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Lake Champlain Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 26 30 56
2 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 47 23 70
3 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 40 32 72
4 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 51 35 86
5 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 52 66 118
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 64 55 119
7 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 44 90 134
8 Boston University Boston University Terriers 69 69 138
9 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 80 81 161
10 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 91 73 164
11 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 80 91 171
12 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 95 100 195
13 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 106 119 225
14 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 105 132 237
15 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 128 121 249
16 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 141 114 255
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 9 1 26 Richard Jones '18
Lily Mcgrath '18
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 3 5 6 5 3 2 7 2 7 40 Hunter Johnstone '16
Rebecca Mcelvain '19
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 8 9 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 44 Connor Kelter '18
Claire Riedman '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 3 2 6 7 6 9 3 9 47 Matthew Lyons '17
Nora Cullen '18
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 7 2 5 3 8 5 5 12 4 51 Kendal Richardson '17
Tyler Killion '18
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 10 6 14 2 5 7 1 5 2 52 Adam Ceely '15 [1-9]
Alan Mckinnon Iii '18 [1-6]
Victoria Pyne Mercier '19 [7-9]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 4 9 11 12 14 3 1 5 64 Cameron Holley '19
Ian Morgan '19
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 8 3 14 9 13 2 8 BKD 69 Charles Welsh '18
Lily Lichtenstein '18
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 6 7 16 13 2 3 15 6 12 80 August Sturm '19 [1-9]
Erin Morgan '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Anna Maria Vaccaro '19 [3-4, 7-9]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 9 13 7 7 10 8 11 7 8 80 Frank Reeg '19
Evan Sampou '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 11 10 8 10 11 9 13 13 6 91 Kurran Singh '19
John Hughes '18
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 13 14 11 8 6 10 8 14 11 95 Sam Shannon '19
Jennifer Killian '19
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 12 12 12 12 14 11 12 10 10 105 Ben Brown '18 [1-9]
Alden Cowap '17 [1-2, 9]
Alexander Baskin '19 [3-8]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 14 11 10 9 16 15 6 11 14 106 John Cappetta '16
Matthew Moss-Hawkins '17
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 15 15 13 15 13 12 14 15 16 128 Alexandre Pagã© '16
Adrian Singer '19
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 16 16 15 16 15 16 16 16 15 141 Emmet Todd '17
Kendall Young '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 1 2 1 2 3 3 2 7 23 Matthew Kaplan '19 [1-9]
Julia Rew '16 [1-8]
Emily Kushner Salitan '16 [9]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 2 1 2 3 6 6 7 2 30 Wade Waddell '19
Tara Ferraris '19
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 3 3 3 6 1 2 5 1 8 32 Nathaniel Johansson '18
Madeleine Walker '18
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 4 4 3 5 4 1 3 6 35 A. Tucker Atterbury '16
Henry Stames '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 5 8 7 4 8 4 12 3 55 Maryclaire Kiernan '17
Amanda Sommi '16
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts DNF 7 6 12 7 1 2 13 1 66 Jan Kite-Powell '19 [1-9]
Emma Janson '19 [1-2, 5-9]
Tijani Marou '18 [3-4]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 7 11 13 4 10 5 11 4 4 69 Solomon Tarlin '17
Andrew Reed '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 8 6 5 11 9 10 9 10 5 73 Peter Christensen '18
Lindsay Martinez '18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 6 8 7 8 11 13 8 9 11 81 Jeffrey Adam '18
Sergio Gratta '18
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 13 14 9 5 8 11 12 8 10 90 Daniel Birmingham '17
Kimberly Wong '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 11 9 OCS 9 6 12 7 11 9 91 Liam Ballantyne '19 [1-9]
Daniel Winter '16 [1-4]
Erin Morgan '18 [5-9]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 9 15 14 14 13 7 10 6 12 100 Bayard Lalor '19
Emily Conaton '19
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 14 12 11 DNF 12 14 16 5 13 114 Ryan Gershuny '18
David Mazotas '16
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 10 10 10 DNF 16 15 13 14 14 119 Amy Macdonald '18
Madeline Bruno '17
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 12 13 OCS 10 15 9 14 15 16 121 Hannah Ker '18
Ryan Knight '16
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 15 16 12 13 14 16 15 16 15 132 Zachary Berzolla '18 [1-9]
Nathaniel Wiener '18 [1-6]
Dylan Quenneville '18 [7-9]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats113355779
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles2244668810
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers3355779911
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears446688101012
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1414161622446
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red557799111113
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green66881010121214
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers77991111131315
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds8810101212141416
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers991111131315151
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats15151133557
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies10101212141416162
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks111113131515113
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks121214141616224
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1313151511335
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts16162244668

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats2244668810
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles3355779911
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers446688101012
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears557799111113
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears15151133557
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red66881010121214
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green77991111131315
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers8810101212141416
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds991111131315151
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers10101212141416162
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats16162244668
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies111113131515113
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks121214141616224
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1313151511335
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1414161622446
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts113355779
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College John Cappetta '16 Matthew Moss-Hawkins '17
Bobcats Amy Macdonald '18 Madeline Bruno '17
Boston College Boston College Richard Jones '18 Lily Mcgrath '18
Eagles Wade Waddell '19 Tara Ferraris '19
Boston University Boston University Charles Welsh '18 Lily Lichtenstein '18
Terriers Solomon Tarlin '17 Andrew Reed '18
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Matthew Lyons '17 Nora Cullen '18
Polar Bears Matthew Kaplan '19 [1-9] Julia Rew '16 [1-8]
Emily Kushner Salitan '16 [9]
Cornell University Cornell University Connor Kelter '18 Claire Riedman '16
Big Red Daniel Birmingham '17 Kimberly Wong '19
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Hunter Johnstone '16 Rebecca Mcelvain '19
Big Green Nathaniel Johansson '18 Madeleine Walker '18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Frank Reeg '19 Evan Sampou '17
Buccaneers Jeffrey Adam '18 Sergio Gratta '18
McGill University McGill University Alexandre Pagã© '16 Adrian Singer '19
Redbirds Hannah Ker '18 Ryan Knight '16
Middlebury College Middlebury College Ben Brown '18 [1-9] Alden Cowap '17 [1-2, 9]
Alexander Baskin '19 [3-8]
Panthers Zachary Berzolla '18 [1-9] Nathaniel Wiener '18 [1-6]
Dylan Quenneville '18 [7-9]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Kurran Singh '19 John Hughes '18
Huskies Peter Christensen '18 Lindsay Martinez '18
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Kendal Richardson '17 Tyler Killion '18
Hawks A. Tucker Atterbury '16 Henry Stames '18
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Sam Shannon '19 Jennifer Killian '19
Seahawks Bayard Lalor '19 Emily Conaton '19
Tufts University Tufts University Cameron Holley '19 Ian Morgan '19
Jumbos Maryclaire Kiernan '17 Amanda Sommi '16
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy August Sturm '19 [1-9] Erin Morgan '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Anna Maria Vaccaro '19 [3-4, 7-9]
Bears Liam Ballantyne '19 [1-9] Daniel Winter '16 [1-4]
Erin Morgan '18 [5-9]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Emmet Todd '17 Kendall Young '17
Wildcats Ryan Gershuny '18 David Mazotas '16
University of Vermont University of Vermont Adam Ceely '15 [1-9] Alan Mckinnon Iii '18 [1-6]
Victoria Pyne Mercier '19 [7-9]
Catamounts Jan Kite-Powell '19 [1-9] Emma Janson '19 [1-2, 5-9]
Tijani Marou '18 [3-4]

Conditions — 09/19/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1009.7 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.4 kn
avg  ·  max 11.3 kn
Gusts to 26.6 kn
From S (172°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover63% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1009.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 24 kn · NE 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Vermont: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.13)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.07 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Vermont by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Vermont).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →