Connecticut College '23
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.61 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 26 | Fall 2019 |
| Keelboat | 1.32 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 9 | Fall 2017 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.27 (fleet 3.19) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.05 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 11–27 (29%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 | 2 | 9–13 | — |
| Spring 2022 | 1 | 0–8 | — |
| Fall 2019 | 1 | 2–6 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (38 matches) the record is 11–27 against 16.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−5.5). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 7 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-25 | Team Racing Invite | skipper | 2.46 | 0.92 | 5–12 | 9.8 | −1.54 | 5.0 | >99% |
| 2023-03-05 | Thames River Team Race | skipper | 2.56 | 2.57 | 4–1 | 4.0 | +0.02 | 0.0 | 74% |
| 2022-03-05 | Hap Moore | skipper | 2.04 | -0.96 | 0–8 | 1.2 | ≤−3.00 | 1.9 | >99% |
| 2019-10-26 | Dave Perry Team Race | skipper | 1.90 | 2.23 | 2–6 | 1.6 | +0.33 | 0.1 | 49% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Thames River Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 70% | — |
| Team Racing Invite | Skipper | TR | 17 | 29% | — |
| College Sailing Open Western Semifinal | Skipper | B | 2 | 16.0 | 1.44 |
| Open New England Fleet Race Championship | Skipper | B | 4 | 10.8 | 3.26 |
| Connecticut Valley Dinghy Championship Trophy | Skipper | A | 12 | 7.2 | 2.93 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Z420 Regatta | Skipper | A | 6 | 4.7 | 3.29 |
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Skipper | A | 4 | 11.8 | 3.32 |
| Open Atlantic Coast Tournament | Skipper | B | 14 | 10.7 | 2.83 |
| Open Atlantic Coast Dinghy Championships, Round 1A | Skipper | A | 1 | 15.0 | — |
| Moody Trophy | Skipper | A | 6 | 8.3 | 3.58 |
| Danmark Trophy | Skipper | A | 1 | 8.0 | 3.18 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Thompson Throphy | Skipper | C | 15 | 7.9 | 3.31 |
| Hap Moore | Skipper | TR | 16 | 6% | — |
| Connecticut Valley Dinghy Championship Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 5.1 | 3.96 |
| 84th Boston Dinghy Club Challenge Cup | Skipper | C | 9 | 8.4 | 3.12 |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Invite | Skipper | A | 10 | 9.9 | 2.15 |
| Pen Bay Open | Skipper | B | 10 | 10.8 | 0.44 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 11.1 | 2.37 |
| NEISA Men's Singlehanded Championship Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 13.1 | 2.34 |
| Dave Perry Team Race | Skipper | TR | 8 | 25% | — |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | A | 11 | 7.1 | 2.94 |
| Southern 7 at URI | Skipper | A | 9 | 5.1 | 2.31 |
| Owen, Mosbacher and Knapp Trophies | Skipper | B | 9 | 11.8 | 1.68 |
| Morris Trophy | Skipper | B | 2 | 2.5 | 1.69 |
| Gill College Sailing Coed National Championship | Skipper | B | 2 | 18.0 | — |
| Gill Coed Western Semifinal | Skipper | B | 2 | 3.5 | 5.15 |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Sister Esther Open | Skipper | B | 10 | 9.5 | 2.28 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 13 | 9.7 | 2.77 |
| Nickerson Trophy 2018 | Skipper | B | 9 | 7.2 | 2.49 |
| Hood Trophy | Skipper | A | 3 | 15.7 | 0.26 |
| Harman Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 8 | 5.5 | — |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Harris Padegs |  Nichols School |
'18 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
