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Lake Champlain Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 26 25 51
2 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 35 25 60
3 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 27 45 72
4 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 32 43 75
5 Boston University Boston University Terriers 39 51 90
6 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 55 37 92
7 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 41 55 96
8 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 55 42 97
9 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 53 47 100
10 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 62 46 108
11 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 86 67 153
12 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 58 102 160
13 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 89 78 167
14 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 96 92 188
15 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 97 93 190
16 Providence College Providence College Friars 111 109 220
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 7 2 6 7 1 2 26 Domenic Bove '15
Caroline Drury '14
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 5 7 1 3 5 4 27 Bradley Milliken '14 [1-7]
Cyrus Unvala '14 [1-2, 7]
Jaimie Chicoine '14 [3-6]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 4 1 9 4 8 1 32 Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14
Janelle Veary '15
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 8 2 10 2 2 6 5 35 Evan Read '16 [1-7]
Thomas Gallagher '16 [1-2]
Abigail Rohman '16 [3-7]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 7 6 6 3 1 10 6 39 Brendan Cook '16
Hannah Callahan '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 3 3 12 11 5 4 3 41 Ellis Tonissi '15
David Rex '14
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 10 1 8 5 12 2 15 53 Robert Lippincott '14
Baillie Lawless '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 DNF 4 4 8 11 7 55 Charles Proctor '14 [1-7]
Sam Gates '17 [1-2]
Elizabeth Keys '14 [3-7]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 6 9 5 7 13 7 8 55 Adam Ceely '15 [1-7]
John Ring '16 [1-2]
Hali Chesher '17 [3-7]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 11 11 3 8 6 9 10 58 Nicholas Dragone '14
Terry Duncan '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 9 8 9 10 14 3 9 62 Christian Houston-Floyd '16
Ayaka Okawa '14
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 12 10 11 DNS 10 13 13 86 Maxime Fecteau '14
Maddy Crowley '16
Bates College Bates College Bobcats DNS 12 13 12 9 15 11 89 John Cappetta '16
Hannah Kiesler '16
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats DNF 13 14 13 11 14 14 96 William Dykes '15
Margaret O'Donnell '15
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 13 14 16 15 15 12 12 97 George Luber '17
Evan Sampou '17
Providence College Providence College Friars 14 DNF 15 14 DNS DNS DNS 111 Stephanie Burrell '16
Ryan Dill '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 4 1 2 4 5 8 25 Ryan Schmitz '15
Isabelle Salvaterra '14
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 7 1 4 1 6 1 5 25 Ian Storck '15 [1-7]
Madeleine Cooney '17 [1-2, 4-7]
Hunter Johnstone '16 [3]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 6 5 10 3 1 3 9 37 William Crary '17
Callagy Ross '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos DNS 2 9 6 5 2 1 42 Dan Nickerson '15
Jamie Maffeo '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 3 7 8 4 9 8 4 43 Conor Lodge '14
Estelle Beguin '14
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 4 3 3 9 10 6 10 45 Christina Frost '16 [1-7]
Robert Turley '16 [1-2, 4-7]
Andrew Britton '16 [3]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 8 6 6 7 2 11 6 46 Philip Koch '16
Paige Speight '16
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 5 8 7 8 12 4 3 47 John Silvestri '16
Angelina Todaro '16
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 9 14 5 7 7 7 51 Michael Saldi '15
Phoebe Gittelson '14
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 11 12 5 12 3 10 2 55 Ig Schottlaender '14
Cooper Nefsky '17
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 12 11 2 11 8 12 11 67 Matt Palardy '13
Kate Andrews '15
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 10 10 11 10 11 14 12 78 Samuel Scribner '15
Camilla Nivison '14
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 13 13 13 13 13 13 14 92 Zachary Karakouzian '16
David Mazotas '16
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 15 14 12 15 15 9 13 93 John Bishara '17
Ryan Davis '16
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 9 16 DNS 14 16 15 15 102 Meghan Colwell '16 [1-6]
Terry Duncan '15 [7]
Annalisa Baratta '15 [1-2, 7]
Elizabeth Morris '14 [3-6]
Providence College Providence College Friars 14 15 15 DNS 14 DNS DNS 109 John Coulter '16
Abby Mclaughlin '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1133557
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles221616141412
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers4422161614
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears3355779
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears66442216
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels55779911
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green7799111113
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers101088664
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds8866442
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers991111131315
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats151511335
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1111131315151
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars12121010886
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks13131515113
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1414121210108
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts16161414121210

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats2244668
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles111515131311
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers3311151513
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears44668810
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears55331115
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels6688101012
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green881010121214
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers9977553
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds7755331
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers10101212141416
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats161622446
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1212141416162
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars111199775
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks14141616224
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos13131111997
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1515131311119
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College John Cappetta '16 Hannah Kiesler '16
Bobcats Samuel Scribner '15 Camilla Nivison '14
Boston College Boston College Domenic Bove '15 Caroline Drury '14
Eagles Ryan Schmitz '15 Isabelle Salvaterra '14
Boston University Boston University Brendan Cook '16 Hannah Callahan '16
Terriers Michael Saldi '15 Phoebe Gittelson '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Christian Houston-Floyd '16 Ayaka Okawa '14
Polar Bears Philip Koch '16 Paige Speight '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Ellis Tonissi '15 David Rex '14
Camels Ig Schottlaender '14 Cooper Nefsky '17
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Evan Read '16 [1-7] Thomas Gallagher '16 [1-2]
Abigail Rohman '16 [3-7]
Big Green Ian Storck '15 [1-7] Madeleine Cooney '17 [1-2, 4-7]
Hunter Johnstone '16 [3]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy George Luber '17 Evan Sampou '17
Buccaneers John Bishara '17 Ryan Davis '16
McGill University McGill University Maxime Fecteau '14 Maddy Crowley '16
Redbirds Matt Palardy '13 Kate Andrews '15
Middlebury College Middlebury College Nicholas Dragone '14 Terry Duncan '15
Panthers Meghan Colwell '16 [1-6]
Terry Duncan '15 [7]		 Annalisa Baratta '15 [1-2, 7]
Elizabeth Morris '14 [3-6]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14 Janelle Veary '15
Huskies Conor Lodge '14 Estelle Beguin '14
Providence College Providence College Stephanie Burrell '16 Ryan Dill '15
Friars John Coulter '16 Abby Mclaughlin '15
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Robert Lippincott '14 Baillie Lawless '15
Seahawks John Silvestri '16 Angelina Todaro '16
Tufts University Tufts University Charles Proctor '14 [1-7] Sam Gates '17 [1-2]
Elizabeth Keys '14 [3-7]
Jumbos Dan Nickerson '15 Jamie Maffeo '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bradley Milliken '14 [1-7] Cyrus Unvala '14 [1-2, 7]
Jaimie Chicoine '14 [3-6]
Bears Christina Frost '16 [1-7] Robert Turley '16 [1-2, 4-7]
Andrew Britton '16 [3]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire William Dykes '15 Margaret O'Donnell '15
Wildcats Zachary Karakouzian '16 David Mazotas '16
University of Vermont University of Vermont Adam Ceely '15 [1-7] John Ring '16 [1-2]
Hali Chesher '17 [3-7]
Catamounts William Crary '17 Callagy Ross '14

Conditions — 09/21/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1005.9 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.1 kn
avg  ·  max 13.3 kn
Gusts to 30.1 kn
From S (174°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover90% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1005.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 22 kn · N 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Vermont: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.12)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.09 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Vermont by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Vermont).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →