Massachusetts Maritime Academy '22
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.41 (fleet 1.94) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 15–3 (83%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 | 1 | 6–3 | — |
| Spring 2019 | 1 | 9–0 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (18 matches) the record is 15–3 against 12.4 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+2.6). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-03 | Herring Pond Team Race | skipper | 1.58 | 2.09 | 6–3 | 5.3 | +0.51 | 0.2 | 46% |
| 2019-03-30 | Herring Pond Team Race | skipper | 1.21 | 4.21 | 9–0 | 7.1 | ≥+3.00 | 3.3 | 8% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Herring Pond Team Race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 67% | — |
| Harbor Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 10 | 5.9 | — |
| Central Series March 27 | Skipper | A | 7 | 3.4 | 2.22 |
| College Sailing Regional Teams Nat'l Invitational | Skipper | A | 13 | 7.8 | 1.83 |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Nicholas Barnett Trophy | Skipper | A | 13 | 11.2 | 1.99 |
| New England Fall Tournament | Skipper | A | 6 | 1.8 | 2.65 |
| 2021 McMillan Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 5 | 4.4 | — |
| Lark Invite | Skipper | A | 6 | 10.3 | 2.27 |
| Callagy Ross Trophy | Skipper | A | 6 | 4.7 | 2.02 |
| 2021 Kennedy Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 6 | 4.7 | — |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Sister Esther Open | Skipper | B | 10 | 6.7 | 2.79 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 8 | 10.9 | 1.82 |
| NEISA Showcase Qualifier | Skipper | B | 14 | 10.4 | 1.78 |
| Hatch Brown Memorial Trophy | Skipper | C | 15 | 14.7 | 1.79 |
| George Warren Smith Trophy | Skipper | A | 11 | 14.8 | 0.91 |
| Callagy Ross Trophy | Skipper | A | 11 | 8.0 | 0.64 |
| The 79th Professor Erwin Schell Trophy | Skipper | B | 4 | 16.2 | 0.92 |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 11.2 | 1.65 |
| PRIDDY - Freshman Championship | Skipper | A | 6 | 4.3 | 2.11 |
| New England Dinghy Tournament | Skipper | B | 8 | 1.4 | 3.16 |
| NEISA Coed Championship | Skipper | B | 14 | 15.7 | 1.49 |
| Morris Trophy | Skipper | B | 3 | 7.3 | 1.36 |
| Herring Pond Team Race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 100% | — |
| Central Series #1 | Skipper | B | 5 | 3.4 | 2.46 |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 13 | 17.5 | 0.51 |
| Norman Reid Trophy | Skipper | A | 12 | 14.6 | 0.28 |
| Great Herring Pond Open | Skipper | B | 8 | 5.4 | 0.85 |
| George Warren Smith Trophy | Skipper | A | 12 | 13.1 | 1.78 |
| Callagy Ross Trophy | Skipper | B | 11 | 10.6 | -0.80 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
