O'Toole

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 9 8 17
2 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 12 20 32
3 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 18 17 35
4 Brown University Brown University Bears 29 22 51
5 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 26 28 54
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 36 35 71
7 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 38 38 76
8 Worcester Polytech Worcester Polytech Worcester Polytech 43 34 77
9 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 50 48 98
10 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 41 57 98
11 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 42 60 102
12 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 64 49 113
13 Nor'Easters Nor'Easters Nor'Easters 68 47 115
14 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 49 71 120
15 Plymouth State Plymouth State Plymouth State 78 69 147
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 1 1 1 1 5 9 Peter Sterflinger '17 [1-5]
Hans Bengston '20 [1-4]
Elyssa Ternay '17 [5]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 3 3 2 3 1 12 Sam Shannon '19
Stephanie Clancy '17
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 9 2 3 2 2 18 Alexander Bowen '20
Maya Stephani '20
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 4 9 4 4 26 Zachary Bresnick '21
Jon Ewing '21
Brown University Brown University Bears 6 5 4 5 9 29 Charlie Blasberg '18
Burke O'Brien '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 8 6 6 9 7 36 John Duncan '19
Ashley Smith '19
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 2 13 7 8 8 38 Braden Foster '19
Megan Laurie '20
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 12 8 11 7 3 41 Noah Brayer '18
Jeremy Allen '18
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 7 9 8 12 6 42 Sam Scatchard '20
Frances Vandermeer '20
Worcester Polytech Worcester Polytech Worcester Polytech 4 7 12 10 10 43
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 11 11 10 6 11 49 Jenna Hannafin '20
Hannah Townsend '19
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 10 12 5 11 12 50 Martin Hooker '18
Charles Zizza '17
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 13 10 14 13 14 64 Kelsey Delosh '17
Courtney Grippin '17
Nor'Easters Nor'Easters Nor'Easters 14 14 13 14 13 68
Plymouth State Plymouth State Plymouth State DNS 15 15 DNF DNS 78
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 2 2 1 1 2 8 Thomas Pluchino '18
Caoilinn Boyle '20
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 1 4 4 5 3 17 Adam Bilodeau '20
Sergio Gratta '18
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 6 1 6 2 5 20 Brian Baker '18
Mary Grace Bean '18
Brown University Brown University Bears 5 6 3 4 4 22 Macklin Fluehr '17
Sawyer Balint '20
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 3 8 2 7 8 28 Erin Coyne '19
Julianne Mozzer '21
Worcester Polytech Worcester Polytech Worcester Polytech 4 7 8 6 9 34
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos OCS 5 5 3 6 35 Andrew Savage '19
Kahler Newsham '19
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 OCS 3 9 9 1 38 Matthew Schaefer '19 [1-4]
Emily Casella '17 [5]
Bogdan Shcherbyna '19 [1-4]
Nor'Easters Nor'Easters Nor'Easters 7 9 11 8 12 47
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 10 11 7 10 10 48 Enoc Escobar '20
Samuel Gray '20
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 8 10 13 11 7 49 Isabel Rombult '19
Kathleen Tansey '20
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 9 12 10 13 13 57 Christina Chamberlin '20 [1-4]
Chad Klinefelter '18 [5]
Chad Klinefelter '18 [1-4]
Savannah Kangas '19 [5]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 12 13 12 12 11 60 Vick Xu '19
Nick Jaczko '19
Plymouth State Plymouth State Plymouth State 11 15 14 14 15 69
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 13 14 15 15 14 71 Anastasia George '19
Nicole Plona '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears22446
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1111131315
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats33557
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen1212141416
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 144668
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 255779
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers668810
Nor'EastersNor'Easters Nor'Easters141416162
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1515113
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies779911
Plymouth StatePlymouth State Plymouth State88101012
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks99111113
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1010121214
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs131315151
Worcester PolytechWorcester Polytech Worcester Polytech1616224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears33557
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1212141416
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats44668
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen131315151
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 155779
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2668810
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers779911
Nor'EastersNor'Easters Nor'Easters1515113
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1616224
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies88101012
Plymouth StatePlymouth State Plymouth State99111113
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1010121214
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1111131315
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs141416162
Worcester PolytechWorcester Polytech Worcester Polytech11335

Conditions — 04/23/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1018.6 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.6 kn
avg  ·  max 9.2 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From ENE (73°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover3% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1018.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →