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Captain Hurst Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 54 20 74
2 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 51 26 77
3 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 25 53 78
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 57 45 102
5 Brown University Brown University Bears 41 66 107
6 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 43 65 108
7 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 41 69 110
8 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 61 59 120
9 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 72 51 123
10 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 74 61 135
11 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 68 74 142
12 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 62 80 142
13 Boston University Boston University Terriers 70 84 154
14 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 72 83 155
15 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 58 100 158
16 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 76 87 163
17 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 98 71 169
18 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 96 75 171
19 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 102 78 180
20 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 106 78 184
21 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 99 95 194
22 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 96 99 195
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 4 3 1 4 8 5 25 Louis Padnos '14
Jane Rew '14
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 7 18 3 2 10 41 Tyler Rice '14
Ashley Noble '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 10 4 DSQ 2 1 1 41 Markus Edegran '16
Jocelynn Knudsen '13
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 3 12 8 5 4 11 43 Gram Slattery '15
Alma Lafler '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 8 13 10 13 3 4 51 William Macdonald '15
Bianca Rom '13
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 9 9 15 13 6 54 William Bailey '15
Molly Clarke '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 13 2 5 16 7 14 57 Willem Sandberg '14
Hannah Duggan '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 21 6 6 1 11 13 58 Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14
Janelle Veary '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 7 8 4 10 16 16 61 Michael Croteau '15
Charlotte Williamson '15
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 6 11 17 11 5 12 62 Axel Sly '16
Rebecca King '13
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 17 15 20 9 2 68 John Renehan '13
Abigail Rohman '16
Boston University Boston University Terriers 18 DSQ 12 8 6 3 70 Ian Towill '14
Lalitha Kumaresan '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 12 5 2 14 21 18 72 Esteban Forrer '16
Julia Wiesner '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 19 16 3 12 15 7 72 Nate Jermain '15
Amanda Donohue '13
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams RAF 1 13 9 19 9 74 Caleb Armstrong '16
Kaitlyn Norton '15
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 9 10 21 6 22 8 76 Tyler Steel '13
Paige Conlin '14
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 11 18 20 22 10 15 96 Walker Banks '14
Amanda Smith '15
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 16 19 19 7 14 21 96 Max Nickbarg '14
Sarah Smith '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 15 21 14 17 12 19 98 Jordan Bothwick '15 [1-6]
Katherine Andril '13 [1-4]
Emily Vasiliou '16 [5-6]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 17 14 11 19 18 20 99 Alden Sonnenfeldt '13
Erin Ahlers '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 20 20 7 18 20 17 102 Kyle Carney '13
Angelina Todaro '16
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 14 15 16 21 17 DSQ 106 Bradley Milliken '14
Joshua Moan '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 5 2 1 4 7 20 Raul Rios '16
Patrick Hession '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 4 9 4 6 1 26 Connor Corgard '16
Breanne Baldino '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 10 1 15 3 10 6 45 Dan Nickerson '15
Jamie Maffeo '15
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 8 8 10 14 1 10 51 Evan Hoffmann '14
Jill Fattibene '14
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 13 6 1 15 7 11 53 Elliott Morrill '15
Adele Huffine '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 7 9 6 16 12 9 59 Peter Edmunds '14
Julia Rew '16
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 6 3 12 17 21 2 61 Ryan Hughes '13
Courtney Bombardier '16
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 12 2 13 6 19 13 65 Andrew Mollerus '16
Sydney Karnovsky '16
Brown University Brown University Bears 17 12 16 2 16 3 66 Drew Shea '14
Logan Shanney '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 14 19 11 2 19 69 Devin Laviano '13
Sarah Blake '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 11 10 18 9 5 18 71 Bryce Kopp '16
Grace Medley '15
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 3 13 11 19 11 17 74 Bo Mcclatchy '13
Charlotte Snow '15
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 9 DSQ 14 8 17 4 75 Emily Billing '13
Amanda Salvesen '14
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 5 19 22 7 3 22 78 Avery Fanning '16
Jaimie Chicoine '14
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 14 20 5 5 13 21 78 Robert Lippincott '14
Baillie Lawless '15
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 18 7 8 21 18 8 80 Yuki Yoshiyasu '16
Mckenzie Wilson '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 15 21 7 12 14 14 83 Colby Vavolotis '13
Lauren Jones '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 16 15 4 18 15 16 84 Ryan Astwood '16
Keeton Leisure '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 20 17 17 20 8 5 87 Mike Carr '15
Whitney Taylor '16
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 22 18 21 13 9 12 95 Colin Keil '15
Dalton Brauer '16
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 21 11 3 22 22 20 99 Tony Collins '15
Emily Mitchell '13
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 19 16 20 10 20 15 100 Conor Lodge '14
Kristen Kuzil '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles113355
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers44222222
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears2222222020
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears335577
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears664422
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels557799
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red77991111
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green886644
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons9911111313
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson10108866
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen111113131515
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1212101088
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies131315151717
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers141412121010
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs151517171919
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams202018181616
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks161614141212
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks171719192121
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal181816161414
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1919212111
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts21211133
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs222220201818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles224466
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers33112121
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears1121211919
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears446688
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears553311
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels66881010
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red8810101212
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green775533
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons101012121414
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson997755
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen121214141616
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen11119977
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies141416161818
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1313111199
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs161618182020
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams191917171515
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks151513131111
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks181820202222
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal171715151313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos2020222222
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts22222244
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs212119191717
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College William Bailey '15 Molly Clarke '13
Eagles Raul Rios '16 Patrick Hession '13
Boston University Boston University Ian Towill '14 Lalitha Kumaresan '13
Terriers Ryan Astwood '16 Keeton Leisure '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Michael Croteau '15 Charlotte Williamson '15
Polar Bears Peter Edmunds '14 Julia Rew '16
Brown University Brown University Tyler Rice '14 Ashley Noble '13
Bears Drew Shea '14 Logan Shanney '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Jordan Bothwick '15 [1-6] Katherine Andril '13 [1-4]
Emily Vasiliou '16 [5-6]
Camels Bryce Kopp '16 Grace Medley '15
Cornell University Cornell University Alden Sonnenfeldt '13 Erin Ahlers '13
Big Red Colin Keil '15 Dalton Brauer '16
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College John Renehan '13 Abigail Rohman '16
Big Green Bo Mcclatchy '13 Charlotte Snow '15
Eckerd College Eckerd College Walker Banks '14 Amanda Smith '15
Tritons Tony Collins '15 Emily Mitchell '13
Harvard University Harvard University Gram Slattery '15 Alma Lafler '14
Crimson Andrew Mollerus '16 Sydney Karnovsky '16
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Louis Padnos '14 Jane Rew '14
Statesmen Elliott Morrill '15 Adele Huffine '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14 Janelle Veary '15
Huskies Conor Lodge '14 Kristen Kuzil '16
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Esteban Forrer '16 Julia Wiesner '14
Monarchs Evan Hoffmann '14 Jill Fattibene '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University William Macdonald '15 Bianca Rom '13
Hawks Connor Corgard '16 Breanne Baldino '16
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Tyler Steel '13 Paige Conlin '14
Privateers Mike Carr '15 Whitney Taylor '16
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Kyle Carney '13 Angelina Todaro '16
Seahawks Robert Lippincott '14 Baillie Lawless '15
Stanford University Stanford University Axel Sly '16 Rebecca King '13
Cardinal Yuki Yoshiyasu '16 Mckenzie Wilson '14
Tufts University Tufts University Willem Sandberg '14 Hannah Duggan '15
Jumbos Dan Nickerson '15 Jamie Maffeo '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bradley Milliken '14 Joshua Moan '15
Bears Avery Fanning '16 Jaimie Chicoine '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Markus Edegran '16 Jocelynn Knudsen '13
Midshipmen Devin Laviano '13 Sarah Blake '15
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Caleb Armstrong '16 Kaitlyn Norton '15
Rams Ryan Hughes '13 Courtney Bombardier '16
University of Vermont University of Vermont Nate Jermain '15 Amanda Donohue '13
Catamounts Colby Vavolotis '13 Lauren Jones '15
Yale University Yale University Max Nickbarg '14 Sarah Smith '15
Bulldogs Emily Billing '13 Amanda Salvesen '14

Conditions — 10/13/2012 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 46%  ·  Pressure 1030.5 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.2 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From WNW (283°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover22% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity46% Pressure1030.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn · SW 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Dartmouth: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.15 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Dartmouth by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (34 labelled days at Dartmouth).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →