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Nevins Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B C TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 112 106 71 289
2 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 212 77 78 367
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 123 119 133 375
4 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 92 130 164 386
5 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 132 235 32 399
6 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 158 140 107 405
7 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 182 164 95 441
8 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 119 155 179 453
9 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 169 170 115 454
10 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 113 211 136 460
11 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 114 101 289 504
12 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 144 162 264 570
13 BUSA BUSA Limey 257 198 173 628
14 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 259 220 276 755
15 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 249 222 291 762
16 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 285 255 231 771
17 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 233 243 307 783
18 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 246 301 255 802
19 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 255 267 280 802
20 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 326 310 297 933
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 16 11 2 1 3 1 6 5 7 5 3 5 5 4 9 1 6 2 92 Esteban Forrer '16
Gabriel Smith '17
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 10 1 3 6 3 5 6 1 8 5 3 11 9 2 10 13 11 112 Sean Golden '16 [1-18]
Isabelle Ruiz De Luzuriaga '16 [1-10, 13-14, 16-18]
Albert Kraus '17 [11-12, 15]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 6 3 3 8 12 8 4 9 8 2 4 14 8 7 1 6 2 8 113 Maximiliano Agnese '16 [1-18]
Catie Hopkins '17 [1-10, 14-18]
Nina Kaledin '16 [11-13]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 10 2 12 7 1 16 2 2 2 7 10 1 4 3 8 9 14 4 114 Nicholas Baird '19 [1-18]
Amelia Dobronyi '17 [1-10, 14, 18]
Claire Huebner '18 [11-13, 15-17]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 4 16 10 12 2 2 7 3 6 9 2 12 2 5 3 13 4 7 119 Greiner Hobbs '18 [1-18]
Sarah Warren '18 [1-10]
Adam Schaefer '17 [11-18]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 7 4 11 4 7 1 10 4 14 9 4 1 11 20 7 3 5 123 Alexander Curtiss '16 [1-18]
Mariah Leffingwell '16 [1-15, 17-18]
Natasha Skaalrud '16 [16]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 2 5 13 6 7 11 3 12 15 3 14 10 3 14 6 2 5 1 132 Marek Zaleski '16 [1-18]
Julia Lord '17 [1-10]
Olivia Kjorlien '17 [11-18]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 8 1 6 5 9 13 13 8 14 11 6 2 13 2 11 3 9 10 144 Alecsander Tayler '17
Madeleine Sims '16
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 3 15 9 10 13 18 12 1 3 12 1 6 18 1 7 8 8 13 158 Charles Lalumiere '17
Abigail Rohman '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 9 6 7 2 8 5 8 13 10 17 11 11 6 8 19 11 15 3 169 Scott Barbano '17 [1-18]
Caroline Atwood '16 [1-10]
Steven Honig '19 [11-18]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 14 18 17 14 17 19 10 4 5 1 8 7 7 18 5 5 1 12 182 Dirk Johnson '18 [1-18]
Rebecca Anderson '18 [1-10]
Daniel Petrovic '19 [11-18]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 13 13 14 13 5 4 9 11 9 18 12 16 9 15 12 17 16 6 212 Michael Popp '16
Brittany Webb-Martin '18
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 15 9 5 16 10 9 15 15 11 15 19 13 10 16 15 15 11 14 233 Christopher Craven '16 [1-18]
Colleen Roney '18 [1-10, 14, 18]
Julia Gowell '18 [11-13, 15-17]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 7 8 20 15 11 17 11 14 20 10 17 15 12 19 13 12 7 18 246 Austin Neuman '16
Cara Halm '16
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 18 12 8 4 18 15 17 18 19 6 16 9 14 12 16 19 12 16 249 Christopher Cyr '16
Lane Tobin '18
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 11 14 11 9 14 10 20 16 12 19 20 18 16 13 4 18 10 20 255 Eric Siegel '16 [1-18]
Lindsey Arnstein '18 [1-10]
Griffin Rodrigue '18 [11-18]
BUSA BUSA Limey 12 19 18 17 15 12 14 7 16 4 13 19 19 20 10 4 19 19 257 Arthur Henderson '19
No Show
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 20 17 19 19 20 6 16 20 13 13 7 8 17 6 17 14 18 9 259 Daniel Lawless '17
Hannah Knighton '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 19 4 16 20 19 14 19 17 18 16 15 17 15 10 14 20 17 15 285 Sarah De Silva '19 [1-18]
Nathalie Garcia '19 [1-7]
James Maguire '20 [8-18]
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 17 20 15 18 16 20 18 19 17 20 18 20 20 17 18 16 20 17 326 Rory Mess '16 [1-18]
Emily Hann '17 [1-10, 14-18]
Patrick Lageraaen '19 [11-13]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 5 1 2 3 6 1 1 8 3 2 6 6 1 10 4 5 9 4 77 Patrick Snow '17
Aaron Hull '16
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 3 15 5 13 1 7 6 2 4 8 2 4 13 3 12 1 1 1 101 Nicolas Hernandez '19
Emily Johnson '16
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 2 14 5 4 2 2 5 6 6 3 5 12 4 1 4 16 11 106 Aj Reiter '17 [1-18]
Elizabeth Mullarney '16 [1-10, 13-14, 16-18]
Jack Welty '16 [11-12, 15]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 8 9 4 2 9 12 5 13 1 14 1 1 10 11 2 2 7 8 119 Edmund Cooper '17 [1-18]
Kaitlyn Noreen '16 [1-10, 14]
Bradley Adam '17 [11-13, 15-18]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 7 8 6 18 9 10 3 13 1 9 2 7 16 7 7 2 3 130 Augie Dale '18 [1-18]
Kaylie Gallagher '16 [1-10, 14]
Dane Pedersen '19 [11-13, 15-18]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 6 19 1 9 11 4 8 1 7 3 7 7 8 8 14 8 12 7 140 Robert Floyd '17
Madeleine Cooney '17
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 5 3 12 10 5 11 12 5 13 4 OCS 6 12 3 13 14 5 155 Eddie Cox '16 [1-18]
Haley Okun '18 [1-10]
Sarah Warren '18 [11-18]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 11 18 15 11 5 11 4 11 9 7 15 12 3 1 OCS 3 3 2 162 Connor Godfrey '16 [1-18]
Johanna Monro '16 [1-2]
Connor Murphy '16 [3-18]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 14 3 12 7 7 3 3 6 10 18 13 OCS 5 5 11 6 11 9 164 Michael Gemperline '17
Michael Mcbrien '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 12 8 9 4 2 6 13 7 11 12 OCS 9 2 9 15 9 6 15 170 James Moody '16 [1-18]
Caroline Ambros '17 [1-10]
Caroline Atwood '16 [11-18]
BUSA BUSA Limey 13 11 17 8 13 8 7 15 17 4 10 10 15 13 16 11 4 6 198 No Show
No Show
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 7 12 10 10 14 18 14 10 12 19 12 13 11 2 6 12 8 DSQ 211 Drew Gallagher '18 [1-18]
Lucy Sergeant '18 [1-8, 13-18]
Joseph Egan '18 [9-12]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 17 20 20 18 17 16 9 17 2 11 8 3 4 14 8 14 10 12 220 Stephan Verhulst '19 [1-4, 11-14]
Peter Steo '19 [5-10, 15-18]
Anna Palmer '17 [1-4, 11-14]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 10 6 7 1 20 14 15 19 15 17 17 8 16 6 5 16 13 17 222 Mason Wolters '18
Michael Gapuz '18
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 20 13 16 20 8 15 18 16 8 9 5 11 14 18 9 10 15 10 235 Kevin Coakley '18 [1]
Jackson Wagner '19 [2-18]
Olivia Kjorlien '17 [1-10]
Kevin Coakley '18 [11-13, 16-17]
Julia Lord '17 [14-15, 18]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 9 4 19 17 12 13 20 4 19 15 11 15 9 15 13 15 17 16 243 Victor Rodriguez '19
Eliza Schuett '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 19 17 13 19 15 10 19 20 18 5 14 14 19 7 10 17 5 14 255 Victoria Mcgruer '17 [1-18]
Laura Tschiegg '17 [1-10, 14-18]
Madeleine Whittier '19 [11-13]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 16 14 6 14 3 17 16 9 14 10 16 17 20 20 18 19 20 18 267 Matthew Mcdermaid '17 [1-10]
Paul Hart '19 [11-18]
Karlyn Long '17 [1-6]
Maura Matthews '18 [7-18]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 18 16 11 15 16 20 12 18 16 20 18 16 17 17 19 20 19 13 301 Vincent Storino '18
Danielle Ciufia '17
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 15 10 18 16 19 19 17 14 20 16 19 18 18 19 17 18 18 19 310 Dante Iozzo '16 [1-18]
Megan Eubank '17 [1-10, 14-18]
Sean Hunt '16 [11-13]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 3 3 1 6 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 32 Juan Perdomo '17
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 2 16 1 2 1 1 3 4 2 8 9 6 2 1 4 4 3 71 Greg Martinez '18
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 9 4 5 4 4 5 7 1 2 4 10 4 2 5 2 5 3 2 78 Gary Prieto '18
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 8 5 4 10 5 9 4 5 6 3 4 2 5 4 7 2 5 7 95 Martim Anderson '18
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 8 12 7 9 6 9 7 3 6 2 5 3 3 4 6 7 5 107 Erik Weis '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 6 11 5 13 4 5 11 7 12 5 3 8 6 6 3 2 4 115 James Beatty '17
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 7 1 7 3 20 11 3 6 5 10 3 7 9 10 9 7 6 9 133 Markus Edegran '16
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 10 12 6 9 3 10 6 4 10 7 7 6 4 9 5 12 10 6 136 Keen Butcher '18
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 12 14 9 8 6 8 8 8 14 8 6 12 7 7 8 10 9 10 164 Ethan Lounsbury '17
BUSA BUSA Limey 1 7 13 2 8 3 15 13 13 9 16 11 13 8 10 8 11 12 173 Tim Gratton '17
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 11 9 2 11 17 13 10 14 9 5 9 8 10 12 11 9 8 11 179 Connor Swikart '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies BKD 18 10 13 12 20 11 9 8 18 12 10 11 11 15 20 12 8 231 Robert Rose '20 [1-2, 7-8, 11-14, 17-18]
Donal Ryan '19 [3-6, 9-10, 15-16]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 6 15 3 18 15 7 20 16 18 15 13 18 16 16 19 11 14 15 255 Devin Keister '18
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 19 16 14 17 14 14 14 19 16 17 11 13 12 13 12 14 15 14 264 Thomas Cooper '19
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 16 10 8 15 11 12 19 15 17 16 17 20 20 18 13 13 20 16 276 Cameron Smith '19
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 18 19 17 14 10 17 13 10 15 11 19 16 17 15 14 19 16 20 280 Alexander Smith '17
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 13 17 18 20 19 15 12 12 11 14 14 19 14 17 20 18 17 19 289 Christopher Champa '18
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 14 13 15 12 16 18 18 17 12 19 15 15 19 20 16 16 18 18 291 Thomas Etheridge '16
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 15 11 19 16 18 16 16 18 19 20 18 17 18 14 17 15 13 17 297 Luke Miller '15
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 17 20 20 19 7 19 17 20 20 13 20 14 15 19 18 17 19 13 307 Ian Palmer '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A
BUSABUSA Limey1313141415151616171718181919202011
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls151516161717181819192020112233
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green112233445566778899
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams22112020191918181717161615151414
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas3344556677889910101111
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson4433221120201919181817171616
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen55667788991010111112121313
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins665544332211202019191818
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners121211111010998877665544
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines16161515141413131212111110109988
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1414131312121111101099887766
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies778899101011111212131314141515
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs88776655443322112020
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers17171818191920201122334455
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks9910101111121213131414151516161717
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks10109988776655443322
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos111112121313141415151616171718181919
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos181817171616151514141313121211111010
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1919202011223344556677
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs202019191818171716161515141413131212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B
BUSABUSA Limey1313141415151616171718181919202011
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls151516161717181819192020112233
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green112233445566778899
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams22112020191918181717161615151414
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas3344556677889910101111
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson4433221120201919181817171616
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen55667788991010111112121313
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins665544332211202019191818
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners121211111010998877665544
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines16161515141413131212111110109988
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1414131312121111101099887766
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies778899101011111212131314141515
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs88776655443322112020
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers17171818191920201122334455
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks9910101111121213131414151516161717
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks10109988776655443322
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos111112121313141415151616171718181919
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos181817171616151514141313121211111010
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1919202011223344556677
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs202019191818171716161515141413131212

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C10C11C12C13C14C15C16C17C18C
BUSABUSA Limey1313141415151616171718181919202011
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls151516161717181819192020112233
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green112233445566778899
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams22112020191918181717161615151414
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas3344556677889910101111
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson4433221120201919181817171616
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen55667788991010111112121313
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins665544332211202019191818
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners121211111010998877665544
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines16161515141413131212111110109988
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1414131312121111101099887766
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies778899101011111212131314141515
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs88776655443322112020
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers17171818191920201122334455
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks9910101111121213131414151516161717
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks10109988776655443322
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos111112121313141415151616171718181919
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos181817171616151514141313121211111010
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1919202011223344556677
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs202019191818171716161515141413131212
School / Team SkipperCrew
BUSA BUSA Arthur Henderson '19 No Show
Limey No Show No Show
Tim Gratton '17
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Charles Lalumiere '17 Abigail Rohman '16
Big Green Robert Floyd '17 Madeleine Cooney '17
Erik Weis '18
Fordham University Fordham University Alecsander Tayler '17 Madeleine Sims '16
Rams Connor Godfrey '16 [1-18] Johanna Monro '16 [1-2]
Connor Murphy '16 [3-18]
Thomas Cooper '19
Georgetown University Georgetown University Sean Golden '16 [1-18] Isabelle Ruiz De Luzuriaga '16 [1-10, 13-14, 16-18]
Albert Kraus '17 [11-12, 15]
Hoyas Aj Reiter '17 [1-18] Elizabeth Mullarney '16 [1-10, 13-14, 16-18]
Jack Welty '16 [11-12, 15]
Greg Martinez '18
Harvard University Harvard University Marek Zaleski '16 [1-18] Julia Lord '17 [1-10]
Olivia Kjorlien '17 [11-18]
Crimson Kevin Coakley '18 [1]
Jackson Wagner '19 [2-18]		 Olivia Kjorlien '17 [1-10]
Kevin Coakley '18 [11-13, 16-17]
Julia Lord '17 [14-15, 18]
Juan Perdomo '17
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Greiner Hobbs '18 [1-18] Sarah Warren '18 [1-10]
Adam Schaefer '17 [11-18]
Statesmen Eddie Cox '16 [1-18] Haley Okun '18 [1-10]
Sarah Warren '18 [11-18]
Connor Swikart '18
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Daniel Lawless '17 Hannah Knighton '17
Fins Stephan Verhulst '19 [1-4, 11-14]
Peter Steo '19 [5-10, 15-18]		 Anna Palmer '17 [1-4, 11-14]
Cameron Smith '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Sarah De Silva '19 [1-18] Nathalie Garcia '19 [1-7]
James Maguire '20 [8-18]
Huskies Victoria Mcgruer '17 [1-18] Laura Tschiegg '17 [1-10, 14-18]
Madeleine Whittier '19 [11-13]
Robert Rose '20 [1-2, 7-8, 11-14, 17-18]
Donal Ryan '19 [3-6, 9-10, 15-16]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Esteban Forrer '16 Gabriel Smith '17
Monarchs Augie Dale '18 [1-18] Kaylie Gallagher '16 [1-10, 14]
Dane Pedersen '19 [11-13, 15-18]
Ethan Lounsbury '17
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Dirk Johnson '18 [1-18] Rebecca Anderson '18 [1-10]
Daniel Petrovic '19 [11-18]
Hawks Michael Gemperline '17 Michael Mcbrien '18
Martim Anderson '18
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Alexander Curtiss '16 [1-18] Mariah Leffingwell '16 [1-15, 17-18]
Natasha Skaalrud '16 [16]
Seahawks Edmund Cooper '17 [1-18] Kaitlyn Noreen '16 [1-10, 14]
Bradley Adam '17 [11-13, 15-18]
Markus Edegran '16
Tufts University Tufts University Scott Barbano '17 [1-18] Caroline Atwood '16 [1-10]
Steven Honig '19 [11-18]
Jumbos James Moody '16 [1-18] Caroline Ambros '17 [1-10]
Caroline Atwood '16 [11-18]
James Beatty '17
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Austin Neuman '16 Cara Halm '16
Mariners Vincent Storino '18 Danielle Ciufia '17
Devin Keister '18
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Michael Popp '16 Brittany Webb-Martin '18
Midshipmen Patrick Snow '17 Aaron Hull '16
Gary Prieto '18
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Rory Mess '16 [1-18] Emily Hann '17 [1-10, 14-18]
Patrick Lageraaen '19 [11-13]
Bulls Dante Iozzo '16 [1-18] Megan Eubank '17 [1-10, 14-18]
Sean Hunt '16 [11-13]
Luke Miller '15
University of Michigan University of Michigan Christopher Cyr '16 Lane Tobin '18
Wolverines Mason Wolters '18 Michael Gapuz '18
Thomas Etheridge '16
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Maximiliano Agnese '16 [1-18] Catie Hopkins '17 [1-10, 14-18]
Nina Kaledin '16 [11-13]
Quakers Drew Gallagher '18 [1-18] Lucy Sergeant '18 [1-8, 13-18]
Joseph Egan '18 [9-12]
Keen Butcher '18
University of Virginia University of Virginia Christopher Craven '16 [1-18] Colleen Roney '18 [1-10, 14, 18]
Julia Gowell '18 [11-13, 15-17]
Wahoos Victor Rodriguez '19 Eliza Schuett '17
Ian Palmer '19
Washington College Washington College Eric Siegel '16 [1-18] Lindsey Arnstein '18 [1-10]
Griffin Rodrigue '18 [11-18]
Shoremen Matthew Mcdermaid '17 [1-10]
Paul Hart '19 [11-18]		 Karlyn Long '17 [1-6]
Maura Matthews '18 [7-18]
Alexander Smith '17
Yale University Yale University Nicholas Baird '19 [1-18] Amelia Dobronyi '17 [1-10, 14, 18]
Claire Huebner '18 [11-13, 15-17]
Bulldogs Nicolas Hernandez '19 Emily Johnson '16
Christopher Champa '18

Conditions — 09/19/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1014.0 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 77°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 8.3 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From S (184°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover42% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1014.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 3 kn · NE 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Kings Point: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.13 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.05)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kings Point by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (80 labelled days at Kings Point).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →