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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University 'Bos 15 32 47
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 2 24 23 47
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 1 21 37 58
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbo Ladies 41 24 65
5 Boston University Boston University Terriers 56 11 67
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbros 29 39 68
7 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbabes 55 16 71
8 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 35 40 75
9 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 2 30 50 80
10 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 45 59 104
11 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 62 66 128
12 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst 63 79 142
13 Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 81 78 159
14 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 1 80 80 160
15 Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 95 89 184
16 University of New England University of New England Nor'Easters 87 99 186
17 Judges Judges Judges 114 114 228
18 Mariners Mariners Mariners 114 114 228
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University 'Bos 1 3 2 3 3 3 15 Florian Eenkema Van Dijk '19
Sarah Bunney '19
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 6 5 1 1 4 4 21 Sam Alexander '18
Nathan Housberg '19
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 3 2 10 2 6 1 24 Gabriel Elstrodt '19
Abigayle Konys '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbros 4 4 5 4 10 2 29 Logan Russell '19
Ashley Smith '19
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 2 2 6 3 5 2 12 30 Ben Brown '18
Casey Astiz '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 1 9 7 8 5 35 Chris Colbeth '20
Caitlin Cloonan '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbo Ladies 10 7 4 6 7 7 41 Molly Pleskus '18
Sabina Van Mell '19
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 11 8 6 10 1 9 45 John Cappetta '16 [1-6]
Connor Cahill '17 [1-2]
Hannah Kiesler '16 [3-6]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbabes 9 9 8 12 9 8 55 John Duncan '19
Alexa Ornstein '19
Boston University Boston University Terriers 8 12 7 11 12 6 56 Zachary Vickerson '16
Danielle Stonely '17
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 14 10 14 9 5 10 62 George Luber '17
Ryan Novak-Smith '17
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst 7 11 15 8 11 11 63 Noah Brayer '18
Jeremy Allen '18
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 1 13 14 12 14 14 13 80 Nathaniel Wiener '18
Emmet Byron '19
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 12 13 11 13 13 DSQ 81
University of New England University of New England Nor'Easters 15 15 13 15 15 14 87 Morgan Lindback '17
Michaela Kenward '19
Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 16 16 16 16 16 15 95 Julia Becker '19 [1-6]
Sofia Drago '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Julia Curiale '19 [3-4]
Judges Judges Judges DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 114
Mariners Mariners Mariners DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 114
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 4 1 1 3 1 11 Reed Lorimer '18
Stefanie Anderson '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbabes 2 1 2 2 6 3 16 Taylor Nathanson '18
Ian Morgan '19
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 6 3 7 4 1 2 23 Franco Bilik '18
James Woodwell '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbo Ladies 4 2 4 5 4 5 24 Amanda Sommi '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Julia Fuller '17 [3-4]
Julia Fuller '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Amanda Sommi '16 [3-4]
Tufts University Tufts University 'Bos 3 6 5 3 9 6 32 Pierre Dupont '16
Margaret Veltri '20
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 5 9 3 6 7 7 37 Quinn Andersen '18
Julia Kim '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbros 10 5 6 9 5 4 39 Bobby Mclaughlin '17
Kahler Newsham '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 8 7 8 7 2 8 40 William Manning '18
Alexandra Nygren '20
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 2 7 8 9 8 8 10 50 Alexander Baskin '19
Erich Wu '19
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 9 10 11 10 10 9 59 Amy Macdonald '18
Mary Ferguson '18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 11 11 10 11 11 12 66 Braden Foster '19 [1-6]
Mckenna Jarvis '19 [1-2]
Jonathan Baker '19 [3-6]
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 13 13 13 16 12 11 78
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst 16 12 12 12 13 14 79 Molly Gallagher '17 [1-6]
Savannah Kangas '19 [1-2]
Jenna Careri '17 [3-6]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 1 12 14 14 13 14 13 80 Vick Xu '19
Sarah Yang '19
Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 14 15 15 15 15 15 89 Marycatherine Dunne '16
Mae Harrington '19
University of New England University of New England Nor'Easters 15 16 16 14 DNS DNS 99 Nick Demonte '18
Madison Ouellette '18
Judges Judges Judges DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 114
Mariners Mariners Mariners DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 114
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats113355
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers224466
JudgesJudges Judges335577
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 1446688
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 2557799
Emmanuel CollegeEmmanuel College Saints66881010
MarinersMariners Mariners77991111
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst1616181822
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers8810101212
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers 19911111313
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers 2101012121414
University of New EnglandUniversity of New England Nor'Easters17171133
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats18182244
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies111113131515
Tufts UniversityTufts University 'Bos121214141616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbabes1515171711
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbo Ladies141416161818
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbros131315151717

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats224466
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers335577
JudgesJudges Judges446688
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 1557799
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 266881010
Emmanuel CollegeEmmanuel College Saints77991111
MarinersMariners Mariners8810101212
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst17171133
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers9911111313
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers 1101012121414
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers 2111113131515
University of New EnglandUniversity of New England Nor'Easters18182244
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats113355
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies121214141616
Tufts UniversityTufts University 'Bos131315151717
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbabes1616181822
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbo Ladies1515171711
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbros141416161818
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College John Cappetta '16 [1-6] Connor Cahill '17 [1-2]
Hannah Kiesler '16 [3-6]
Bobcats Amy Macdonald '18 Mary Ferguson '18
Boston University Boston University Zachary Vickerson '16 Danielle Stonely '17
Terriers Reed Lorimer '18 Stefanie Anderson '18
Brown University Brown University Sam Alexander '18 Nathan Housberg '19
Bears 1 Quinn Andersen '18 Julia Kim '18
Brown University Brown University Gabriel Elstrodt '19 Abigayle Konys '19
Bears 2 Franco Bilik '18 James Woodwell '18
Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Julia Becker '19 [1-6] Sofia Drago '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Julia Curiale '19 [3-4]
Saints Marycatherine Dunne '16 Mae Harrington '19
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy George Luber '17 Ryan Novak-Smith '17
Buccaneers Braden Foster '19 [1-6] Mckenna Jarvis '19 [1-2]
Jonathan Baker '19 [3-6]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Nathaniel Wiener '18 Emmet Byron '19
Panthers 1 Vick Xu '19 Sarah Yang '19
Middlebury College Middlebury College Ben Brown '18 Casey Astiz '19
Panthers 2 Alexander Baskin '19 Erich Wu '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Chris Colbeth '20 Caitlin Cloonan '18
Huskies William Manning '18 Alexandra Nygren '20
Tufts University Tufts University Florian Eenkema Van Dijk '19 Sarah Bunney '19
'Bos Pierre Dupont '16 Margaret Veltri '20
Tufts University Tufts University John Duncan '19 Alexa Ornstein '19
Jumbabes Taylor Nathanson '18 Ian Morgan '19
Tufts University Tufts University Molly Pleskus '18 Sabina Van Mell '19
Jumbo Ladies Amanda Sommi '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Julia Fuller '17 [3-4]		 Julia Fuller '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Amanda Sommi '16 [3-4]
Tufts University Tufts University Logan Russell '19 Ashley Smith '19
Jumbros Bobby Mclaughlin '17 Kahler Newsham '19
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Noah Brayer '18 Jeremy Allen '18
U. Mass Amherst Molly Gallagher '17 [1-6] Savannah Kangas '19 [1-2]
Jenna Careri '17 [3-6]
University of New England University of New England Morgan Lindback '17 Michaela Kenward '19
Nor'Easters Nick Demonte '18 Madison Ouellette '18

Conditions — 04/30/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1022.8 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From SE (140°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover34% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1022.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.11 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →