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Captain Hurst Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 90 56 146
2 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 78 132 210
3 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 90 125 215
4 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 91 151 242
5 Boston University Boston University Terriers 135 110 245
6 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 170 88 258
7 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 165 108 273
8 Brown University Brown University Bears 120 155 275
9 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 99 177 276
10 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 157 130 287
11 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 165 141 306
12 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 165 143 308
13 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 207 109 316
14 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 160 157 317
15 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 128 194 322
16 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 156 175 331
17 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 164 169 333
18 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 231 239 470
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 12 2 1 2 2 7 10 16 9 5 3 1 1 5 2 78 William Macdonald '15 [1-15]
Breanne Baldino '16 [1-6, 8-14]
James Kennedy '17 [7, 15]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 8 12 12 5 5 6 12 13 2 1 3 7 1 1 90 Matthew Wefer '14 [1-15]
Avery Plough '14 [1-14]
Victor Hollenberg '14 [15]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 4 15 2 8 3 2 12 6 7 1 11 7 2 4 6 90 Raul Rios '16
Doyle Calhoun '16
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 10 10 4 10 1 9 13 7 1 4 2 4 6 6 4 91 Ian Barrows '17 [1-15]
Meredith Megarry '17 [1-6]
Charlotte Belling '16 [7-15]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 14 1 18 11 4 6 11 1 3 3 10 2 3 9 3 99 Louis Padnos '14 [1-15]
Julia Oak '14 [1-14]
Michael Deady '14 [15]
Brown University Brown University Bears 15 5 17 3 12 1 18 4 4 7 13 8 4 2 7 120 Tyler Rice '14
Helen Lord '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 9 10 5 7 15 1 3 15 13 5 15 13 11 5 128 Oj O'Connell '15
Lillian Pillsbury '14
Boston University Boston University Terriers 5 14 6 1 13 3 8 10 8 9 12 9 OCS 7 11 135 Cameron Fraser '14 [1-15]
Kayla Lynch '16 [1-6]
Hannah Callahan '16 [7-14]
Simon Bertocci '16 [15]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 17 7 8 14 10 11 2 11 11 12 7 11 OCS 8 8 156 Michael Drumm '15 [1-15]
Isabel Ruane '14 [1-10]
Luke O'Connor '14 [11-15]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 9 3 3 15 9 12 3 15 16 14 4 14 10 18 12 157 Jack Mcguire '17
Charlotte Williamson '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 7 6 13 18 14 17 4 8 12 8 8 12 8 12 13 160 Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14
Janelle Veary '15
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 8 12 16 9 15 8 5 13 5 6 18 16 15 3 15 164 Aj Reiter '17
Claudia Taselaar '17
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 3 11 11 7 8 4 15 18 6 11 9 17 14 15 16 165 Avery Fanning '16 [1-15]
Robert Turley '16 [1-6]
Nikolia Kruger '17 [7-14]
Michael Caballero '14 [15]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 13 4 5 4 16 13 16 17 10 10 16 10 9 13 9 165 Patrick Snow '17
Elizabeth Morrison '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 16 17 7 13 18 14 9 5 2 16 17 6 5 10 10 165 Dan Nickerson '15
Jamie Maffeo '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 11 16 9 6 6 10 7 9 17 15 6 13 12 16 17 170 Kevin Martland '14 [1-2, 11-12]
Ellis Tonissi '15 [3-10, 13-15]
Lea Bushnell '15 [1-14]
David Rex '14 [15]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 18 13 14 17 11 16 14 2 18 17 15 5 OCS 14 14 207 Samuel Cushing '15
Elizabeth Durgin '16
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 6 18 15 16 17 18 17 14 14 18 14 18 11 17 18 231 Ryan Anderson '15
Gina Krupp '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 3 5 2 1 8 3 2 1 1 7 8 3 4 6 2 56 William Bailey '15
Katherine Wysocki '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 9 2 9 5 5 2 3 11 6 14 3 2 7 2 8 88 Bryce Kopp '16 [1-15]
Victoria Allen '16 [1-6]
David Rex '14 [7-12]
Benjamin Meyers '15 [13-15]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 8 4 1 6 6 8 9 6 13 11 4 6 10 10 6 108 Charles Peck '15
Megan Hough '16
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 6 10 3 13 4 11 5 3 3 6 6 7 11 8 13 109 Matthew Coughlin '16
Christina Lewis '16
Boston University Boston University Terriers 13 12 10 11 16 7 7 2 5 1 1 1 16 3 5 110 Ryan Astwood '16 [1-15]
Indre Jankeviciute '15 [1-6]
Joseph Benoit '16 [7-15]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 10 1 14 4 2 4 6 12 12 DSQ 15 13 3 9 1 125 Christopher Price '14 [1-15]
Charlotte Snow '15 [1-12]
Hope Wilson '16 [13-15]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 4 16 8 2 1 6 17 13 9 12 2 17 2 17 4 130 Tom Peabody '14 [1-15]
Paige Speight '16 [1-12]
Hunter Moeller '17 [13-15]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 15 14 6 9 7 1 12 15 7 2 11 10 6 7 10 132 Henry Vogel '15
Wendy Reuss '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 14 9 16 17 15 10 4 7 11 RDG 13 5 5 5 3 141 Dylan Finneran '15 [1-4]
Bradley Milliken '14 [5-15]
Nikolia Kruger '17 [1-6]
Robert Turley '16 [7-15]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 3 11 3 10 17 8 5 8 13 16 15 1 14 18 143 David Liebenberg '14
Caroline Ambros '17
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 2 17 12 10 RAF 5 11 4 2 8 5 9 17 13 17 151 Joseph Kiss '17 [1-15]
Sarah Smith '15 [1-4]
Isabelle Rossi De Leon '17 [5-15]
Brown University Brown University Bears 16 6 4 8 3 12 14 8 16 10 10 16 14 11 7 155 Drew Shea '14
Louisa Chafee '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 7 7 13 16 12 9 13 16 4 5 18 12 9 4 12 157 Conor Lodge '14
Estelle Beguin '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas DSQ 15 17 7 11 18 1 10 17 4 17 4 8 12 9 169 Massimo Mazzolini '17
Eliana Michaels '14
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 5 13 5 RAF 9 13 16 14 10 9 7 11 18 15 11 175 Gram Slattery '15 [1-15]
Julia Lord '17 [1-10]
Isabel Ruane '14 [11-15]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 11 8 7 12 17 14 10 18 14 15 14 8 13 1 15 177 William Godfrey '16 [1-15]
Diana Weston '17 [1-12]
Adele Huffine '14 [13-15]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 12 11 15 14 14 15 18 9 15 3 9 14 15 16 14 194 William Crary '17
Sara Anibal '14
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 17 18 18 15 13 16 15 17 18 16 12 18 12 18 16 239 Jacob Bruce '16
Megan Mcevily '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles112233445566778
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers4433221118181717161615
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears22111818171716161515141413
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears3344556677889910
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears665544332211181817
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels55667788991010111112
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green778899101011111212131314
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas887766554433221
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson9910101111121213131414151516
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen10109988776655443
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen111112121313141415151616171718
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies121211111010998877665
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats131314141515161617171818112
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams16161515141413131212111110109
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1414131312121111101099887
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos15151616171718181122334
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1717181811223344556
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514141313121211

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles112233445566778
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers4433221118181717161615
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears22111818171716161515141413
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears3344556677889910
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears665544332211181817
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels55667788991010111112
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green778899101011111212131314
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas887766554433221
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson9910101111121213131414151516
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen10109988776655443
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen111112121313141415151616171718
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies121211111010998877665
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats131314141515161617171818112
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams16161515141413131212111110109
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1414131312121111101099887
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos15151616171718181122334
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1717181811223344556
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514141313121211
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Raul Rios '16 Doyle Calhoun '16
Eagles William Bailey '15 Katherine Wysocki '15
Boston University Boston University Cameron Fraser '14 [1-15] Kayla Lynch '16 [1-6]
Hannah Callahan '16 [7-14]
Simon Bertocci '16 [15]
Terriers Ryan Astwood '16 [1-15] Indre Jankeviciute '15 [1-6]
Joseph Benoit '16 [7-15]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Jack Mcguire '17 Charlotte Williamson '15
Polar Bears Tom Peabody '14 [1-15] Paige Speight '16 [1-12]
Hunter Moeller '17 [13-15]
Brown University Brown University Tyler Rice '14 Helen Lord '14
Bears Drew Shea '14 Louisa Chafee '14
Connecticut College Connecticut College Kevin Martland '14 [1-2, 11-12]
Ellis Tonissi '15 [3-10, 13-15]		 Lea Bushnell '15 [1-14]
David Rex '14 [15]
Camels Bryce Kopp '16 [1-15] Victoria Allen '16 [1-6]
David Rex '14 [7-12]
Benjamin Meyers '15 [13-15]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Matthew Wefer '14 [1-15] Avery Plough '14 [1-14]
Victor Hollenberg '14 [15]
Big Green Christopher Price '14 [1-15] Charlotte Snow '15 [1-12]
Hope Wilson '16 [13-15]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Aj Reiter '17 Claudia Taselaar '17
Hoyas Massimo Mazzolini '17 Eliana Michaels '14
Harvard University Harvard University Michael Drumm '15 [1-15] Isabel Ruane '14 [1-10]
Luke O'Connor '14 [11-15]
Crimson Gram Slattery '15 [1-15] Julia Lord '17 [1-10]
Isabel Ruane '14 [11-15]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Louis Padnos '14 [1-15] Julia Oak '14 [1-14]
Michael Deady '14 [15]
Statesmen William Godfrey '16 [1-15] Diana Weston '17 [1-12]
Adele Huffine '14 [13-15]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14 Janelle Veary '15
Huskies Conor Lodge '14 Estelle Beguin '14
Northwestern University Northwestern University Ryan Anderson '15 Gina Krupp '15
Wildcats Jacob Bruce '16 Megan Mcevily '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University William Macdonald '15 [1-15] Breanne Baldino '16 [1-6, 8-14]
James Kennedy '17 [7, 15]
Hawks Henry Vogel '15 Wendy Reuss '15
Tufts University Tufts University Dan Nickerson '15 Jamie Maffeo '15
Jumbos David Liebenberg '14 Caroline Ambros '17
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Avery Fanning '16 [1-15] Robert Turley '16 [1-6]
Nikolia Kruger '17 [7-14]
Michael Caballero '14 [15]
Bears Dylan Finneran '15 [1-4]
Bradley Milliken '14 [5-15]		 Nikolia Kruger '17 [1-6]
Robert Turley '16 [7-15]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Patrick Snow '17 Elizabeth Morrison '14
Midshipmen Charles Peck '15 Megan Hough '16
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Samuel Cushing '15 Elizabeth Durgin '16
Rams Matthew Coughlin '16 Christina Lewis '16
University of Vermont University of Vermont Oj O'Connell '15 Lillian Pillsbury '14
Catamounts William Crary '17 Sara Anibal '14
Yale University Yale University Ian Barrows '17 [1-15] Meredith Megarry '17 [1-6]
Charlotte Belling '16 [7-15]
Bulldogs Joseph Kiss '17 [1-15] Sarah Smith '15 [1-4]
Isabelle Rossi De Leon '17 [5-15]

Conditions — 10/19/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1013.8 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From SSW (196°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover89% Sunshine8.4 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1013.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn* · NW 12 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Dartmouth: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.16 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.13
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.25 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Dartmouth by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (34 labelled days at Dartmouth).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →