Navigate

Central Series

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 118
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 139
3 Boston College Boston College Eagles 142
4 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 182
5 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 222
6 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 303
7 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 369
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green A 2 8 5 4 1 3 5 1 7 1 1 1 5 2 46 Evan Read '16
Matthew Habig '13
Boston College Boston College Eagles A 3 1 8 2 5 2 3 3 2 5 3 4 3 3 47 Marcos Darcy '16
Kaitlin Driscoll '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 4 9 7 5 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 6 2 7 51 Dan Nickerson '15 [1-14]
Erin Bondy '15 [1-8]
Hannah Duggan '15 [9-14]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson A 11 3 3 1 4 5 2 10 5 7 5 2 4 4 66 Ben Lamont '14 [1-14]
Rebecca Frankel '15 [1-8]
Daniel Leichus '16 [9-14]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green B 5 10 2 9 9 4 4 6 3 3 7 3 6 1 72 Hunter Johnstone '16
Victor Hollenberg '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 7 2 1 3 3 6 6 4 13 6 9 9 11 8 88 Charles Proctor '14 [1-8]
Solomon Krevans '14 [9-14]
Elizabeth Keys '14 [1-8]
Mara Rettig '15 [9-14]
Boston College Boston College Eagles B 9 4 4 10 6 7 7 7 4 9 4 5 9 10 95 Evan Woodford '14
Riley Calhoun '16
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks A 6 7 11 6 7 9 10 8 6 10 8 7 1 5 101 Cole Rice '15
Campbell Duffy '13
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson B 8 12 6 7 8 8 12 5 9 4 12 8 8 9 116 Matthew Clarida '16
Nicholas Gordon '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks B 10 11 10 8 10 10 8 9 8 8 6 10 7 6 121 Chelsea Maguire '13
Jack Hunger '15
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats A 1 5 12 11 13 12 11 11 11 11 13 13 14 13 151 William Dykes '15 [1-8]
Ann Sager '13 [9-14]
Molly Cravens '16 [1-8]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats B 12 6 9 12 11 13 9 12 12 13 10 11 10 12 152 Andrew Angione '13
Margaret O'Donnell '15
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs A 14 13 13 13 12 11 13 13 10 12 11 12 13 11 171 Paige Brown '14
Emily Doiron '15
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs B 13 14 14 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 14 14 14 14 12 14 198 Julia Trudel '15
Shawna Denn '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles22222222222222
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green33333333333333
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson44444444444444
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats88888888888888
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks66666666666666
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos77777777777777
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs55555555555555

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles99999999999999
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green1010101010101010101010101010
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson1111111111111111111111111111
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1515151515151515151515151515
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1313131313131313131313131313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1414141414141414141414141414
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs1212121212121212121212121212

Conditions — 04/13/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1010.7 hPa

Temperature

45°F
↑ 51°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 39°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.7 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From NW (325°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover88% Sunshine5.1 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1010.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn · NW 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Boston College: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Boston College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →