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Salve Alymers

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 179
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 194
3 Boston University Boston University Terriers 231
4 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 292
5 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 358
6 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 368
7 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 560
8 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 576
9 Camels Camels Camels 760
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 R19 R20 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 1 5 2 7 2 3 2 2 1 7 2 8 4 8 1 7 5 7 4 7 85 Wells Drayton '21
Marisa Permatteo '19
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 B 4 4 1 1 10 10 4 4 2 8 7 1 1 11 3 1 1 6 7 1 87 Jennifer Killian '19
Zachary Steuer '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 A 3 8 8 13 3 1 3 5 7 5 1 2 3 6 4 3 3 4 5 5 92 Grace Vincens '20
Jennifer Ryan '19
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 2 1 5 5 8 11 10 3 14 4 3 5 2 1 2 2 6 3 8 2 97 Caleb Robinson '22
Trent Chismar '22
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 10 3 6 2 7 4 1 12 12 1 9 4 6 2 6 4 2 2 2 14 109 Ryutaro Sochi '22
Michaela Morris '20
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 12 6 3 4 5 8 5 10 4 12 6 3 7 7 8 5 8 12 6 3 134 Raymond Groble Iv '21 [1-20]
Megan Blagden '20 [1-10]
Maggie Alter '22 [11-20]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 A 5 2 7 10 1 2 12 13 9 2 8 10 5 10 5 11 11 8 1 9 141 Joey Lark '21
Caroline King '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 B 13 13 4 3 4 5 9 9 8 9 12 6 11 15 12 6 4 1 3 4 151 Alex Bowdler '22 [1-13]
Anthony Root '22 [14-20]
Peter Cronin '22 [1-13]
Alex Bowdler '22 [14-20]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams A 6 7 12 6 9 9 11 1 6 15 5 9 10 3 7 10 7 5 10 10 158 Owen Reuther '21
Ally Kramer '21
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 8 9 13 9 14 6 8 6 3 10 11 7 12 5 9 8 9 9 9 6 171 Donal Ryan '19
Jack Denker '22
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 7 10 9 12 15 12 6 14 11 3 4 11 8 4 11 9 12 10 11 8 187 Carter Brock '22
Ellen Reagan '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams B 11 12 10 8 11 7 7 7 5 11 DNS 13 9 9 10 12 10 14 13 12 210 Beth Albone '22 [1-10, 19-20]
Mackenzie Fraser '23 [11-18]
Brianna Croteau '21 [1-10, 19-20]
Ellie Mcclean '20 [11-18]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 A 9 11 11 11 6 14 13 8 10 6 13 14 14 13 13 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 261 Braden Foster '19 [1-10]
Kevin Collins '22 [11-20]
Kaylee Mutch '22 [1-10]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 A 14 14 15 14 12 13 14 11 13 14 10 12 15 12 15 14 13 13 12 11 261 Maeve Glancy '21
Olivia Benoit '22
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 B 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 15 16 16 14 15 16 16 14 13 14 11 14 13 299 Kyle Boucher '21 [1-6, 11-20]
Juan Colon '22 [7-10]
Auguste Pizzano '21 [1-6, 11-20]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 B 15 15 14 15 13 15 15 16 15 13 15 16 13 14 16 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 315 Maya Stephani '20
Kennard Macvaugh '22
Camels Camels Camels A DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 380
Camels Camels Camels B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 380
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A19A20A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11111111111111111111
CamelsCamels Camels22222222222222222222
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 133333333333333333333
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 244444444444444444444
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies55555555555555555555
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams99999999999999999999
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 166666666666666666666
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 277777777777777777777
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos88888888888888888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B19B20B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1010101010101010101010101010101010101010
CamelsCamels Camels1111111111111111111111111111111111111111
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 11212121212121212121212121212121212121212
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 21313131313131313131313131313131313131313
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1414141414141414141414141414141414141414
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1818181818181818181818181818181818181818
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 11515151515151515151515151515151515151515
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 21616161616161616161616161616161616161616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1717171717171717171717171717171717171717

Conditions — 04/06/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1020.4 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.9 kn
Gusts to 20.8 kn
From WNW (283°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover50% Sunshine9.1 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1020.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn · S 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Salve Regina: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.05 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Salve Regina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (43 labelled days at Salve Regina).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →