Southern 7 at URI

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 86
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 115
3 Boston University Boston University Terriers 124
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 153
5 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 169
6 Brown University Brown University Bears 186
7 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 200
8 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 260
9 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 261
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 1 2 3 7 4 7 2 10 1 37 Samuel Merson '22
Wells Drayton '21
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 2 3 1 5 9 1 5 2 9 37 Kyle Dochoda '21
Maggie Alter '22
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 A 3 4 9 1 1 3 9 7 8 45 Delaney Bamford '20 [1-4]
Michael O'Flaherty '21 [5-9]
Kathryn Nota '19 [1-4]
Edward Gary '22 [5-9]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels A 6 8 8 6 2 2 3 4 7 46 Harris Padegs '23
Charlotte Williams '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 11 1 7 2 8 6 7 1 6 49 Jack Bitney '19
Maria Brush '21
Brown University Brown University Bears A 8 13 6 3 12 9 1 3 3 58 Blaire Mccarthy '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Jack Murphy '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Jack Murphy '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Blaire Mccarthy '23 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 B 5 6 2 11 3 13 4 11 4 59 Christian Moffitt '21 [1-4]
Zachary Champney '22 [5-9]
Alyssa Hall '20 [1-4]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 10 7 4 8 10 8 13 5 2 67 Zachary Bresnick '21
Elizabeth Lonergan '22
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 B 4 10 16 4 11 5 6 9 5 70 Rebecca Read '21 [1-4]
Kyle Nannig '21 [5-9]
Sage Walters '21 [1-4]
Liz Kass '22 [5-9]
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 9 5 11 13 7 14 11 6 11 87 Skye Shepherd '20
Erica Brown '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 7 9 5 12 5 12 15 12 12 89 Allie Deluca '21
Allison Gilson '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 A 17 11 15 9 6 10 8 8 10 94 Garrett Connelly '19 [1-4]
Matthew Schryver '20 [5-9]
Wyle Goddard '21 [1-4]
Samantha Hamilton '19 [5-9]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 13 12 12 10 14 4 10 13 15 103 Kennard Macvaugh '22
Juan Colon '22
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels B 14 15 10 15 16 11 12 16 14 123 William O'Leary '22
Casey Muckell '21
Brown University Brown University Bears B 12 14 13 16 13 15 14 15 16 128 Aidan Biondi '22
Paul Secchia '21
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 15 16 14 14 15 16 16 14 13 133 Rob Brower '23
Jack Denker '22
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 16 17 DNF 17 17 17 17 DNS DNS 158 Braden Foster '19
Kaylee Mutch '22
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B DNF DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 171 Molly Hanrahan '22
Caroline King '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers111111111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears222222222
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels333333333
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers444444444
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies555555555
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 1888888888
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 2999999999
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks666666666
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos777777777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers101010101010101010
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears111111111111111111
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels121212121212121212
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers131313131313131313
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies141414141414141414
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 1171717171717171717
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 2181818181818181818
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks151515151515151515
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos161616161616161616

Conditions — 04/27/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 998.9 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 53°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.2 kn
avg  ·  max 17.5 kn
Gusts to 37.3 kn
From W (261°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover64% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity60% Pressure998.9 hPa Rain0.16 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.07 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.17 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →