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Freshman Intersectional

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 212
2 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 218
3 University of Vermont University of Vermont Cats 228
4 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 245
5 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 324
6 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 357
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 R19 R20 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Cats A 3 11 2 7 1 9 7 3 6 5 8 8 2 4 2 3 1 1 1 1 85 Michael Booker '15
Lauren Jones '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 1 2 10 1 5 3 2 4 4 1 12 11 9 1 8 4 4 2 2 4 90 Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon '15
Sam Madden '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 6 1 6 8 6 6 4 12 5 4 6 6 4 8 3 1 2 5 3 3 99 Oj O'Connell '15
Emily Olson '15
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks A 4 8 1 4 12 2 3 2 1 12 1 4 3 9 9 10 5 8 6 5 109 Connor Brady '15
Nicole Sikowitz '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 11 10 11 6 2 7 6 9 8 8 4 1 6 6 1 5 3 9 4 2 119 Nate Jermain '15
Mia Pinheiro '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 2 9 9 9 11 1 9 5 2 9 3 3 7 5 5 7 7 4 7 8 122 Dan Nickerson '15 [1-9]
Duncan Swain '15 [10-20]
Jamie Maffeo '15 [1-9]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks B 9 6 5 2 10 4 12 1 3 3 9 9 1 11 7 11 9 6 9 9 136 Cole Rice '15
Shanna Savignano '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears A 8 7 7 10 9 8 1 7 10 2 7 12 10 7 4 9 6 3 8 7 142 Michael Croteau '15
Elise Engquist '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Cats B 10 5 4 3 3 12 8 8 12 6 10 5 5 3 11 12 8 7 5 6 143 Adam Ceely '15
Catherine Robinson '15
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 7 3 3 11 7 5 10 11 9 11 2 2 8 2 6 8 DNS DNS DNS DNS 157 Benjamin Mohney '15 [1-20]
Thomas Hamby '15 [1-4]
Emily Johnson '13 [5-20]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears B 12 4 12 5 4 10 5 10 11 7 5 7 12 10 10 6 DNS DNS DNS DNS 182 Lizzy Hamilton '15
Charlotte Williamson '15
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 5 12 8 12 8 11 11 6 7 10 11 10 11 12 12 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS 200 Kyle Pond '15 [1-20]
Emily Johnson '13 [1-4]
Thomas Hamby '15 [5-20]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A19A20A
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears11112222333344445555
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks22221111121212121111111110101010
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls444433332222111112121212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos33334444555566667777
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts55556666777788889999
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Cats66665555444433332222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B19B20B
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears7777888899991010101011111111
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks88887777666655554444
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls101010109999888877776666
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos99991010101011111111121212121111
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1111111112121212111122223333
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Cats12121212111111111010101099998888

Conditions — 11/05/2011 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1029.5 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 46°F   ↓ 35°F
Feels like 35°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From NNW (337°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine9.5 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1029.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 8 kn · SW 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bowdoin: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.64 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bowdoin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled days at Bowdoin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →