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South #1 Dinghy Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 34 34 68
2 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 39 41 80
3 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 43 43 86
4 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 69 61 130
5 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 63 70 133
6 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 81 57 138
7 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 72 70 142
8 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 67 76 143
9 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 65 78 143
10 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 79 80 159
11 St. John's College St. John's College Johnnies 124 116 240
12 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 124 132 256
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 1 3 5 1 7 2 3 2 3 4 34 Sean Golden '16 [1-11]
Bettina Redway '16 [1-3]
Eliana Michaels '14 [4-11]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 8 5 3 5 3 5 1 1 1 5 39 Thomas Galster '15 [1-7, 11]
Fletcher Sims '14 [8-10]
Kelley Merryman '14 [1-7, 11]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 8 4 9 2 2 1 1 9 4 2 1 43 Brendan Shanahan '17 [1-11]
Jennifer Wilson '15 [1-6]
Matthew Ricci '15 [7-11]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 6 3 2 9 8 8 3 6 5 6 7 63 Veronica Maccari '17
Joshua Gopeesingh '14
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 10 6 1 4 4 5 7 7 6 7 8 65 Joshua Prucnal '16
Rachel Childress '14
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 4 2 4 10 9 2 8 2 8 8 10 67 Adam Siegel '15
Diana Kong-Wasielewski '14
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 7 7 8 6 3 6 DSQ 8 3 5 3 69 Christopher Stessing '14
Olivia Bicks '17
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 5 5 6 1 7 4 6 10 9 10 9 72 Daniel Lochner '15
Colin Voigt '15
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 DSQ 10 8 6 9 10 5 7 4 6 79 Austin Powers '17
Lauren Crowder '17
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 9 9 7 7 10 10 4 4 10 9 2 81 Philip Youngberg '15
Julia Mckenna '16
St. John's College St. John's College Johnnies 11 10 11 11 12 11 11 12 11 12 12 124 Branham Talton '15 [1-11]
Alexandria Plunkett '14 [1-3]
Nicole Pease '15 [4-11]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 12 11 12 12 11 12 9 11 12 11 11 124 George Uehling '15
Erin Maines '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 11 7 7 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 34 John Andril '15 [1-3]
Nevin Snow '16 [4-11]
Eliana Michaels '14 [1-3]
Bettina Redway '16 [4-11]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 1 5 2 3 8 3 4 4 3 5 41 Chase Quinn '17 [1-3, 7-11]
Bradley Adam '17 [4-6]
Greer Wattson '17 [1-3, 7-11]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 4 2 10 4 4 3 2 5 3 2 4 43 Daniel Delbello '17
Gabriella Malek '17
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 6 3 3 5 10 4 3 6 8 7 57 Emma Ferris '15
Molly Hanson '17
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 9 8 1 7 6 7 7 2 8 4 2 61 Christopher Craven '16
Alexandra Brenin '15
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 10 4 9 8 9 8 8 5 5 3 70 Joseph David '16 [1-6, 9-11]
Lee Dumaliang '17 [7-8]
Kaylie Gallagher '16 [1-6, 9-11]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 7 9 2 10 9 5 6 7 1 6 8 70 Giuditta Di Laghi '16
Ramatoulie Sallah-Mohammed '15
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 8 5 6 5 2 2 9 10 10 10 9 76 Scott Guinn '15
Kaitlynn Menoche '15
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 5 4 9 6 10 4 5 9 9 7 10 78 Matt Greenfield '17 [1-11]
Abigail Lundahl '15 [1-6]
David Bigelow '15 [7-11]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 6 3 8 8 11 6 10 6 7 9 6 80 Amanda Attardi '17 [1-8]
Annie Eckmann '14 [9-11]
Annie Eckmann '14 [1-8]
Julia Davis '16 [9-11]
St. John's College St. John's College Johnnies 10 11 11 11 7 11 11 11 11 11 11 116 Maryellen Markuske '15
Sean Sabella '14
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 132 Benjamin Hayes '16
Erin Maines '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains11223344556
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials33445566778
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas22111212111110109
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates44332211121211
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps556677889910
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen66554433221
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs7788991010111112
St. John's CollegeSt. John's College Johnnies88776655443
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks99101011111212112
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos1010998877665
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies111112121122334
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe12121111101099887

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains11223344556
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials33445566778
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas22111212111110109
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates44332211121211
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps556677889910
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen66554433221
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs7788991010111112
St. John's CollegeSt. John's College Johnnies88776655443
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks99101011111212112
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos1010998877665
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies111112121122334
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe12121111101099887
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Austin Powers '17 Lauren Crowder '17
Captains Amanda Attardi '17 [1-8]
Annie Eckmann '14 [9-11]		 Annie Eckmann '14 [1-8]
Julia Davis '16 [9-11]
George Washington University George Washington University Brendan Shanahan '17 [1-11] Jennifer Wilson '15 [1-6]
Matthew Ricci '15 [7-11]
Colonials Daniel Delbello '17 Gabriella Malek '17
Georgetown University Georgetown University Sean Golden '16 [1-11] Bettina Redway '16 [1-3]
Eliana Michaels '14 [4-11]
Hoyas John Andril '15 [1-3]
Nevin Snow '16 [4-11]		 Eliana Michaels '14 [1-3]
Bettina Redway '16 [4-11]
Hampton University Hampton University Veronica Maccari '17 Joshua Gopeesingh '14
Pirates Giuditta Di Laghi '16 Ramatoulie Sallah-Mohammed '15
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Daniel Lochner '15 Colin Voigt '15
Monarchs Joseph David '16 [1-6, 9-11]
Lee Dumaliang '17 [7-8]		 Kaylie Gallagher '16 [1-6, 9-11]
St. John's College St. John's College Branham Talton '15 [1-11] Alexandria Plunkett '14 [1-3]
Nicole Pease '15 [4-11]
Johnnies Maryellen Markuske '15 Sean Sabella '14
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Thomas Galster '15 [1-7, 11]
Fletcher Sims '14 [8-10]		 Kelley Merryman '14 [1-7, 11]
Seahawks Chase Quinn '17 [1-3, 7-11]
Bradley Adam '17 [4-6]		 Greer Wattson '17 [1-3, 7-11]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Philip Youngberg '15 Julia Mckenna '16
Midshipmen Emma Ferris '15 Molly Hanson '17
University of Maryland University of Maryland Joshua Prucnal '16 Rachel Childress '14
Terps Matt Greenfield '17 [1-11] Abigail Lundahl '15 [1-6]
David Bigelow '15 [7-11]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Christopher Stessing '14 Olivia Bicks '17
Wahoos Christopher Craven '16 Alexandra Brenin '15
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech George Uehling '15 Erin Maines '17
Hokies Benjamin Hayes '16 Erin Maines '17
William and Mary William and Mary Adam Siegel '15 Diana Kong-Wasielewski '14
Tribe Scott Guinn '15 Kaitlynn Menoche '15

Conditions — 10/05/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1017.9 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 83°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.5 kn
avg  ·  max 4.9 kn
Gusts to 7.6 kn
From ENE (67°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover27% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1017.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 5 kn · S 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Mary's: a favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.15 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Mary's by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at St. Mary's).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →