Central Series #2 @ BU

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 4 4 8
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 13 11 24
3 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 7 21 28
4 Boston University Boston University Terriers 12 17 29
5 Boston College Boston College Eagles 19 11 30
6 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 11 28 39
7 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 21 19 40
8 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 23 19 42
9 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 42 17 59
10 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 29 39 68
11 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 35 37 72
12 Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Holy Cross 31 42 73
13 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 40 42 82
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 1 1 4 Charles Nunn '16
Robert Piispanen '16
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 2 4 7 Eric Anderson '16
Megan Valentine '16
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 3 5 3 11 William Livernois '16
Kayla Ngan '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 4 2 12 Alejandro Bancalari '13
Paul Perry '11
Brown University Brown University Bears 4 3 6 13 Timothy Harding '15
Helen Lord '14
Boston College Boston College Eagles 8 6 5 19 Marcos Darcy '16
Savanna Brown '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 7 7 7 21 Matteo Alampi '17
Laura Tschiegg '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 5 10 8 23 Becker Awqatty '14
Margo Blagden '16
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 11 9 9 29 Rachel Pedersen '14
Camille Cushman '16
Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Holy Cross 9 8 DNS 31 Joe Dalton '15
David Mulry '16
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 10 11 DNF 35 Lewis Fowler-Gerace '15
Peter Brody '14
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats DNF 12 DNF 40 Connor Roelke '15
Elizabeth Resnick '15
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks DNF DNS DNS 42 Mary Clawson '15
Mara Terchunian '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 2 1 4 Patrick Penwell '16
Courtney Bombardier '16
Boston College Boston College Eagles 3 5 3 11 Ryan Morrison '14
Lindsay D'Alessandro '15
Brown University Brown University Bears 6 3 2 11 Nathan Allman '16
Peter Bailey '15
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 1 DNF 17 Pierce Conlin '15
Kathryn Travers '16
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 8 5 17 Jackson Chabot '14
Julia Hall '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 7 6 6 19 Victoria Mcgruer '17
Elizabeth Sczerzenie '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 8 7 4 19 Minot Frye '16
Linnea Goldstein '16
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 10 4 7 21 Zachary Foreman '13
Henry Lewis '16
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 5 9 DNF 28 Cali Warner '16
Sara Falcone '15
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 9 DNF DNS 37 Earl Lin '15
Kellyn Maves '16
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 11 DNF DNF 39 Katlyn Flynn '15
Michela Moscufo '16
Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Holy Cross DNF DNS DNS 42 Cassidy Morrison '16
Joe Dalton '15
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats DNF DNS DNF 42 Ted Gettinger '15
Emily Chase '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats16163
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles225
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers557
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears336
Holy Cross CollegeHoly Cross College Holy Cross668
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers779
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats111114
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 18810
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 29911
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams131315
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks101013
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals141416
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs15152

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats225
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles336
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers668
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears557
Holy Cross CollegeHoly Cross College Holy Cross779
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers8810
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats131315
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 19911
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 2101013
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams141416
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks111114
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals15152
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs16163

Conditions — 03/23/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1005.0 hPa

Temperature

37°F
↑ 40°F   ↓ 30°F
Feels like 25°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.4 kn
avg  ·  max 15.9 kn
Gusts to 32.1 kn
From WNW (288°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover67% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1005.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Northeastern: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.38 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northeastern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (21 labelled days at Northeastern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →