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Southern Series

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 136
2 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 153
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 163
4 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 173
5 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 296
6 Williams College Williams College Ephs 375
7 Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 411
8 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 433
9 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 443
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears A 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 1 3 1 3 3 3 1 3 30 Lucas Adams '15
Nicole Quattrocchi '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 7 3 8 3 1 3 5 2 2 6 5 2 2 2 1 52 Nate Jermain '15
Emily Olson '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels A 2 6 9 1 7 8 2 4 6 8 1 1 4 7 2 68 Ig Schottlaender '14
Benjamin Meyers '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 3 5 3 7 3 14 10 8 4 3 4 4 1 3 6 78 Willem Sandberg '14
Hannah Duggan '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels B 5 9 5 5 9 1 4 11 7 7 2 6 6 4 4 85 Jordan Bothwick '15
David Rex '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 8 8 7 4 6 5 8 3 1 2 8 8 5 5 7 85 Charles Proctor '14
Mara Porter '14
Brown University Brown University Bears B 10 2 4 6 8 7 11 6 9 4 6 9 7 12 5 106 Emmett Weeks '14
Gene Robinson '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 6 10 10 9 12 4 7 5 11 9 7 5 8 10 8 121 Bradley Abbott '13
Sara Anibal '14
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs A 4 4 2 DSQ 5 13 1 16 15 14 9 7 9 6 10 134 Urska Kosir '15 [1-2, 4-14]
William Feldman '14 [3, 15]
William Feldman '14 [1-2, 4-14]
Urska Kosir '15 [3, 15]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs B 12 12 12 12 10 15 9 13 12 5 11 11 10 9 9 162 Nace Cohen '14 [1-4, 8-10]
Samuel Taylor '14 [5-7, 11-15]
Samuel Taylor '14 [1-4, 8-10]
Nace Cohen '14 [5-7, 11-15]
Williams College Williams College Ephs A 13 11 13 8 13 12 14 14 13 13 10 12 11 8 11 176 Timothy Lorenzen '12
Rachael Burns '15
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners B 9 7 6 OCS 4 10 6 7 5 11 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 179 Eli Smith '15
Alexandra Bollella '14
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers B 11 16 15 10 11 9 12 12 8 12 12 15 15 16 16 190 Torkel Knutson '13 [1-15]
Michelle Moller '13 [1-10]
Jessica Larson '14 [11-15]
Williams College Williams College Ephs B 16 15 14 15 14 11 13 17 14 10 15 10 12 11 12 199 Joshua Revkin '13 [1-10]
Will Hayes '14 [11-15]
Mary Anne Ludwig '12 [1-10]
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons A 15 13 16 13 17 16 17 9 17 15 14 16 14 13 13 218 Andrew Gronet '13
Cole Bilodeau '15
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons B 14 18 17 14 18 6 16 18 16 18 13 13 16 14 14 225 Craig Timoney '13
Rebecca Hyatt '15
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners A 18 14 11 11 15 17 15 10 10 16 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 232 Mike Damico '13
Deborah Lee '15
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers A 17 17 18 16 16 18 18 15 18 17 16 14 13 15 15 243 Isabelle Malin '15 [1-10]
Colby Jennings '15 [11-15]
Samantha Abel '15 [1-10]
Aleksandr Morin '15 [11-12]
Stephen Phillips '12 [13-15]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons11223344551818171716
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears2211181817171616334410
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels3344556677221118
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners44332211181855555
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers556677889944332
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos665544332277889
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts778899101011116611114
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs887766554499101011
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs99101011111212131388776

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons10109988776611116613
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears111112121313141415151010998
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels12121111101099881313141415
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners131314141515161617171212121212
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers141413131212111110101515161617
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos151516161717181811141413137
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts16161515141413131212171718181
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs171718181122331616151514
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1818171716161515141411223
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bentley University Bentley University Andrew Gronet '13 Cole Bilodeau '15
Falcons Craig Timoney '13 Rebecca Hyatt '15
Brown University Brown University Lucas Adams '15 Nicole Quattrocchi '15
Bears Emmett Weeks '14 Gene Robinson '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Ig Schottlaender '14 Benjamin Meyers '15
Camels Jordan Bothwick '15 David Rex '14
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mike Damico '13 Deborah Lee '15
Mariners Eli Smith '15 Alexandra Bollella '14
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Isabelle Malin '15 [1-10]
Colby Jennings '15 [11-15]		 Samantha Abel '15 [1-10]
Aleksandr Morin '15 [11-12]
Stephen Phillips '12 [13-15]
Pioneers Torkel Knutson '13 [1-15] Michelle Moller '13 [1-10]
Jessica Larson '14 [11-15]
Tufts University Tufts University Willem Sandberg '14 Hannah Duggan '15
Jumbos Charles Proctor '14 Mara Porter '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Nate Jermain '15 Emily Olson '15
Catamounts Bradley Abbott '13 Sara Anibal '14
Williams College Williams College Timothy Lorenzen '12 Rachael Burns '15
Ephs Joshua Revkin '13 [1-10]
Will Hayes '14 [11-15]		 Mary Anne Ludwig '12 [1-10]
Yale University Yale University Urska Kosir '15 [1-2, 4-14]
William Feldman '14 [3, 15]		 William Feldman '14 [1-2, 4-14]
Urska Kosir '15 [3, 15]
Bulldogs Nace Cohen '14 [1-4, 8-10]
Samuel Taylor '14 [5-7, 11-15]		 Samuel Taylor '14 [1-4, 8-10]
Nace Cohen '14 [5-7, 11-15]

Conditions — 04/14/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 40%  ·  Pressure 1019.8 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.9 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From WSW (253°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover67% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity40% Pressure1019.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn · S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Yale: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Yale by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Yale).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →