Massachusetts Maritime Academy '19
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 36.75 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.115 rating points from 14 races with rated skippers. Few races, so the estimate stays near the middle.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keelboat | 0.62 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 16 | Fall 2018 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.08 (fleet 1.50) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 0–32 (0%) as crew 1–9 (10%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 | 1 | 0–20 | — |
| Spring 2017 | 1 | 0–12 | — |
| Spring 2016 | 1 | — | 1–9 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (42 matches) the record is 1–41 against 4.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−3.7). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 3 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 5 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03-24 | Staake Team Race | skipper | 1.25 | -1.75 | 0–20 | 1.2 | ≤−3.00 | 1.6 | >99% |
| 2017-04-02 | Herring Pond Team Race | skipper | 1.09 | -1.91 | 0–12 | 1.6 | ≤−3.00 | 2.7 | >99% |
| 2016-03-12 | Arctic Circle Team Race | crew | 1.08 | 0.20 | 1–9 | 1.9 | −0.87 | 0.5 | 91% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern 7 at URI | Skipper | B | 6 | 16.8 | — |
| Salve Alymers | Skipper | A | 10 | 9.9 | -0.99 |
| Central Series Two | Skipper | A | 4 | 3.2 | 2.65 |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 13 | 12.2 | 1.99 |
| Norman Reid Trophy | Skipper | B | 9 | 10.1 | 1.96 |
| Nicholas Barnett Trophy | Skipper | B | 9 | 11.4 | 1.87 |
| Harman Cup Keelboat | Skipper | A | 8 | 7.2 | -0.93 |
| Great Herring Pond Open | Skipper | A | 8 | 3.8 | 2.16 |
| Chris Loder Trophy | Skipper | A | 6 | 4.7 | 2.16 |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Staake Team Race | Skipper | TR | 20 | 0% | — |
| O'Toole | Skipper | A | 5 | 6.0 | 0.72 |
| Coast Guard J70 Open Keelboat | Crew | A | 16 | 4.5 | — |
| Coast Guard J/70 Open Keelboat | Crew | A | 16 | 3.6 | — |
| Central Series #1 | Skipper | A | 5 | 8.0 | -1.18 |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Phil Harman Cup Keelboat | Skipper | A | 8 | 7.0 | -0.45 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 9 | 13.7 | 0.89 |
| The Chris Loder Trophy | Skipper | A | 2 | 9.5 | 1.65 |
| Callagy Ross Trophy | Skipper | B | 2 | 15.0 | — |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| O'Toole | Skipper | A | 5 | 7.6 | 1.18 |
| Herring Pond Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 0% | — |
| Central Series 2 | Skipper | B | 4 | 11.0 | 0.66 |
| Alymers | Skipper | B | 6 | 3.3 | 2.22 |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Oberg Trophy | Crew | C | 10 | 11.1 | — |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| O'Toole | Skipper | B | 6 | 6.2 | 1.29 |
| Mendums Pond Invite | Skipper | B | 6 | 11.0 | 0.24 |
| Central Series 2 | Crew | B | 6 | 11.3 | — |
| Arctic Circle Team Race | Crew | TR | 16 | 25% | — |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 16.5 | -0.29 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
