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Great Herring Pond Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 19 19 38
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 25 22 47
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 28 22 50
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 28 27 55
5 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 30 43 73
6 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 44 35 79
7 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 55 60 115
8 Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 59 62 121
9 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 86 78 164
10 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 88 88 176
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 3 4 5 1 1 1 2 19 Grace Vincens '20
Caroline Mcneil '22
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 6 5 2 1 4 2 2 3 25 George Sidamon-Eristoff '22 [1-5]
Ryutaro Sochi '22 [6-8]
Margaret Veltri '20 [1-5]
Mallory Hood '22 [6-8]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 1 2 7 4 3 3 3 5 28 Elena Gonick '20 [1-8]
Kelsey Foster '20 [1-5]
Vinicius Freitas '22 [6-8]
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 4 1 3 2 5 4 6 28 Jed Bell '23 [1-4]
Emma Montgomery '22 [5-8]
Catherine Mcclenahan '21 [1-4]
Brian Kirz '22 [5-8]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 4 6 3 2 5 4 5 1 30 Braden Foster '19
Megan Laurie '20
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 5 1 8 6 7 7 6 4 44 Auguste Pizzano '21
William Tagliamonte '21
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 7 7 5 7 6 8 7 8 55 Isabel Rombult '19
Page Veaze '20
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 8 8 6 8 8 6 8 7 59 Andrew Reynolds '19 [1-8]
Victoria Kyle '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Jonah Raymond '22 [3-4]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 9 DNS DNS 86 Oliver Russell '21
Brady Orozco-Herman '21
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 88 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 4 3 6 1 1 2 1 19 Anthony Root '22
Zachary Steuer '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 2 3 2 1 4 3 4 3 22 Evan Robison '21 [1-8]
Delilah Roberts '21 [1-4]
Margo Muyres '22 [5-8]
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 1 1 5 2 5 3 2 22 Elizabeth Rolfes '21
Justin Chiang '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 4 5 6 2 3 2 1 4 27 Colin Ray '22 [1-4]
William Delong '22 [5-8]
Kristina Puzak '22 [1-4]
Hailey Mckelvie '22 [5-8]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 5 2 4 3 6 4 5 6 35 Maeve Glancy '21 [1-8]
Kaylee Mutch '22 [1-7]
Kennard Macvaugh '22 [8]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 6 6 5 4 5 6 6 5 43 Stephen Poirier '22
Rachael Mckeown '21
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 8 7 7 7 8 9 7 7 60 Abbey Rogers '21 [1-8]
Melanie Muzyka '19 [1-6]
Romana Hruby '20 [7-8]
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 7 8 8 8 7 7 9 8 62 Jesus Esgueva '21
Jack Eddy '21
Bates College Bates College Bobcats DNS DNS DNS DNS 9 8 8 9 78 Carter Goodell '19
Sarah Sigman '19
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 88 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats22446688
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears33557799
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 14466881010
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 25577991111
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks6688101022
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 17799111133
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 28810102244
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs9911113355
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1010224466
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards1111335577

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats33557799
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears4466881010
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 15577991111
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 26688101022
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks7799111133
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 18810102244
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 29911113355
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs1010224466
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1111335577
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards22446688

Conditions — 10/06/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1023.5 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.9 kn
avg  ·  max 5.6 kn
Gusts to 11.9 kn
From E (85°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1023.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 7 kn* · SW 8 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →