Chris Loder Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 21 10 31
2 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 15 18 33
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 15 19 34
4 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 37 24 61
5 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 39 32 71
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 42 30 72
7 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 28 44 72
8 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 35 39 74
9 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 38 57 95
10 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 60 55 115
11 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 78 78 156
12 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 98 MRP 98 MRP 196 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 1 1 2 3 5 3 15 Charlotte Lenz '20
Marley Hillman '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 3 2 3 2 1 4 15 Jennifer Killian '19
Madeline Lark '20
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 7 4 1 1 7 1 21 Peter Schneider '20
Chloe Becker '22
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 8 6 4 5 3 2 28 Braden Foster '19
Sydney Kiedeisch '22
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 9 7 6 6 2 5 35 Nathan Drezner '20
Isaiah Riesman-Tremonte '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 6 5 8 4 6 8 37 William Crane '21
Jack Denker '22
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 4 8 7 8 4 7 38 Brian Hayes '21
Kelsey Black '21
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 2 3 9 7 9 9 39 Peter Galloway '21
Lisa Lefeber '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 5 9 5 9 8 6 42 Lera Anders '22
Kristina Puzak '22
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 10 10 10 10 10 10 60 Nicholas Leshaw '22
Casey Astiz '19
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 78 No Show
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University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 98 MRP No Show
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SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 1 2 4 1 1 10 Thomas Harden '20
Amanda Engeman '20
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 5 2 3 1 2 5 18 Joey Lark '21
Peter Cronin '22
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 4 4 1 2 6 2 19 Elena Gonick '20
Kelsey Foster '20
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 3 3 8 3 4 3 24 Sumner Strumph '22
Alexander Chamberlin '23
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 2 7 4 6 7 4 30 Alexandra Talbot '22
Paige Tyler '22
Bates College Bates College Bobcats RDG 5 5 8 3 6 32 Jack Valentino '22
Sam Gilman '22
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 8 6 7 5 5 8 39 Matthew Behr '22
Madison Martin '19
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 6 8 6 9 8 7 44 Maeve Glancy '21
William Tagliamonte '21
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 10 9 10 7 10 9 55 Arlo Fleischer '22
Grace Hering '22
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 9 10 9 10 9 10 57 Graham Hughes '20
Laura Scheideler '21
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 78 No Show
No Show
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 98 MRP No Show
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Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats113355
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies10108866
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen11111133
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers2212121010
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds335577
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers44221212
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies557799
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers664422
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks77991111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1886644
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 299111111
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1212101088

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats224466
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies997755
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen12122244
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers11111199
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds446688
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers33111111
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies66881010
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers553311
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks8810101212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1775533
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 21010121222
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts11119977

Conditions — 09/29/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1020.1 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 7.5 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From WNW (301°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover30% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1020.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn · W 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →