Charleston Womens

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 138
2 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 186
3 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 213
4 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 223
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 230
6 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 230
7 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 243
8 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 264
9 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 326
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 A 2 2 2 2 3 9 8 4 4 8 4 11 59 Corey Hall '12 [1-12]
Sarah Scudder '13 [1-2, 11-12]
Carly Shevitz '14 [3-10]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 B 4 13 12 6 6 4 11 9 2 1 2 9 79 Grace Lucas '14
Sarah Somes '13
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 8 9 7 7 4 8 2 7 5 12 7 10 86 Rachael Silverstein '11
Stephanie Reynolds '12
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs A 3 4 6 10 8 14 3 8 16 7 8 6 93 Marlena Fauer '14
Eugenia Custo Greig '14
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs B 5 17 5 1 1 2 13 18 13 10 6 2 93 Emily Billing '13
Anna Han '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas A 12 6 1 12 9 16 1 1 7 9 1 DNS 94 Nancy Hagood '14 [1-12]
Victoria Lynch '13 [1-2, 5-12]
Margaret Totaro '13 [3-4]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 1 7 10 3 5 18 16 2 14 3 11 5 95 Andrea Luna '15
Arianna Baker '12
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 B 9 5 3 9 2 11 4 10 9 13 14 7 96 Melany Johnson '15 [1-12]
Morgan Buckley '15 [1-2, 6-8]
Molly O'Neil '12 [3-5, 9-12]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen B 6 3 11 16 16 3 15 5 3 17 3 13 111 Marissa Lihan '14
Emma Ferris '15
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen A 10 10 14 4 13 7 17 16 6 5 10 4 116 Arielle Delisser '14
Jane Rew '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas B 17 1 4 8 11 15 7 6 12 4 17 17 119 Amanda Taselaar '14 [1-12]
Annalee Leggett '13 [1-8, 11-12]
Margaret Totaro '13 [9-10]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 A 16 11 15 17 12 13 6 3 8 11 12 3 127 Clerc Cooper '15
Elizabeth Chambers '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen A 13 14 9 18 7 17 10 15 10 2 9 8 132 Mary Hall '15 [1-12]
Elizabeth Morrison '14 [1-2, 6-8]
Killian Corbishley '14 [3-5]
Erica Leinmiller '13 [9-12]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 11 15 18 5 15 1 14 13 11 18 13 1 135 Corina Radtke '14 [1-12]
Shannon Wilkins '13 [1-2, 6-8]
Jordan Stock '12 [3-5, 9-12]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 7 12 17 11 10 5 12 17 18 6 15 14 144 Abby Featherstone '13
Hillary Noble '12
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen B 18 16 8 13 14 12 9 12 1 15 18 12 148 Liana Folger '15 [1-12]
Morgan Gould '14 [1-2, 6-8]
Adele Huffine '14 [3-5, 9-12]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears A 14 8 13 14 17 6 5 14 15 16 16 16 154 Lauren Cefali '15
Jennifer Lane '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears B 15 18 16 15 18 10 18 11 17 14 5 15 172 Devon Rohde '15
Justine Morrison '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 122111818171716161515
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 2334455667788
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears112233445566
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas4433221118181717
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen55667788991010
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen665544332211
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs778899101011111212
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls887766554433
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs9910101111121213131414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 1111112121313141415151616
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 2121211111010998877
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears10109988776655
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas131314141515161617171818
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen1414131312121111101099
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen15151616171718181122
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs161615151414131312121111
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1717181811223344
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514141313

Conditions — 03/03/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 83%  ·  Pressure 1008.5 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.3 kn
avg  ·  max 13.4 kn
Gusts to 29.0 kn
From SW (232°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover83% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity83% Pressure1008.5 hPa Rain0.87 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn · W 20 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Charleston: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.10 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.20 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →