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Barnett Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 50 39 89
2 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 40 55 95
3 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 49 57 106
4 Boston University Boston University Terriers 60 54 114
5 Boston College Boston College Eagles 60 66 126
6 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 58 68 126
7 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 77 51 128
8 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 77 90 167
9 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 96 72 168
10 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 124 112 236
11 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 106 132 238
12 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 139 150 289
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 3 3 2 7 1 1 2 1 3 3 10 4 40 Evan Read '16
Hope Wilson '16
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 5 1 8 4 3 6 4 5 4 1 7 1 49 Kyle Carney '13
Angelina Todaro '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 2 1 3 6 8 1 8 2 6 4 3 50 Dan Nickerson '15
Jamie Maffeo '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 5 4 2 4 7 3 6 8 2 9 6 58 Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14 [1-12]
Linnea Goldstein '16 [1-6, 11-12]
Becker Awqatty '14 [7-10]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 6 9 1 10 2 7 2 1 7 6 8 60 Domenic Bove '15
Emily Schalka '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 4 7 5 9 3 11 3 6 4 2 2 60 Cameron Fraser '14
Hannah Callahan '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 7 8 3 6 8 5 6 10 7 9 1 7 77 Sarah Fiske '13 [1-12]
Ayaka Okawa '14 [1-6, 11-12]
Elise Engquist '15 [7-10]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 10 7 10 10 2 4 8 4 5 5 3 9 77 Ryan Hughes '13
Courtney Bombardier '16
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 11 9 6 9 5 9 9 9 9 10 5 5 96 Tommy Holmberg '13 [1-6, 11-12]
John Cappetta '16 [7-10]
Camilla Nivison '14 [1-10]
Eve Boyce '13 [11-12]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 9 11 12 8 7 10 5 7 11 8 8 10 106 Thomas Presti '13
Eleanor Leonard '13
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 8 10 5 12 12 12 10 11 10 11 11 12 124 Jacob Hardy '13
Kaitlin Hulce '14
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 12 12 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 12 11 139 Andrew Angione '13
Whit Durant '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 4 3 5 3 3 6 3 2 1 5 3 39 Duncan Swain '15
Julie Pringle '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 1 4 2 8 4 9 2 4 3 4 7 51 Matthew Coughlin '16
Danielle Arpino '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 5 7 6 4 4 6 5 8 3 4 1 1 54 Ryan Astwood '16
Margaret Swanson '16
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 6 10 2 10 7 1 3 1 1 6 3 5 55 Ian Storck '15
Lizzie Guynn '16
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 8 3 1 6 1 2 2 4 7 8 9 6 57 Robert Lippincott '14
Baillie Lawless '15
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 2 7 1 2 5 7 11 6 5 10 8 66 Ryan Morrison '14
Savanna Brown '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 10 9 8 8 5 7 1 5 5 2 6 2 68 Jesse Thomas '17 [1-12]
Kristen Kuzil '16 [1-6, 11-12]
Zach Shapiro '15 [7-10]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 4 5 5 3 9 9 8 6 8 9 2 4 72 Edward Moan '14
Katlyn Flynn '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 7 6 10 9 6 8 4 7 9 7 7 10 90 Philip Koch '16
Paige Speight '16
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 9 8 9 7 10 10 10 9 10 10 11 9 112 Jared Dunn '13 [1-12]
Ingrid Schultz '13 [1-10]
Mary Ali Santana '16 [11-12]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 12 12 11 11 11 11 11 10 11 DNF 8 11 132 Austin Smyth '15
Kimberly Jackman '16
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 11 11 12 12 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 150 David Mazotas '16
Emily Peabody '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats11335577991111
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles2212121010886644
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers55779911111133
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears4422121210108866
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges33557799111111
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1010886644221212
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green6644221212101088
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats11111133557799
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies77991111113355
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1212101088664422
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks8866442212121010
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos99111111335577

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats2244668810101212
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11111199775533
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers6688101012122244
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears33111111997755
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges4466881010121222
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies99775533111111
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green55331111119977
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1212224466881010
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies8810101212224466
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams11119977553311
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks77553311111199
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1010121222446688

Conditions — 10/06/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1006.6 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.9 kn
avg  ·  max 10.5 kn
Gusts to 24.9 kn
From SSW (193°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover88% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1006.6 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn · SW 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bowdoin: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.05 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bowdoin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled days at Bowdoin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →