SUNY Maritime College '16
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.76 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 114 | Fall 2015 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 (fleet 3.45) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 73–106 (41%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2015 | 5 | 25–39 | — |
| Spring 2014 | 5 | 15–36 | — |
| Spring 2013 | 4 | 33–31 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 11 graded regattas (129 matches) the record is 46–83 against 41.6 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+4.4). 3 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 3 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 15 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-04-11 | Captain "Joe" Prosser Trophy | skipper | 3.69 | 3.33 | 3–11 | 3.9 | −0.37 | 0.2 | 80% |
| 2015-03-28 | Admiral Moore Team Race | skipper | 3.62 | 4.79 | 15–3 | 11.6 | +1.17 | 2.6 | 6% |
| 2015-03-21 | Graham Hall Team Race | skipper | 3.58 | 3.68 | 2–13 | 1.9 | +0.11 | 0.0 | 63% |
| 2015-03-14 | St. Mary's Team Race | skipper | 3.61 | 3.68 | 1–8 | 0.9 | +0.07 | 0.0 | 66% |
| 2015-03-07 | GW Team Race | skipper | 3.35 | 4.76 | 4–4 | 1.7 | +1.41 | 2.5 | 6% |
| 2014-03-29 | MAISA Team Race Challenge | skipper | 3.48 | 3.77 | 5–2 | 4.7 | +0.28 | 0.1 | 59% |
| 2014-03-15 | Graham Hall Team Race | skipper | 3.60 | 4.72 | 4–11 | 2.0 | +1.13 | 1.7 | 11% |
| 2014-03-08 | John Jackson Team Race Regatta | skipper | 3.63 | 0.63 | 0–14 | 3.4 | ≤−3.00 | 6.8 | >99% |
| 2014-03-01 | The Tom Noble Team Race | skipper | 3.46 | 3.45 | 2–8 | 2.0 | −0.01 | 0.0 | 65% |
| 2014-02-22 | Pirates 3 on 3 | skipper | 3.59 | 2.32 | 4–1 | 4.7 | −1.27 | 0.7 | 96% |
| 2013-04-06 | Captain Prosser Trophy | skipper | 3.01 | 3.62 | 6–8 | 4.7 | +0.61 | 0.6 | 28% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.1 | 3.33 |
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | A | 18 | 11.4 | 3.38 |
| North Fall Qualifier | Skipper | A | 8 | 4.5 | 3.14 |
| Laser North Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 3.9 | 3.54 |
| Coed Atlantic Coast Championship | Skipper | B | 10 | 8.8 | 3.72 |
| Carl Van Duyne Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 13 | 11.3 | 2.25 |
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Team Race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 11% | — |
| Navy Spring | Skipper | A | 15 | 7.9 | 4.02 |
| GW Team Race | Skipper | TR | 20 | 55% | — |
| Graham Hall Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 13% | — |
| Gill Coed Eastern Semifinals | Skipper | A | 15 | 7.5 | 4.00 |
| Captain "Joe" Prosser Trophy | Skipper | TR | 14 | 21% | — |
| America Trophy/MAISA Dinghy Champs | Skipper | A | 6 | 7.2 | 3.74 |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 18 | 83% | — |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | C | 9 | 5.3 | 4.07 |
| Gill College Sailing Coed National Championship | Skipper | A | 18 | 11.7 | 3.52 |
| Fall 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | A | 7 | 6.1 | 3.70 |
| Nevins Trophy | Skipper | A | 10 | 7.2 | 3.77 |
| Navy Fall | Skipper | C | 15 | 5.6 | 4.15 |
| Laser North Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 15 | 4.3 | 3.51 |
| Hoyt Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 10.6 | 3.18 |
| Danmark Trophy | Skipper | A | 15 | 14.9 | 2.81 |
| Carl Van Duyne MAISA Men's Singles Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 8.8 | 3.19 |
| Atlantic Coast Championship | Skipper | B | 13 | 12.2 | 2.68 |
| Spring 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | A | 14 | 8.7 | 3.04 |
| The Tom Noble Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 20% | — |
| Pirates 3 on 3 | Skipper | TR | 5 | 80% | — |
| MAISA Team Race Challenge | Skipper | TR | 7 | 71% | — |
| John Jackson Team Race Regatta | Skipper | TR | 14 | 0% | — |
| Graham Hall Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 27% | — |
| America Trophy | Skipper | A | 16 | 8.6 | 3.30 |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | A | 14 | 8.1 | 3.88 |
| Fall 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | A | 10 | 5.9 | 3.68 |
| SMC Fall Interconference | Skipper | A | 18 | 8.9 | 3.54 |
| 64th Nevins Trophy | Skipper | A | 10 | 8.2 | 3.71 |
| KP Dinghy Open | Skipper | A | 16 | 5.3 | 3.48 |
| ICSA/LP Men's Singlehanded Champs Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 18 | 6.8 | 3.99 |
| Danmark Trophy | Skipper | A | 9 | 7.9 | 3.90 |
| Carl Van Duyne Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 18 | 4.6 | 4.29 |
| Atlantic Coast Championships | Skipper | A | 13 | 10.2 | 3.54 |
| Spring 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| College Sailing Eastern Semifinals | Skipper | B | 13 | 5.5 | 3.96 |
| John Jackson Memorial Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 50% | — |
| Graham Hall Team Race | Skipper | TR | 22 | 46% | — |
| Gill Coed Championships | Skipper | B | 17 | 9.4 | 3.42 |
| Captain Prosser Trophy | Skipper | TR | 14 | 43% | — |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 18 | 67% | — |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | B | 15 | 6.1 | 3.43 |
| Fall 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| Top 9 Regatta | Skipper | B | 3 | 2.3 | 3.81 |
| St. Mary's Fall Interconference | Skipper | B | 18 | 14.1 | 1.45 |
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Skipper | B | 11 | 10.0 | 2.83 |
| Nevin's Trophy | Skipper | C | 15 | 7.7 | 3.14 |
| Navy Fall | Skipper | C | 14 | 7.8 | 3.20 |
| Laser North Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 4 | 4.0 | 3.38 |
| Jesuit Open | Skipper | A | 4 | 9.0 | 1.49 |
| Carl Van Duyne MAISA Men's Singles Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 18 | 7.3 | 3.37 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
