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Admiral's Cup

# SchoolTeam A B C TOT
1 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 89 98 89 276
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 118 117 67 302
3 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 117 134 51 302
4 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 118 64 153 335
5 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 118 115 105 338
6 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 111 134 100 345
7 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 88 107 158 353
8 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 108 78 173 359
9 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 123 138 100 361
10 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 88 149 143 380
11 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 114 141 130 385
12 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 192 144 49 385
13 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 113 174 145 432
14 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 176 139 183 498
15 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 160 168 173 501
16 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 197 130 215 542
17 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 218 220 141 579
18 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 193 164 270 627
19 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 198 246 235 679
20 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 269 277 226 772
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 3 16 10 3 2 15 4 3 7 6 4 2 11 2 88 Jack Mcguire '17
Charlotte Williamson '15
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 10 1 1 11 8 16 5 2 10 2 6 BKD BYE 88 Matthew Wefer '14 [1-14]
Mia Steck '17 [1-10]
Victor Hollenberg '14 [11-14]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 6 1 9 5 8 7 12 4 3 5 5 10 9 5 89 Joshua Greenslade '14
Nicole Deangeli '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 9 5 10 6 5 7 8 18 7 11 3 1 17 108 William Macdonald '15 [1-14]
Breanne Baldino '16 [1-5, 7]
James Kennedy '17 [6, 8-14]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 14 11 14 7 9 9 2 10 10 2 3 12 4 4 111 Brendan Shanahan '17 [1-14]
Jennifer Wilson '15 [1-9]
Matthew Ricci '15 [10-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 7 7 11 13 1 3 3 13 14 4 17 8 6 6 113 Nick Valente '16
Paige Conlin '14
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 13 14 7 14 4 2 8 12 16 8 7 4 2 3 114 Eddie Cox '16
Jane Rew '14
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 8 18 13 2 5 10 14 9 5 1 1 1 12 18 117 Esteban Forrer '16 [1-14]
Julia Wiesner '14 [1-10]
Gabriel Smith '17 [11-14]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 2 4 18 3 12 5 11 9 11 12 16 5 8 118 Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon '15
Sam Madden '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 11 6 19 8 7 1 9 2 1 3 DSQ 5 16 9 118 Michael Zonnenberg '15 [1-14]
Megan Mackinnon '17 [1-12]
Travis Bobley '17 [13-14]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 12 8 2 4 18 6 1 1 8 15 6 11 15 11 118 Michael Grove '14 [1-14]
Alexandra Asuncion '15 [1-10, 14]
Mary Robertson '17 [11-13]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 4 5 3 11 15 18 6 7 15 9 9 7 13 1 123 Avery Fanning '16
Robert Turley '16
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 16 3 8 12 14 14 18 6 4 17 10 14 8 16 160 Connor Godfrey '16
Elaina Mansley '16
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 10 17 6 6 16 4 13 18 11 13 16 13 18 15 176 Jack Swikart '15
Helen Boone '16
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson BKD 12 12 15 17 13 15 15 17 12 14 17 7 12 192 Andrew Mollerus '16
Sydney Karnovsky '16
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 9 13 16 17 12 16 19 16 19 14 8 18 3 13 193 Christopher Stessing '14
Eliza Schuett '17
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 17 19 15 9 19 20 11 14 6 18 13 9 17 10 197 Caleb Armstrong '16
Elizabeth Durgin '16
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers DSQ 15 18 19 10 11 10 19 12 16 15 15 10 7 198 Laura Wefer '16 [1-14]
Katlyn Putney '14 [1-6, 9-14]
Molly Sitter '15 [7-8]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 18 4 17 16 13 17 17 17 13 20 18 20 14 14 218 Max Neubelt '17 [1-14]
Wardlaw Skinner '17 [1-7, 13-14]
Ryan Wood '17 [8-12]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 15 20 20 20 20 19 20 20 20 19 19 19 19 19 269 Andrew Werner '14 [1-7]
Bennett Brainard '17 [8-14]
Henry Pease '16 [1-7]
Amara Plaza-Jennings '15 [8-14]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 14 4 2 1 9 1 3 9 2 1 3 7 4 4 64 Jordan Factor '14
Sara Anibal '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 10 3 7 12 1 4 4 4 3 7 4 9 8 2 78 Connor Needham '14 [1-14]
Wendy Reuss '15 [1-9, 11-14]
Riley Eger '17 [10]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 5 5 1 17 6 13 10 8 17 3 5 2 3 3 98 Nicholas Clemence '15
Allison Shane '15
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 10 5 11 2 8 7 6 12 6 12 8 11 7 107 Scott Houck '15
Julia Mckown '17
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 12 11 4 8 15 10 5 3 7 4 2 14 7 13 115 Michael Popp '16 [1-14]
Chelsea Smith '14 [1-4, 6-10, 13-14]
Connor Hendi '15 [5, 11-12]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 6 12 4 3 6 8 17 10 2 17 4 16 6 117 Willem Sandberg '14
Mara Porter '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 7 15 11 7 11 5 16 13 6 12 11 6 9 1 130 Matthew Coughlin '16
Kaitlyn Norton '15
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 13 2 6 14 13 15 9 12 13 9 1 5 17 5 134 Daniel Lochner '15
Colin Voigt '15
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 17 1 OCS 3 16 3 2 11 9 5 15 1 14 16 134 Daniel Delbello '17
Meagan Murphy '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 15 16 8 10 BKD 2 14 5 8 13 8 13 2 14 138 Bradley Milliken '14 [1-14]
Jaimie Chicoine '14 [1-10, 12-14]
Michael Caballero '14 [11]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 13 9 5 19 9 6 2 11 14 13 15 1 RAF 139 Maximiliano Agnese '16
Catie Hopkins '17
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 8 9 DSQ 9 8 11 1 10 1 18 6 17 13 9 141 Elliott Morrill '15 [1-14]
Julia Oak '14 [1-10, 13-14]
Adam Schaefer '17 [11-12]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 4 8 3 18 7 16 18 7 16 10 10 12 5 10 144 Marek Zaleski '16
Emma Wheeler '17
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 16 14 13 15 5 7 19 1 5 8 16 3 12 15 149 Tom Peabody '14 [1-4]
Michael Croteau '15 [5-14]
Paige Speight '16 [1-4]
Jackson Bloch '15 [5-14]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 3 17 10 6 10 12 13 19 15 16 9 16 6 12 164 Christopher Craven '16 [1-14]
Caitlin Grumbling '16 [1-4, 6-10, 13-14]
Samuel Patterson '16 [5, 11-12]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 9 7 17 2 18 18 11 18 14 15 7 11 10 11 168 Will Holz '17 [1-7]
Alecsander Tayler '17 [8-14]
Emma Huntress '16 [1-7]
Connor Murphy '16 [8-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 11 12 15 16 12 14 17 15 4 11 14 10 15 8 174 Arthur Libby '17 [1-12]
Julia Paxton '14 [13-14]
James Lane '17 [1-12]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 19 19 14 13 4 17 12 16 18 17 18 18 18 17 220 Charles Skord '17 [1-7]
Samuel Watterson '16 [8-14]
Mark Betancourt '16 [1-6]
Peter Heinbockel '16 [7-14]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 18 18 16 19 14 19 15 14 19 19 19 19 19 18 246 Soren Walljasper '17 [1-14]
Virginia Debbink '16 [1-6, 8, 10]
Dana Friske '15 [7, 9, 11-14]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 20 20 18 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 19 277 Adrija Navarro '15 [1-7]
Henry Pease '16 [8-14]
Andrew Sun '16 [1-7]
Layton Hopper '16 [8-14]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 1 1 1 1 1 2 9 2 4 1 OCS 3 1 1 49 Juan Perdomo '17
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 4 2 2 2 2 14 12 1 3 2 1 1 2 3 51 Nathan Fields '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 5 3 3 3 1 6 5 13 12 2 5 3 4 67 James Beatty '17
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 5 6 5 7 12 5 1 3 15 4 6 6 7 7 89 Jacob La Dow '15
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 3 4 11 8 7 12 11 11 7 5 5 10 4 2 100 Colin Kennedy '17
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 11 8 9 6 4 7 BKD 10 10 7 7 4 5 5 100 Dylan Finneran '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 9 9 4 4 5 17 3 7 9 8 4 2 13 11 105 Philip Youngberg '15
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 8 3 10 12 6 16 BKD 13 1 3 16 17 6 10 130 Sean Burke '17
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 15 16 7 10 13 BKD 10 4 2 14 11 11 8 BKD 141 Austin Neuman '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 18 10 OCS 9 10 4 5 6 12 10 9 8 12 9 143 Matthew Lyons '17
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 6 12 6 5 9 18 15 16 6 9 3 OCS 11 8 145 Matthew Schoene '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 14 13 12 13 14 13 7 14 11 11 8 7 10 6 153 Henry O'Brien '15
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 20 7 OCS 14 8 10 2 12 14 6 10 12 9 13 158 Thomas Gallagher '16
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 10 11 13 17 11 8 4 17 16 13 12 13 16 12 173 Daniel Kraus '17
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 13 14 8 11 15 9 BKD 8 8 16 19 9 17 14 173 Alexander Rudkin '14
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 7 17 14 16 16 15 8 9 5 15 14 16 15 16 183 Joe Farned '17
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 17 15 16 15 18 11 17 15 17 18 13 14 14 15 215 Patrick Penwell '16
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 12 18 15 DNF 19 3 13 18 19 19 17 15 19 18 226 Sydney Mandelbaum '17 [1-4, 8-14]
Andrew Grasso '15 [5-7]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 16 20 17 18 17 6 16 DNF 18 17 15 19 18 17 235 Peter Grimmer '16
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 19 19 OCS 19 20 19 18 19 20 DNF 18 18 20 19 270 Jordan Cornell '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears11223344556677
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1313141415151616171718181919
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green221120201919181817171616
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams33445566778899
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials44332211202019191818
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson556677889910101111
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen6655443322112020
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners141413131212111110109988
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen15151616171718181919202011
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1010998877665544
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs7788991010111112121313
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1616151514141313121211111010
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers88776655443322
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1717181819192020112233
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks99101011111212131314141515
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1111121213131414151516161717
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos12121111101099887766
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1818171716161515141413131212
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos191920201122334455
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers2020191918181717161615151414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears11223344556677
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1313141415151616171718181919
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green221120201919181817171616
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams33445566778899
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials44332211202019191818
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson556677889910101111
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen6655443322112020
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners141413131212111110109988
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen15151616171718181919202011
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1010998877665544
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs7788991010111112121313
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1616151514141313121211111010
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers88776655443322
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1717181819192020112233
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks99101011111212131314141515
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1111121213131414151516161717
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos12121111101099887766
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1818171716161515141413131212
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos191920201122334455
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers2020191918181717161615151414

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C10C11C12C13C14C
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears11223344556677
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1313141415151616171718181919
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green221120201919181817171616
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams33445566778899
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials44332211202019191818
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson556677889910101111
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen6655443322112020
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners141413131212111110109988
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen15151616171718181919202011
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1010998877665544
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs7788991010111112121313
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1616151514141313121211111010
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers88776655443322
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1717181819192020112233
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks99101011111212131314141515
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1111121213131414151516161717
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos12121111101099887766
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1818171716161515141413131212
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos191920201122334455
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers2020191918181717161615151414
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Jack Mcguire '17 Charlotte Williamson '15
Polar Bears Tom Peabody '14 [1-4]
Michael Croteau '15 [5-14]		 Paige Speight '16 [1-4]
Jackson Bloch '15 [5-14]
Matthew Lyons '17
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Matthew Wefer '14 [1-14] Mia Steck '17 [1-10]
Victor Hollenberg '14 [11-14]
Big Green Scott Houck '15 Julia Mckown '17
Thomas Gallagher '16
Fordham University Fordham University Connor Godfrey '16 Elaina Mansley '16
Rams Will Holz '17 [1-7]
Alecsander Tayler '17 [8-14]		 Emma Huntress '16 [1-7]
Connor Murphy '16 [8-14]
Daniel Kraus '17
George Washington University George Washington University Brendan Shanahan '17 [1-14] Jennifer Wilson '15 [1-9]
Matthew Ricci '15 [10-14]
Colonials Daniel Delbello '17 Meagan Murphy '15
Colin Kennedy '17
Harvard University Harvard University Andrew Mollerus '16 Sydney Karnovsky '16
Crimson Marek Zaleski '16 Emma Wheeler '17
Juan Perdomo '17
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Eddie Cox '16 Jane Rew '14
Statesmen Elliott Morrill '15 [1-14] Julia Oak '14 [1-10, 13-14]
Adam Schaefer '17 [11-12]
Sean Burke '17
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Esteban Forrer '16 [1-14] Julia Wiesner '14 [1-10]
Gabriel Smith '17 [11-14]
Monarchs Daniel Lochner '15 Colin Voigt '15
Nathan Fields '17
Princeton University Princeton University Andrew Werner '14 [1-7]
Bennett Brainard '17 [8-14]		 Henry Pease '16 [1-7]
Amara Plaza-Jennings '15 [8-14]
Tigers Adrija Navarro '15 [1-7]
Henry Pease '16 [8-14]		 Andrew Sun '16 [1-7]
Layton Hopper '16 [8-14]
Sydney Mandelbaum '17 [1-4, 8-14]
Andrew Grasso '15 [5-7]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University William Macdonald '15 [1-14] Breanne Baldino '16 [1-5, 7]
James Kennedy '17 [6, 8-14]
Hawks Connor Needham '14 [1-14] Wendy Reuss '15 [1-9, 11-14]
Riley Eger '17 [10]
Alexander Rudkin '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Nick Valente '16 Paige Conlin '14
Privateers Arthur Libby '17 [1-12]
Julia Paxton '14 [13-14]		 James Lane '17 [1-12]
Matthew Schoene '15
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Joshua Greenslade '14 Nicole Deangeli '14
Seahawks Nicholas Clemence '15 Allison Shane '15
Jacob La Dow '15
Tufts University Tufts University Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon '15 Sam Madden '15
Jumbos Willem Sandberg '14 Mara Porter '14
James Beatty '17
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Avery Fanning '16 Robert Turley '16
Bears Bradley Milliken '14 [1-14] Jaimie Chicoine '14 [1-10, 12-14]
Michael Caballero '14 [11]
Dylan Finneran '15
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Max Neubelt '17 [1-14] Wardlaw Skinner '17 [1-7, 13-14]
Ryan Wood '17 [8-12]
Mariners Charles Skord '17 [1-7]
Samuel Watterson '16 [8-14]		 Mark Betancourt '16 [1-6]
Peter Heinbockel '16 [7-14]
Austin Neuman '16
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Michael Grove '14 [1-14] Alexandra Asuncion '15 [1-10, 14]
Mary Robertson '17 [11-13]
Midshipmen Michael Popp '16 [1-14] Chelsea Smith '14 [1-4, 6-10, 13-14]
Connor Hendi '15 [5, 11-12]
Philip Youngberg '15
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Jack Swikart '15 Helen Boone '16
Quakers Maximiliano Agnese '16 Catie Hopkins '17
Joe Farned '17
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Caleb Armstrong '16 Elizabeth Durgin '16
Rams Matthew Coughlin '16 Kaitlyn Norton '15
Patrick Penwell '16
University of Vermont University of Vermont Michael Zonnenberg '15 [1-14] Megan Mackinnon '17 [1-12]
Travis Bobley '17 [13-14]
Catamounts Jordan Factor '14 Sara Anibal '14
Henry O'Brien '15
University of Virginia University of Virginia Christopher Stessing '14 Eliza Schuett '17
Wahoos Christopher Craven '16 [1-14] Caitlin Grumbling '16 [1-4, 6-10, 13-14]
Samuel Patterson '16 [5, 11-12]
Jordan Cornell '17
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Laura Wefer '16 [1-14] Katlyn Putney '14 [1-6, 9-14]
Molly Sitter '15 [7-8]
Badgers Soren Walljasper '17 [1-14] Virginia Debbink '16 [1-6, 8, 10]
Dana Friske '15 [7, 9, 11-14]
Peter Grimmer '16

Conditions — 04/19/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1024.6 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From NNW (346°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover71% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1024.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 9 kn · NE 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Kings Point: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.13 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kings Point by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (80 labelled days at Kings Point).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →