Alymers

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 29 44 73
2 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 44 36 80
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 61 59 120
4 Brown University Brown University Bears 62 60 122
5 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 74 75 149
6 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 81 74 155
7 Providence College Providence College Friars 99 106 205
8 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 126 122 248
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 4 3 1 1 2 1 1 3 1 2 1 2 1 3 2 1 29 Jackson Hamilton '19
Eleanor Grams '18
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 2 4 4 1 4 2 1 4 1 4 1 2 6 4 3 44 Thomas Harden '20
Sydney Connor '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 1 2 2 6 6 5 6 7 3 2 6 5 2 1 2 61 Alp Rodopman '17 [1-6]
Jack Bitney '19 [7-16]
Kelsey Foster '20 [1-6]
Natalie Danziger '17 [7-16]
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 6 6 3 3 2 3 2 2 5 3 7 7 1 5 4 62 Charlie Blasberg '18 [1-16]
Burke O'Brien '19 [1-10]
Eric Xiao '17 [11-16]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 5 5 6 4 5 4 5 5 4 7 4 3 7 3 5 74 Brian Baker '18
Mary Grace Bean '18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 6 4 3 5 7 3 6 4 3 7 6 3 6 4 8 6 81 Emily Casella '17 [1-16]
Mckenna Jarvis '19 [1-10]
Alexander Bowen '20 [11-16]
Providence College Providence College Friars 7 7 7 7 5 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 4 5 7 7 99 Douglas Cassidy '18 [1-6]
Anna Bloomstine '19 [7-16]
Cicely Dahn '19 [1-6]
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 6 8 126 Shannon Mckeown '18 [1-16]
Melanie Muzyka '19 [1-4, 11-16]
Page Veaze '20 [5-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 1 1 1 2 4 4 1 2 6 1 4 1 2 1 4 36 Vincent Yannelli '19
Beth Carroll '20
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 3 3 2 3 4 2 5 2 3 4 2 2 3 1 3 2 44 Peter Christensen '18
Anne Wieland '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 4 5 5 3 1 3 4 5 1 5 6 2 3 4 3 59 John Duncan '19 [1-6]
Charlotte Lenz '20 [7-16]
Nihal Pai '20 [1-6]
Marisa Permatteo '19 [7-16]
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 2 7 2 1 3 1 6 1 2 6 7 6 7 2 5 60 Gabriel Hannon '20
Sawyer Balint '20
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 7 6 3 7 7 6 2 5 6 5 4 1 5 4 5 1 74 Matthew Schaefer '19 [1-10]
Braden Foster '19 [11-16]
Bogdan Shcherbyna '19 [1-10]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 4 5 4 4 5 5 6 3 4 3 7 3 4 5 6 7 75 Grace Vincens '20
Emma Sexton '20
Providence College Providence College Friars 6 7 6 8 6 7 8 7 7 7 3 5 7 8 8 6 106 Kathryn Shea '19 [1-6]
John Burgess '20 [7-16]
Kevin Lynch '19 [1-6]
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 8 8 8 6 8 8 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 6 7 8 122 Hanna Desilets '17 [1-16]
Kathleen Tansey '20 [1-10, 15-16]
Michaela Carrier '17 [11-14]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears11335577
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers22446688
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies33557711
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars44668822
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks55771133
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos66882244
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs77113355
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts88224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears22446688
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers33557711
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies44668822
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars55771133
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks66882244
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos77113355
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs88224466
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Brown University Brown University Charlie Blasberg '18 [1-16] Burke O'Brien '19 [1-10]
Eric Xiao '17 [11-16]
Bears Gabriel Hannon '20 Sawyer Balint '20
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Emily Casella '17 [1-16] Mckenna Jarvis '19 [1-10]
Alexander Bowen '20 [11-16]
Buccaneers Matthew Schaefer '19 [1-10]
Braden Foster '19 [11-16]
Bogdan Shcherbyna '19 [1-10]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Jackson Hamilton '19 Eleanor Grams '18
Huskies Peter Christensen '18 Anne Wieland '19
Providence College Providence College Douglas Cassidy '18 [1-6]
Anna Bloomstine '19 [7-16]
Cicely Dahn '19 [1-6]
Friars Kathryn Shea '19 [1-6]
John Burgess '20 [7-16]
Kevin Lynch '19 [1-6]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Brian Baker '18 Mary Grace Bean '18
Seahawks Grace Vincens '20 Emma Sexton '20
Tufts University Tufts University Alp Rodopman '17 [1-6]
Jack Bitney '19 [7-16]
Kelsey Foster '20 [1-6]
Natalie Danziger '17 [7-16]
Jumbos John Duncan '19 [1-6]
Charlotte Lenz '20 [7-16]
Nihal Pai '20 [1-6]
Marisa Permatteo '19 [7-16]
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Shannon Mckeown '18 [1-16] Melanie Muzyka '19 [1-4, 11-16]
Page Veaze '20 [5-10]
Corsairs Hanna Desilets '17 [1-16] Kathleen Tansey '20 [1-10, 15-16]
Michaela Carrier '17 [11-14]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Thomas Harden '20 Sydney Connor '18
Catamounts Vincent Yannelli '19 Beth Carroll '20

Conditions — 04/08/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 46%  ·  Pressure 1004.9 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 49°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 35°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.4 kn
avg  ·  max 14.8 kn
Gusts to 29.5 kn
From WNW (292°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover87% Sunshine6.1 hrs Humidity46% Pressure1004.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn · W 9 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.23 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →