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Central Series 2

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 129
2 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 135
3 Boston University Boston University Terriers 137
4 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 153
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 160
6 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 182
7 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 184
8 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 228
9 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 232
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels A 5 3 8 3 5 2 9 4 9 48 Emilia Clementi '18
Elaina Lambright '19
Brown University Brown University Bears A 13 5 11 4 1 12 2 6 1 55 Charlie Blasberg '18
Eric Xiao '17
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 8 18 6 10 2 9 1 3 10 67 Zachary Vickerson '16
Danielle Stonely '17
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears A 7 14 7 8 8 3 10 1 12 70 Jack Fullerton '19 [1-4]
Alexander Vasiliou '18 [5-9]
Eve Allen '19 [1-4]
Jake Griffin '18 [5-9]
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 3 12 2 13 12 8 5 11 4 70 Emily Croteau '19
Hannah Davis '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 14 2 13 5 9 6 6 2 14 71 Christopher Keller '19
Taylor Hart '19
Brown University Brown University Bears B 2 17 14 6 4 5 13 7 6 74 Meredith Morran '19
Lauren Haller '18
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears B 9 7 18 17 6 1 12 5 8 83 Chester Jacobs '17
Isabelle Austin-Green '19
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels B 16 4 17 11 11 4 7 15 2 87 Rebecca Quirke '17
Hannah King '19
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks A 15 11 1 12 7 7 14 16 5 88 Preston Duclos '19
Virginia Yeatts '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 12 8 3 2 10 13 17 9 15 89 Pierre Dupont '16
Margaret Veltri '20
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 6 1 10 14 13 DNF 16 8 3 90 Frank Reeg '19 [1-4, 7-9]
George Luber '17 [5-6]
George Luber '17 [1-2, 7-9]
Ryan Novak-Smith '17 [3-6]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 1 16 16 1 14 10 15 12 7 92 Jeffrey Adam '18 [1-4, 7-9]
Braden Foster '19 [5-6]
Braden Foster '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Christopher Mannka '17 [3-6, 9]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks B 10 15 9 7 17 11 3 13 11 96 Ed Lebens '19 [1-4]
Daniel Petrovic '19 [5-9]
Peter Forsberg '19 [1-4]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams A 11 9 4 16 3 14 11 17 18 103 Karel Mailloux-Kuz '18
Fraser Mackechnie '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 4 13 15 15 16 15 4 14 17 113 Stephen Fletcher '17
Abigail Duclos '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 17 10 12 18 15 16 8 10 13 119 Matteo Alampi '17
Fanny Nordlund '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams B 18 6 5 9 18 17 18 18 16 125 Benton Croop '18
Ian Nannig '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (56 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers111111111
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears222222222
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears333333333
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels444444444
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers555555555
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies666666666
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams999999999
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks777777777
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos888888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers101010101010101010
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears111111111111111111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears121212121212121212
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels131313131313131313
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers141414141414141414
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies151515151515151515
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams181818181818181818
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks161616161616161616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos171717171717171717

Conditions — 03/26/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1028.0 hPa

Temperature

41°F
↑ 44°F   ↓ 35°F
Feels like 33°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.1 kn
avg  ·  max 10.2 kn
Gusts to 21.4 kn
From NE (47°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover73% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1028.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Boston University: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.49 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (56 labelled days at Boston University).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →