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Hoyt Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 42 61 103
2 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 97 50 147
3 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 47 102 149
4 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 73 88 161
5 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 74 91 165
6 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 68 97 165
7 Boston College Boston College Eagles 74 94 168
8 Brown University Brown University Bears 102 67 169
9 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 104 67 171
10 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 86 101 187
11 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 88 103 191
12 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 107 85 192
13 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 104 99 203
14 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 110 93 203
15 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 116 104 220
16 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 123 112 235
17 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 127 124 251
18 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 131 139 270
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 5 2 1 4 6 1 14 2 5 42 Olin Paine '16 [1-10]
Jamie Spence '18 [1-6, 9-10]
Evan Morgan '18 [7-8]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 4 1 1 7 7 5 2 7 7 6 47 William Macdonald '15 [1-10]
Abby Preston '15 [1-6, 9-10]
James Bartlein '15 [7-8]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 11 4 8 2 5 9 7 9 1 12 68 Ian Barrows '17 [1-10]
Meredith Megarry '17 [1-6]
Charlotte Belling '16 [7-10]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 10 9 13 3 10 2 5 10 4 7 73 Alexander Stewart '17 [1-10]
Lisa Sukharev-Chuyan '16 [1-6]
Jordan Ladd '17 [7-10]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 6 12 3 4 13 1 12 5 9 9 74 Jack Mcguire '17
Charlotte Williamson '15
Boston College Boston College Eagles 15 8 5 9 16 3 10 1 6 1 74 William Bailey '15 [1-10]
Katherine Wysocki '15 [1-6]
Alex Palfrey '17 [7-10]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 18 2 4 14 6 14 6 4 16 2 86 Nick Johnstone '15
Septima Mcadams '16
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs RDG RDG 12 6 11 10 8 3 10 10 88 Esteban Forrer '16 [1-10]
Grace Mason '16 [1-6]
Gabriel Smith '17 [7-10]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 17 15 6 5 1 11 4 8 17 13 97 Scott Houck '15
Lizzie Guynn '16
Brown University Brown University Bears 7 18 10 17 12 4 13 15 3 3 102 Lucas Adams '15 [1-10]
Marina Cano '17 [1-6, 9-10]
Lydia Whiteford '15 [7-8]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 3 14 16 15 2 8 15 12 8 11 104 Brian Drumm '15 [1-7, 9-10]
Marek Zaleski '16 [8]
Jacob Bradt '16 [1-6, 9-10]
Marek Zaleski '16 [7]
Brian Drumm '15 [8]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 9 10 17 13 8 17 3 18 5 4 104 Hans Henken '15
Mary Vangelos '17
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 12 11 BYE BYE 3 7 9 11 18 14 107 Nick Valente '16
Lindsey Grant '18
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 5 3 15 8 17 12 OCS 2 12 17 110 Michael Zonnenberg '15 [1-10]
Bridget Murphy '15 [1-6]
James Mccracken '17 [7-10]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 13 7 11 12 BYE BYE 14 13 14 8 116 Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon '15 [1-10]
Sam Madden '15 [1-6]
Aaron Klein '18 [7-8]
Alexander Tong '17 [9-10]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 16 6 14 11 9 15 16 6 15 15 123 Mary Hall '15
Connor Hendi '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 8 13 7 16 15 13 11 17 11 16 127 Bryce Kopp '16 [1-6]
Ellis Tonissi '15 [7-10]
Albert Rodiger '18 [1-6]
Benjamin Meyers '15 [7-10]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 17 9 10 14 16 17 16 13 18 131 Jack Swikart '15
Catie Hopkins '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 6 1 5 3 11 1 4 7 10 50 Deirdre Lambert '15
Nathaniel Greason '17
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 5 3 BYE BYE 6 5 4 9 9 8 61 Will Holz '17 [1-4]
Alecsander Tayler '17 [5-10]
Emma Huntress '16 [1-8]
Evan Morgan '18 [9-10]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 11 5 2 4 13 16 12 1 2 1 67 Axel Sly '16 [1-10]
Cally Tullo '17 [1-4]
Daniel Ron '17 [5-10]
Brown University Brown University Bears 15 18 3 6 8 3 5 2 5 2 67 Pearson Potts '16 [1-10]
Lydia Whiteford '15 [1-4]
Peter Bailey '15 [5-10]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 8 10 5 15 14 4 8 10 8 3 85 Zachary Hill '18 [1-10]
Christa Case '18 [1-6]
James Lane '17 [7-10]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers RDG RDG 12 11 1 10 7 8 14 7 88 David Larson '16 [1-4]
Ty Ingram '18 [5-10]
Greta Farrell '18 [1-4]
Jordan Ladd '17 [5-6]
Kyle Joba-Woodruff '17 [7-10]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 9 9 10 2 10 17 3 7 11 13 91 Michael Croteau '15 [1-10]
Paige Speight '16 [1-6]
Sydney Avitia-Jacques '18 [7-10]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 14 7 1 4 2 14 17 15 18 93 Nate Jermain '15 [1-10]
Megan Mackinnon '17 [1-6]
Travis Bobley '17 [7-10]
Boston College Boston College Eagles DSQ 8 16 8 11 6 2 11 1 12 94 Charles Sinks '18 [1-10]
Allison Ferraris '17 [1-4]
Christopher Dwyer '15 [5-10]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 10 1 17 17 17 8 17 3 3 4 97 Joseph Kiss '17 [1-10]
Clara Robertson '17 [1-4]
Charlotte Belling '16 [5-6]
Emily Johnson '16 [7-10]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 12 2 13 9 7 15 15 14 6 6 99 Andrew Mollerus '16 [1-10]
Sydney Karnovsky '16 [1-6]
Kevin Coakley '18 [7-10]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 7 7 6 10 16 7 9 5 17 17 101 Charles Rees '16
Tierney Driscoll '15
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 16 11 11 7 2 1 10 16 12 16 102 Henry Vogel '15
Wendy Reuss '15
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 14 4 8 12 5 12 11 6 16 15 103 Daniel Lochner '15
Colin Voigt '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 13 4 14 18 18 6 13 10 5 104 Scott Barbano '17 [1-10]
Emily Shanley-Roberts '18 [1-4]
Alexander Tong '17 [5-6]
Aaron Klein '18 [7-10]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 16 9 13 12 14 16 15 4 9 112 Michael Popp '16 [1-10]
Alexandra Asuncion '15 [1-6]
Willard Hawley '18 [7-10]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 6 12 14 16 9 9 13 18 13 14 124 Hugh Macgillivray '18 [1-10]
Kim Bolick '15 [1-6, 9-10]
Albert Rodiger '18 [7-8]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 17 17 15 3 15 13 18 12 18 11 139 Drew Gallagher '18
Foster Collins '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1133557799
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears221818161614141212
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears335577991111
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars4422181816161414
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels55779911111313
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green66442218181616
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams7799111113131515
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson886644221818
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers991111131315151717
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen15151717113355
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers12121010886644
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs101088664422
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers161614141212101088
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks111113131515171711
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1313151517171133
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1414121210108866
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts171711335577
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs18181616141412121010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles224466881010
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears111717151513131111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears44668810101212
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars3311171715151313
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels6688101012121414
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green55331117171515
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams881010121214141616
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson775533111717
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers10101212141416161818
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen16161818224466
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers111199775533
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs9977553311
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1515131311119977
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks121214141616181822
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1414161618182244
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos13131111997755
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts181822446688
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs171715151313111199
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College William Bailey '15 [1-10] Katherine Wysocki '15 [1-6]
Alex Palfrey '17 [7-10]
Eagles Charles Sinks '18 [1-10] Allison Ferraris '17 [1-4]
Christopher Dwyer '15 [5-10]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Jack Mcguire '17 Charlotte Williamson '15
Polar Bears Michael Croteau '15 [1-10] Paige Speight '16 [1-6]
Sydney Avitia-Jacques '18 [7-10]
Brown University Brown University Lucas Adams '15 [1-10] Marina Cano '17 [1-6, 9-10]
Lydia Whiteford '15 [7-8]
Bears Pearson Potts '16 [1-10] Lydia Whiteford '15 [1-4]
Peter Bailey '15 [5-10]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Nick Johnstone '15 Septima Mcadams '16
Cougars Charles Rees '16 Tierney Driscoll '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Bryce Kopp '16 [1-6]
Ellis Tonissi '15 [7-10]		 Albert Rodiger '18 [1-6]
Benjamin Meyers '15 [7-10]
Camels Hugh Macgillivray '18 [1-10] Kim Bolick '15 [1-6, 9-10]
Albert Rodiger '18 [7-8]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Scott Houck '15 Lizzie Guynn '16
Big Green Deirdre Lambert '15 Nathaniel Greason '17
Fordham University Fordham University Olin Paine '16 [1-10] Jamie Spence '18 [1-6, 9-10]
Evan Morgan '18 [7-8]
Rams Will Holz '17 [1-4]
Alecsander Tayler '17 [5-10]		 Emma Huntress '16 [1-8]
Evan Morgan '18 [9-10]
Harvard University Harvard University Brian Drumm '15 [1-7, 9-10]
Marek Zaleski '16 [8]		 Jacob Bradt '16 [1-6, 9-10]
Marek Zaleski '16 [7]
Brian Drumm '15 [8]
Crimson Andrew Mollerus '16 [1-10] Sydney Karnovsky '16 [1-6]
Kevin Coakley '18 [7-10]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Alexander Stewart '17 [1-10] Lisa Sukharev-Chuyan '16 [1-6]
Jordan Ladd '17 [7-10]
Engineers David Larson '16 [1-4]
Ty Ingram '18 [5-10]		 Greta Farrell '18 [1-4]
Jordan Ladd '17 [5-6]
Kyle Joba-Woodruff '17 [7-10]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Esteban Forrer '16 [1-10] Grace Mason '16 [1-6]
Gabriel Smith '17 [7-10]
Monarchs Daniel Lochner '15 Colin Voigt '15
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University William Macdonald '15 [1-10] Abby Preston '15 [1-6, 9-10]
James Bartlein '15 [7-8]
Hawks Henry Vogel '15 Wendy Reuss '15
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Nick Valente '16 Lindsey Grant '18
Privateers Zachary Hill '18 [1-10] Christa Case '18 [1-6]
James Lane '17 [7-10]
Stanford University Stanford University Hans Henken '15 Mary Vangelos '17
Cardinal Axel Sly '16 [1-10] Cally Tullo '17 [1-4]
Daniel Ron '17 [5-10]
Tufts University Tufts University Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon '15 [1-10] Sam Madden '15 [1-6]
Aaron Klein '18 [7-8]
Alexander Tong '17 [9-10]
Jumbos Scott Barbano '17 [1-10] Emily Shanley-Roberts '18 [1-4]
Alexander Tong '17 [5-6]
Aaron Klein '18 [7-10]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Mary Hall '15 Connor Hendi '15
Midshipmen Michael Popp '16 [1-10] Alexandra Asuncion '15 [1-6]
Willard Hawley '18 [7-10]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Jack Swikart '15 Catie Hopkins '17
Quakers Drew Gallagher '18 Foster Collins '16
University of Vermont University of Vermont Michael Zonnenberg '15 [1-10] Bridget Murphy '15 [1-6]
James Mccracken '17 [7-10]
Catamounts Nate Jermain '15 [1-10] Megan Mackinnon '17 [1-6]
Travis Bobley '17 [7-10]
Yale University Yale University Ian Barrows '17 [1-10] Meredith Megarry '17 [1-6]
Charlotte Belling '16 [7-10]
Bulldogs Joseph Kiss '17 [1-10] Clara Robertson '17 [1-4]
Charlotte Belling '16 [5-6]
Emily Johnson '16 [7-10]

Conditions — 10/25/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1005.6 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 6.5 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From W (264°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover24% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1005.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn · W 18 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Brown: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.22 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.30
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.23 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Brown by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (78 labelled days at Brown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →