Harvard University '17
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.89 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 39 | Fall 2015 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.55 (fleet 3.52) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 17–14 (55%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2016 | 2 | 17–14 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (31 matches) the record is 17–14 against 18.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.1). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-04-02 | The 35th Lynne Marchiando Trophy | skipper | 4.00 | 4.19 | 7–3 | 6.7 | +0.19 | 0.0 | 56% |
| 2016-03-19 | The Ike Geiger Team Race Regatta | skipper | 3.58 | 3.22 | 10–11 | 11.4 | −0.36 | 0.4 | 84% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Mosbacher, Owen, Knapp Trophies | Skipper | A | 14 | 8.9 | 2.31 |
| The 35th Lynne Marchiando Trophy | Skipper | TR | 13 | 62% | — |
| The Ike Geiger Team Race Regatta | Skipper | TR | 21 | 48% | — |
| 81st Boston Dinghy Challenge Cup | Skipper | C | 9 | 6.4 | 3.68 |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | C | 17 | 4.0 | 4.22 |
| Nevins Trophy | Skipper | C | 18 | 1.8 | 5.70 |
| NEISA Men's Singlehanded Champs Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 4.6 | — |
| LaserPerformance Men's Singlehanded Championship Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 11 | 4.3 | 5.04 |
| Fall 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Navy Fall | Skipper | C | 14 | 5.3 | 3.93 |
| Mystic Lake Central Series Four | Skipper | A | 8 | 3.6 | 2.63 |
| Spring 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| 70th Greater Boston Oberg Trophy | Skipper | A | 13 | 5.1 | 3.30 |
| BU Trophy | Skipper | A | 10 | 8.6 | 2.43 |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | C | 13 | 2.2 | 4.25 |
| Fall 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | A | 7 | 5.1 | 2.63 |
| 64th Nevins Trophy | Skipper | C | 10 | 2.8 | 5.18 |
| Navy Fall | Skipper | C | 19 | 3.2 | 4.61 |
| ICSA/LP Men's Singlehanded Champs Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 18 | 4.1 | 4.88 |
| NEISA Men's Singlehanded Champs Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 10 | 5.2 | 4.39 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
