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Nickerson Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 29 26 55
2 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 25 36 61
3 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 50 27 77
4 Boston College Boston College Eagles 54 24 78
5 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 59 32 91
6 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 48 47 95
7 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 31 72 103
8 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 46 68 114
9 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 59 76 135
10 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 79 58 137
11 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 79 87 166
12 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 75 91 166
13 Boston University Boston University Terriers 97 85 182
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 4 2 2 1 2 4 5 5 25 Charles Lalumiere '17
Mia Steck '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 5 7 2 4 7 2 1 29 John Rolander '17
Natalie Danziger '17
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 1 5 11 1 3 4 3 31 Jonathan Pope '17
Tatiana Chiu '17
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 8 3 6 5 7 5 8 4 46 Matthew Lyons '17
Dana Bloch '17
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 5 8 4 4 10 1 7 9 48 William Crary '17
Madeleine Parker '17
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 10 6 1 RAF 3 8 6 2 50 Juan Perdomo '17
Julia Lord '17
Boston College Boston College Eagles 9 4 3 RAF 9 6 1 8 54 Harry Koeppel '17
Alex Palfrey '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 11 9 7 11 9 3 7 59 Alison Knoles '17
Kayla Burrows '17
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 6 10 11 8 6 2 10 6 59 Cooper Nefsky '17 [1-8]
Serena Cipullo '17 [1-2]
Isabelle Sennett (Tufts) '17 [3-8]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 11 12 8 3 5 13 13 10 75 Luis Marban '17
Morgan Rhodes '17
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 7 9 10 9 13 10 9 12 79 Camden Tougas '17
Marisa Decollibus '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 13 7 12 6 8 11 11 11 79 Peter Christensen '18
Lindsay Martinez '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers 12 13 13 10 12 12 12 13 97 Samuel Campbell '17
Madison Sparber '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 1 1 8 5 3 1 4 24 Maxwell Simmons '17
Allison Ferraris '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 5 4 1 4 4 3 3 26 Sam Gates '17
Alexander Tong '17
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 3 3 5 5 2 2 6 1 27 Matthew Mollerus '17
Olivia Kjorlien '17
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 4 2 8 2 1 5 5 5 32 Scott Barbano (Tufts) '17 [1-2]
Sandy Beatty (Tufts) '17 [3-8]
Caroline Ambros (Tufts) '17 [1-2]
Leah Fletcher (Tufts) '17 [3-8]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 7 4 3 3 8 1 4 6 36 Robert Floyd '17
Sophie Kerr '17
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 8 6 7 6 3 6 2 9 47 Forrest Short '17
Travis Bobley '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 9 12 7 7 7 9 2 58 Camille Matile '17
Claire Lockard '18
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 6 7 6 13 12 9 8 7 68 Chester Jacobs '17
Hunter Moeller '17
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 9 DSQ 9 4 6 12 7 11 72 Kendal Richardson '17
Beatrice Bellacosa '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 11 8 2 11 13 8 11 12 76 Charlie Bess '17
Kristen Walker '17
Boston University Boston University Terriers 10 10 13 10 9 10 13 10 85 Solomon Tarlin '17
Israel Alarcon '17
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 12 11 11 9 11 13 12 8 87 Patrick Isherwood '17 [1-8]
Sarah Leonard '17 [1-2]
Richard Wilkinson '17 [3-8]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 13 12 10 12 10 11 10 13 91 Joshua Morrison '17
Sulli Edwards '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11446699
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers4466991111
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears3355771010
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears669911111313
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels557710101212
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green77101012121414
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson99111113131515
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies10101212141411
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams131315153355
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks11111313151533
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1414114466
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos121214141144
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1515335577

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles3355771010
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers557710101212
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears4466991111
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears77101012121414
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels669911111313
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green99111113131515
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson10101212141411
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies11111313151533
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1414114466
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks121214141144
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1515335577
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131315153355
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts11446699
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Harry Koeppel '17 Alex Palfrey '17
Eagles Maxwell Simmons '17 Allison Ferraris '17
Boston University Boston University Samuel Campbell '17 Madison Sparber '17
Terriers Solomon Tarlin '17 Israel Alarcon '17
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Matthew Lyons '17 Dana Bloch '17
Polar Bears Chester Jacobs '17 Hunter Moeller '17
Connecticut College Connecticut College Cooper Nefsky '17 [1-8] Serena Cipullo '17 [1-2]
Isabelle Sennett (Tufts) '17 [3-8]
Camels Scott Barbano (Tufts) '17 [1-2]
Sandy Beatty (Tufts) '17 [3-8]		 Caroline Ambros (Tufts) '17 [1-2]
Leah Fletcher (Tufts) '17 [3-8]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Charles Lalumiere '17 Mia Steck '17
Big Green Robert Floyd '17 Sophie Kerr '17
Harvard University Harvard University Juan Perdomo '17 Julia Lord '17
Crimson Matthew Mollerus '17 Olivia Kjorlien '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Peter Christensen '18 Lindsay Martinez '18
Huskies Camille Matile '17 Claire Lockard '18
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Jonathan Pope '17 Tatiana Chiu '17
Hawks Kendal Richardson '17 Beatrice Bellacosa '17
Tufts University Tufts University John Rolander '17 Natalie Danziger '17
Jumbos Sam Gates '17 Alexander Tong '17
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Luis Marban '17 Morgan Rhodes '17
Bears Joshua Morrison '17 Sulli Edwards '17
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Camden Tougas '17 Marisa Decollibus '17
Rams Patrick Isherwood '17 [1-8] Sarah Leonard '17 [1-2]
Richard Wilkinson '17 [3-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Alison Knoles '17 Kayla Burrows '17
Bulls Charlie Bess '17 Kristen Walker '17
University of Vermont University of Vermont William Crary '17 Madeleine Parker '17
Catamounts Forrest Short '17 Travis Bobley '17

Conditions — 11/02/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1003.6 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.3 kn
avg  ·  max 3.6 kn
Gusts to 6.6 kn
From SW (220°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover43% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1003.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 5 kn* · N 11 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tufts: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.26 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tufts by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (60 labelled days at Tufts).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →