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Connecticut College Women's Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 90
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 137
3 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 151
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 172
5 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 175
6 Boston University Boston University Terriers 195
7 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 201
8 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 239
9 Huskies Huskies Huskies 380
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green A 3 3 1 1 1 9 2 4 2 1 27 Deirdre Lambert '15
Carissa Crawford '14
Brown University Brown University Bears A 1 2 3 11 7 1 1 6 7 2 41 Johanna Kincaid '15
Nicole Quattrocchi '15
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green B 9 10 12 5 4 5 3 8 3 4 63 Chandler Salisbury '13
Madilyn Gamble '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks A 5 13 2 2 2 7 5 12 11 6 65 Rachel Perry '15
Wendy Reuss '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 6 4 10 14 3 4 6 1 16 9 73 Elizabeth Glivinski '14
Keeton Leisure '14
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson B 11 1 6 16 9 10 4 7 1 13 78 Sophie Bermudez '16
Isabel Ruane '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 4 5 4 10 11 12 9 9 6 14 84 Katrina Miaoulis '15
Erin Bondy '15
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks B 15 6 7 8 12 8 12 2 8 8 86 Sara Swanson '16
Elizabeth Teague '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 10 12 14 4 8 2 7 3 13 15 88 Kate Levinson '15
Margaret Bacon '14
Brown University Brown University Bears B 2 7 11 6 13 15 14 5 12 11 96 Katherine Sudol '16
Alexandra Swanson '16
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson A 14 9 16 12 6 6 8 14 9 3 97 Caitlin Watson '14
Jacquelyn Cooley '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams B 8 14 13 9 14 3 11 13 5 7 97 Molly Lucyk '16
Christine Delfosse '13
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams A 7 16 5 13 15 16 13 10 4 5 104 Mackenzie Needham '15
Courtney Bombardier '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels B 12 8 8 7 10 14 16 11 10 12 108 Alix Israel '15
Victoria Allen '16
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 16 15 9 15 5 11 10 16 15 10 122 Katelyn Richerts '16
Bethany Zettlet '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels A 13 11 15 3 16 13 15 15 14 16 131 Sarah Price '14
Marina Sachs '15
Huskies Huskies Huskies A DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 190
Huskies Huskies Huskies B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 190
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers2222222222
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears1111111111
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels3333333333
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green4444444444
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson5555555555
HuskiesHuskies Huskies6666666666
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams9999999999
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks7777777777
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos8888888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11111111111111111111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears10101010101010101010
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels12121212121212121212
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green13131313131313131313
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson14141414141414141414
HuskiesHuskies Huskies15151515151515151515
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams18181818181818181818
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks16161616161616161616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos17171717171717171717

Conditions — 09/29/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 87%  ·  Pressure 1012.8 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.3 kn
Gusts to 13.2 kn
From NNW (347°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine0.2 hrs Humidity87% Pressure1012.8 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 5 kn · NW 7 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Connecticut College: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.17)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.19
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.28 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.17 means a rating gap counts about 15% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Connecticut College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (51 labelled days at Connecticut College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →