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 230 184 414
12 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 207 208 415
13 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 231 194 425
14 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 216 226 442
15 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 234 245 479
16 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 182 302 484
17 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 255 249 504
18 Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 260 271 531
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 2 1 2 1 3 4 3 1 3 2 2 2 2 1 3 4 6 43 Chris Barnard '13 [1-18]
Hilary Kenyon '13 [1-9, 12-18]
Leslie Cowen '13 [10-11]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 7 3 3 9 3 1 1 11 3 8 4 3 3 1 13 6 1 1 81 Johnny Norfleet '13
Bridget Nannig '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 8 4 2 4 2 5 11 1 2 9 1 1 8 4 2 13 2 3 82 Dillon Paiva '13 [1-18]
Chloe Constants '14 [1-9, 12-18]
Cooper Paiva '16 [10-11]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 13 5 1 5 4 6 2 11 1 3 4 1 3 14 2 5 5 88 Michael Grove '14
Jocelynn Knudsen '13
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 2 6 13 7 8 2 5 7 9 4 6 10 5 9 8 5 6 11 123 Gordon Wolcott '13 [1-18]
Hannah Varden '15 [1-9]
Ellen Hubbard '14 [10-18]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 1 8 3 4 6 9 4 7 10 13 6 9 15 5 4 9 13 130 Joshua Greenslade '14 [1-18]
Katherine Gluskin '13 [1-9, 12-16]
Kayla Mccomb '13 [10-11, 17-18]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 6 7 4 14 11 7 3 5 13 7 9 8 13 13 3 7 3 10 143 Harry Scott '13
George Roberson '15
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 5 8 9 10 12 15 7 6 4 2 7 5 17 11 11 10 10 9 158 Connor Godfrey '16
Dan Canziani '14
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 16 10 14 13 14 12 14 10 10 5 5 7 11 5 12 8 8 8 182 Griffin Orr '15
Stephanie Rosenbaum '13
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 13 12 7 6 7 11 2 12 14 14 16 12 7 8 16 9 16 12 194 Sam Fitzgerald '14
Blair Towers '15
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 11 5 16 15 16 16 12 13 8 11 15 11 4 6 7 11 14 16 207 Ian Connors '13
Rebecca Engel '13
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 14 14 6 8 6 14 17 8 17 13 12 14 12 17 10 12 15 7 216 Andrew Bates '15
Cara Halm '16
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 10 11 12 5 15 13 8 16 5 15 8 13 10 18 15 17 18 14 223 Duncan Howes '15 [1-15, 17-18]
Alden Sonnenfeldt '13 [16]
Devon Furlong '13 [1-15]
Claire Riedman '16 [16-18]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 12 16 11 11 9 8 16 14 12 6 18 16 18 16 4 14 11 18 230 Michael Russom '13 [1-18]
Christina Johns '13 [1-9, 12-15, 18]
Jose -Maria Barrero '13 [10-11, 16-17]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions RAF 9 17 12 13 18 10 9 6 16 10 15 15 10 17 1 17 17 231 Conor Cashel '14
Catherine Duggan '15
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 15 15 10 17 17 9 15 18 18 17 11 9 6 7 18 15 13 4 234 Ben Buhl '16 [1-18]
Amy Craven '13 [1-10, 13-16]
Grace Bluefeld '15 [11-12, 17-18]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 9 RAF 18 16 18 17 13 15 16 18 17 17 16 12 9 16 7 2 255 Nathan Fast '14 [1-6, 13-18]
Dylan Froriep '15 [7-12]
Cody Stansky '16 [1-16]
Erin Hub '16 [17-18]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 17 17 15 18 10 10 18 17 15 12 14 18 14 14 6 18 12 15 260 Paul Stevens '14
Shawn Diamond '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 4 8 5 1 1 9 1 3 1 2 4 5 1 1 1 6 3 57 Mary Hall '15
Glenn Mckenna '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 1 2 1 3 2 3 6 2 2 4 2 8 3 6 11 5 6 72 Nevin Snow '16 [1-18]
Victoria Lynch '13 [1-16]
Leslie Cowen '13 [17-18]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 3 5 5 4 4 3 2 2 4 4 1 3 1 13 7 10 1 4 76 Esteban Forrer '16
Julia Wiesner '14
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 11 8 3 3 9 11 1 5 1 3 3 1 2 6 10 2 4 8 91 Fletcher Sims '14 [1-18]
Mayumi Roller '13 [1-9]
Kelley Merryman '14 [10-18]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 4 3 4 10 6 6 10 8 5 11 14 5 3 7 3 4 2 1 106 Eddie Cox '16 [1-12]
Louis Padnos '14 [13-18]
Catherine Pelo '13 [1-12]
Jane Rew '14 [13-18]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 6 10 6 11 7 6 4 9 5 12 12 4 10 12 5 8 13 142 Lauren Turner '13 [1-18]
Lindsey Ludwig '14 [1-7, 9, 11-18]
Della Bradt '13 [8, 10]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 9 11 6 8 15 5 8 9 11 10 10 9 14 4 11 6 13 2 161 Adam Keally '15
Emma Pfohman '13
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 7 2 1 14 2 DSQ 7 3 7 16 8 11 11 16 5 15 14 7 165 Tyler Steel '13
Paige Conlin '14
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 8 10 7 13 5 4 14 7 8 12 13 6 9 5 9 7 11 18 166 Christopher Stessing '14 [1-18]
Caitlin Grumbling '16 [1-9, 13-18]
Alexandra Brenin '15 [10-12]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 14 7 9 16 10 14 5 14 6 6 9 8 13 2 2 13 3 15 166 Ryan Bailey '15
Matt Lawler '13
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 13 9 15 2 16 13 4 RAF 17 7 7 16 6 8 8 3 10 11 184 Jack Swikart '15 [1-18]
Patricia Andrade '15 [1-2, 11-18]
Meaghan Harding '16 [3-10]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 6 13 13 12 8 9 13 10 13 8 5 15 7 12 13 18 9 10 194 Irene Jacqz '13
Alison Rosenfeld '13
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 16 15 11 9 13 8 11 13 16 9 6 14 12 15 4 9 15 12 208 Maria Sinagra '16
Kaitlin Denny '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 10 14 16 11 12 10 12 16 12 13 11 13 10 9 14 12 17 14 226 Samuel Watterson '16 [1-6]
James Gardner '16 [7-18]
Francois Conde-Jahn '13 [1-6]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 15 16 14 17 14 12 17 17 10 15 17 10 16 14 17 8 7 9 245 Richard Ross '16 [1-18]
Annie Eckmann '14 [1-10, 13-18]
Julia Davis '16 [11-12]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 12 12 18 15 7 15 15 11 14 14 15 17 15 11 16 14 12 16 249 Casey Brown '16
James Codega '14
Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 17 17 12 7 17 16 16 15 15 17 16 7 17 18 15 16 16 17 271 Brogan Savage '15
Courtney Brooks '16
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 18 18 17 18 18 17 18 12 18 18 18 18 DNF 17 18 17 18 5 302 Luke Miller '15
Melissa Eiffert '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls1414131312121111101099887766
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains112233445566778899
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions22111818171716161515141413131212
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red3344556677889910101111
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams4433221118181717161615151414
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials665544332211181817171616
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas55667788991010111112121313
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen778899101011111212131314141515
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners88776655443322111818
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Monmouth9910101111121213131414151516161717
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen10109988776655443322
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1111121213131414151516161717181811
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs121211111010998877665544
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers15151616171718181122334455
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks131314141515161617171818112233
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos16161515141413131212111110109988
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717181811223344556677
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers181817171616151514141313121211111010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls1414131312121111101099887766
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains112233445566778899
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions22111818171716161515141413131212
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red3344556677889910101111
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams4433221118181717161615151414
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials665544332211181817171616
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas55667788991010111112121313
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen778899101011111212131314141515
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners88776655443322111818
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Monmouth9910101111121213131414151516161717
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen10109988776655443322
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1111121213131414151516161717181811
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs121211111010998877665544
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers15151616171718181122334455
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks131314141515161617171818112233
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos16161515141413131212111110109988
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717181811223344556677
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers181817171616151514141313121211111010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Ben Buhl '16 [1-18] Amy Craven '13 [1-10, 13-16]
Grace Bluefeld '15 [11-12, 17-18]
Captains Richard Ross '16 [1-18] Annie Eckmann '14 [1-10, 13-18]
Julia Davis '16 [11-12]
Columbia University Columbia University Conor Cashel '14 Catherine Duggan '15
Lions Irene Jacqz '13 Alison Rosenfeld '13
Cornell University Cornell University Duncan Howes '15 [1-15, 17-18]
Alden Sonnenfeldt '13 [16]		 Devon Furlong '13 [1-15]
Claire Riedman '16 [16-18]
Big Red Lauren Turner '13 [1-18] Lindsey Ludwig '14 [1-7, 9, 11-18]
Della Bradt '13 [8, 10]
Fordham University Fordham University Connor Godfrey '16 Dan Canziani '14
Rams Adam Keally '15 Emma Pfohman '13
George Washington University George Washington University Ian Connors '13 Rebecca Engel '13
Colonials Maria Sinagra '16 Kaitlin Denny '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Chris Barnard '13 [1-18] Hilary Kenyon '13 [1-9, 12-18]
Leslie Cowen '13 [10-11]
Hoyas Nevin Snow '16 [1-18] Victoria Lynch '13 [1-16]
Leslie Cowen '13 [17-18]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Johnny Norfleet '13 Bridget Nannig '13
Statesmen Eddie Cox '16 [1-12]
Louis Padnos '14 [13-18]		 Catherine Pelo '13 [1-12]
Jane Rew '14 [13-18]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Paul Stevens '14 Shawn Diamond '13
Monmouth Brogan Savage '15 Courtney Brooks '16
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Dillon Paiva '13 [1-18] Chloe Constants '14 [1-9, 12-18]
Cooper Paiva '16 [10-11]
Monarchs Esteban Forrer '16 Julia Wiesner '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Harry Scott '13 George Roberson '15
Privateers Tyler Steel '13 Paige Conlin '14
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Joshua Greenslade '14 [1-18] Katherine Gluskin '13 [1-9, 12-16]
Kayla Mccomb '13 [10-11, 17-18]
Seahawks Fletcher Sims '14 [1-18] Mayumi Roller '13 [1-9]
Kelley Merryman '14 [10-18]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Andrew Bates '15 Cara Halm '16
Mariners Samuel Watterson '16 [1-6]
James Gardner '16 [7-18]		 Francois Conde-Jahn '13 [1-6]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Michael Grove '14 Jocelynn Knudsen '13
Midshipmen Mary Hall '15 Glenn Mckenna '14
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Griffin Orr '15 Stephanie Rosenbaum '13
Bulls Luke Miller '15 Melissa Eiffert '14
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Michael Russom '13 [1-18] Christina Johns '13 [1-9, 12-15, 18]
Jose -Maria Barrero '13 [10-11, 16-17]
Quakers Jack Swikart '15 [1-18] Patricia Andrade '15 [1-2, 11-18]
Meaghan Harding '16 [3-10]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Gordon Wolcott '13 [1-18] Hannah Varden '15 [1-9]
Ellen Hubbard '14 [10-18]
Wahoos Christopher Stessing '14 [1-18] Caitlin Grumbling '16 [1-9, 13-18]
Alexandra Brenin '15 [10-12]
Washington College Washington College Sam Fitzgerald '14 Blair Towers '15
Shoremen Ryan Bailey '15 Matt Lawler '13
Webb Institute Webb Institute Nathan Fast '14 [1-6, 13-18]
Dylan Froriep '15 [7-12]		 Cody Stansky '16 [1-16]
Erin Hub '16 [17-18]
Clippers Casey Brown '16 James Codega '14

Conditions — 04/13/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1013.1 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.7 kn
avg  ·  max 8.5 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From WSW (255°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover62% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1013.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn* · NW 8 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Navy: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.11 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →