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Top 9 Regatta

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 171
2 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 176
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 178
4 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 228
5 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 248
6 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 304
7 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 335
8 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 371
9 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 383
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen A 1 4 1 1 2 2 1 11 4 2 3 2 7 4 45 Michael Popp '16
Chelsea Smith '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas A 3 2 4 6 5 7 2 2 11 3 1 9 1 6 62 Nancy Hagood '14 [1-11]
Alex Post '15 [12-14]
Leslie Cowen '13 [1-11]
Katie Olsen '15 [12-14]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks A 2 9 3 4 1 3 3 1 5 7 6 3 10 7 64 Ian Liberty '14 [1-14]
Mariah Leffingwell '16 [1-11]
Thad Bench '15 [12-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers A 6 6 7 3 3 4 4 8 2 16 12 1 3 11 86 Mike Carr '15
Thomas Sippel '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas B 10 3 13 11 4 9 15 9 1 4 2 5 8 15 109 Sean Golden '16 [1-11]
Greg Martinez '18 [12-14]
Annalee Leggett '13 [1-11]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen A 4 10 8 7 15 11 8 14 3 6 7 8 4 8 113 Elliott Morrill '15
Adele Huffine '14
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks B 7 8 2 2 13 6 5 7 12 1 15 13 9 14 114 Thomas Galster '15
Morgan Bench '16
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen B 5 1 5 12 11 1 10 13 7 15 9 11 6 9 115 Stewart Draheim '16
Allison Aughtry '16
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen B 9 15 16 10 7 13 7 17 9 10 5 6 5 2 131 Philip Youngberg '15
Megan Hough '16
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red B 11 17 14 8 9 5 6 4 6 8 8 18 13 10 137 Alden Sonnenfeldt '13 [1-11]
Max Joh-Carnella '16 [12-14]
Juliet Levine '14 [1-11]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen A 14 11 12 5 6 10 16 3 15 5 13 12 12 18 152 Eric Siegel '16 [1-14]
Richard Grouser Iii '16 [1-4, 12-14]
Adam Green '16 [5-11]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers B 16 13 15 9 16 14 18 6 17 17 14 4 2 1 162 Matthew Nilsen '14 [1-11]
Nick Valente '16 [12-14]
Lauren Albano '16 [1-11]
Paige Conlin '14 [12-14]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 13 7 6 15 17 8 9 10 14 13 4 17 16 16 165 Rachel Austin '14
Grace Mason '16
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red A 12 14 11 13 10 16 14 16 10 14 16 7 11 3 167 Jennifer Borshoff '15 [1-14]
Claire Riedman '16 [1-11]
Rebecca Macies '14 [12-14]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 18 5 10 16 12 15 12 5 8 9 10 15 18 17 170 Corina Radtke '14
Alexa Cavalieri '14
Fordham University Fordham University Rams A 8 16 9 14 8 12 13 15 16 12 17 14 17 5 176 Mia Cooper '14
Emma Huntress '16
Fordham University Fordham University Rams B 15 12 17 17 14 18 11 12 13 11 18 10 14 13 195 Madeleine Sims '16 [1-11]
Alex Reynolds '14 [12-14]
Caroline Wolff '16 [1-11]
Mary Hamilton '14 [12-14]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen B 17 18 18 18 18 17 17 18 18 18 11 16 15 12 231 Siobhan Ryan '16 [1-11]
Samuel Bedinger '13 [12-14]
Alexandra Crawford '16 [1-4, 9-11]
Jacquelyn Desoto '16 [5-8, 14]
Keaton Bresnahan '16 [12-13]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.250+0.25
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red11223344556677
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams221118181717161615151414
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas33445566778899
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen44332211181817171616
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen556677889910101111
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers6655443322111818
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs7788991010111112121313
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks88776655443322
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen99101011111212131314141515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red1010998877665544
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams1111121213131414151516161717
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas12121111101099887766
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen13131414151516161717181811
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen141413131212111110109988
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1515161617171818112233
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs1616151514141313121211111010
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks171718181122334455
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1818171716161515141413131212
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cornell University Cornell University Jennifer Borshoff '15 [1-14] Claire Riedman '16 [1-11]
Rebecca Macies '14 [12-14]
Big Red Alden Sonnenfeldt '13 [1-11]
Max Joh-Carnella '16 [12-14]		 Juliet Levine '14 [1-11]
Fordham University Fordham University Mia Cooper '14 Emma Huntress '16
Rams Madeleine Sims '16 [1-11]
Alex Reynolds '14 [12-14]		 Caroline Wolff '16 [1-11]
Mary Hamilton '14 [12-14]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Nancy Hagood '14 [1-11]
Alex Post '15 [12-14]		 Leslie Cowen '13 [1-11]
Katie Olsen '15 [12-14]
Hoyas Sean Golden '16 [1-11]
Greg Martinez '18 [12-14]		 Annalee Leggett '13 [1-11]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Elliott Morrill '15 Adele Huffine '14
Statesmen Stewart Draheim '16 Allison Aughtry '16
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Corina Radtke '14 Alexa Cavalieri '14
Monarchs Rachel Austin '14 Grace Mason '16
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Mike Carr '15 Thomas Sippel '14
Privateers Matthew Nilsen '14 [1-11]
Nick Valente '16 [12-14]		 Lauren Albano '16 [1-11]
Paige Conlin '14 [12-14]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Ian Liberty '14 [1-14] Mariah Leffingwell '16 [1-11]
Thad Bench '15 [12-14]
Seahawks Thomas Galster '15 Morgan Bench '16
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Michael Popp '16 Chelsea Smith '14
Midshipmen Philip Youngberg '15 Megan Hough '16
Washington College Washington College Eric Siegel '16 [1-14] Richard Grouser Iii '16 [1-4, 12-14]
Adam Green '16 [5-11]
Shoremen Siobhan Ryan '16 [1-11]
Samuel Bedinger '13 [12-14]		 Alexandra Crawford '16 [1-4, 9-11]
Jacquelyn Desoto '16 [5-8, 14]
Keaton Bresnahan '16 [12-13]

Conditions — 10/27/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1015.8 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.4 kn
Gusts to 15.2 kn
From ENE (78°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine6.2 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1015.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn · NE 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at NY Maritime: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.07 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.05 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at NY Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at NY Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →