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George Warren Smith Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 62 52 114
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 88 37 125
3 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 75 81 156
4 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 78 81 159
5 Boston College Boston College Eagles 97 78 175
6 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 105 95 200
7 Brown University Brown University Bears 116 89 205
8 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 100 113 213
9 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 128 104 232
10 Boston University Boston University Terriers 98 MRP 146 MRP 244 MRP
11 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 111 143 254
12 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 117 144 261
13 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 101 185 286
14 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 158 145 303
15 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 1 129 MRP 190 MRP 319 MRP
16 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 222 122 344
17 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 212 MRP 146 MRP 358 MRP
18 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 157 204 361
19 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 188 187 375
20 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 252 252 504
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 14 8 4 4 2 1 8 12 1 5 2 1 62 Samuel Merson '22
Emily Calandrella '20
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 13 11 3 3 5 7 11 4 2 3 5 8 75 Peter Neal '20
Jack Lugliani '22
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 12 5 17 7 3 8 1 3 3 13 1 5 78 Jan Kite-Powell '19
Rowan Henke '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 5 1 1 5 10 2 7 10 5 17 12 13 88 Ansgar Jordan '22 [1-12]
Mo Liu '22 [1-6]
Jessica Friedman '22 [7-12]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 8 2 15 10 13 5 5 8 14 2 8 7 97 Colin Brego '20 [1-6]
Scott Rasmussen '20 [7-12]
Mikayla Mathieu '22 [1-6]
Katharine Bowman '20 [7-12]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 6 5 12 1 4 9 7 13 4 9 4 98 MRP Collin Alexander '20
Liam Dwyer '21
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 6 17 11 13 6 6 3 6 12 1 13 6 100 Preston Duclos '19
Gabriel Dibiase-Demoreta '22
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 4 6 2 8 11 15 13 11 18 10 2 101 Parker Colantuono '22 [1-6]
Kylie Castellano '21 [7-12]
Mackenzie Fraser '23 [1-6]
Cecilia Schneider '20 [7-12]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 3 10 2 1 DSQ 3 13 11 10 14 14 3 105 Francis Doyle '22 [1-10]
Catherine Kerner '20 [11-12]
Gayatri Balasubramanian '21 [1-10]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 9 12 12 9 11 14 6 1 9 10 6 12 111 Nicholas Marwell '21
Catherine Mollerus '21
Brown University Brown University Bears 16 13 16 8 7 13 2 2 4 19 7 9 116 John Mastrandrea '20 [1-12]
Davis Tantillo '19 [1-6]
Sawyer Balint '20 [7-12]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 7 14 6 12 16 12 15 7 7 4 15 117 Grace Vincens '20
Jennifer Ryan '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 15 16 8 14 14 12 14 5 8 8 3 11 128 Kyle Riggs '21
Jon Ewing '21
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 1 11 3 7 11 4 10 4 9 15 9 16 10 129 MRP Mott Blair '22
Owen White '22
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 7 9 10 17 16 15 10 16 16 16 11 14 157 Stephen Poirier '22
Maya Stephani '20
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 17 14 18 18 9 9 16 14 6 6 15 16 158 Jeremy Mcculloch '22 [1-12]
Michelle He '22 [1-3]
Mai Nguyen '22 [4-12]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 10 18 13 16 15 17 18 18 18 11 17 17 188 Anna Spiro '21
Allie White '21
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 19 15 9 15 17 18 17 17 17 12 18 18 212 MRP Corinne Poitras '20
August Campbell '22
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 18 19 19 19 18 19 19 19 19 15 19 19 222 Alexander Kostas '21 [1-4]
Marissa Walsh '21 [5-12]
Rachael Krawiecki '21 [1-4]
Peter Lillys '20 [5-12]
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 252 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 2 4 1 5 7 3 6 1 1 1 5 1 37 Alex Fasolo '22
Jacob Whitney '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 12 2 2 1 2 1 12 2 3 4 6 5 52 Charlie Hibben '22
Sabina Van Mell '19
Boston College Boston College Eagles 3 1 3 10 1 6 5 11 15 8 8 7 78 Robert Hunter '22 [1-12]
Laura Ferraris '22 [1-3, 7-9]
Caroline Rochford '19 [4-6, 10-12]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 4 3 5 4 4 4 18 3 5 10 10 11 81 Cameron Nash '21
Gabrielle Myers '21
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 6 9 4 2 8 2 2 5 9 14 14 6 81 John Walton '22
Darcy Lavoie '21
Brown University Brown University Bears 13 5 9 3 11 5 11 7 11 11 1 2 89 Jed Bell '23
Madeleine Montagner '22
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 5 6 17 12 DNF 13 1 6 6 2 2 4 95 Eric Hansen '23
Katherine Barkin '22
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 7 16 6 15 3 8 10 13 8 7 3 8 104 Caleb Niles '22
Julia Zaleski '21
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 9 10 7 7 16 12 7 10 17 6 9 3 113 Jackson Connell '22
Jaqueline Frode '22
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 11 17 16 13 5 10 3 8 2 17 7 13 122 Nicholas Memoli '20 [1-12]
Annamarie Bugosh '22 [1-6]
Alyson Schwerdtfeger '19 [7-12]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 14 13 14 6 10 7 13 14 7 18 15 12 143 Martin Tipton '21 [1-12]
Helena Ware '23 [1-6]
Emery Wallace '21 [7-12]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 16 14 8 18 6 11 9 12 12 3 19 16 144 Lucie Ford '20
Zachary Steuer '21
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 10 12 13 9 12 16 14 18 4 16 4 17 145 Elizabeth Obermaier '21
Maile Jim '22
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 1 8 11 16 9 15 8 4 14 15 11 14 146 MRP Elijah Gass '21
Henry Adams '22
Boston University Boston University Terriers 8 11 10 14 14 9 4 17 13 5 12 9 146 MRP Raymond Groble Iv '21
Honore Matteson '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 17 15 15 8 18 14 19 19 19 9 17 15 185 Megan Gimple '22 [1-6]
Peter Gunn '20 [7-12]
Taylor Borges '22 [1-6]
Mackenzie Fraser '23 [7-12]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 18 19 19 17 13 17 15 16 18 12 13 10 187 Hanna Mass '21
Mollie Ockene '21
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 1 15 7 12 11 17 18 17 15 10 13 16 19 190 MRP Olivia Mitchell '22
Jack Frazier '21
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 19 18 18 19 15 19 16 9 16 19 18 18 204 Tucker Braun '22
Olivia Benoit '22
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 252 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons111222333444
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles222111202020191919
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers333444555666
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears444333222111
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson555666777888
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 1666555444333
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 2777888999101010
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen171717181818191919202020
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers999101010111111121212
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers101010999888777
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers888777666555
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies111111121212131313141414
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams181818171717161616151515
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1121212111111101010999
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2131313141414151515161616
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks141414131313121212111111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1151515161616171717181818
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2161616151515141414131313
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts191919202020111222
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs202020191919181818171717

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons111222333444
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles222111202020191919
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers333444555666
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears444333222111
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson555666777888
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 1666555444333
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 2777888999101010
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen171717181818191919202020
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers999101010111111121212
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers101010999888777
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers888777666555
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies111111121212131313141414
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams181818171717161616151515
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1121212111111101010999
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2131313141414151515161616
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks141414131313121212111111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1151515161616171717181818
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2161616151515141414131313
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts191919202020111222
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs202020191919181818171717
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bentley University Bentley University Alexander Kostas '21 [1-4]
Marissa Walsh '21 [5-12]		 Rachael Krawiecki '21 [1-4]
Peter Lillys '20 [5-12]
Falcons Nicholas Memoli '20 [1-12] Annamarie Bugosh '22 [1-6]
Alyson Schwerdtfeger '19 [7-12]
Boston College Boston College Colin Brego '20 [1-6]
Scott Rasmussen '20 [7-12]		 Mikayla Mathieu '22 [1-6]
Katharine Bowman '20 [7-12]
Eagles Robert Hunter '22 [1-12] Laura Ferraris '22 [1-3, 7-9]
Caroline Rochford '19 [4-6, 10-12]
Boston University Boston University Collin Alexander '20 Liam Dwyer '21
Terriers Raymond Groble Iv '21 Honore Matteson '21
Brown University Brown University John Mastrandrea '20 [1-12] Davis Tantillo '19 [1-6]
Sawyer Balint '20 [7-12]
Bears Jed Bell '23 Madeleine Montagner '22
Harvard University Harvard University Francis Doyle '22 [1-10]
Catherine Kerner '20 [11-12]		 Gayatri Balasubramanian '21 [1-10]
Crimson Eric Hansen '23 Katherine Barkin '22
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mott Blair '22 Owen White '22
Mariners 1 Olivia Mitchell '22 Jack Frazier '21
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Corinne Poitras '20 August Campbell '22
Mariners 2 Elijah Gass '21 Henry Adams '22
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Jeremy Mcculloch '22 [1-12] Michelle He '22 [1-3]
Mai Nguyen '22 [4-12]
Engineers Elizabeth Obermaier '21 Maile Jim '22
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Stephen Poirier '22 Maya Stephani '20
Buccaneers Tucker Braun '22 Olivia Benoit '22
Middlebury College Middlebury College Anna Spiro '21 Allie White '21
Panthers Hanna Mass '21 Mollie Ockene '21
Northeastern University Northeastern University Kyle Riggs '21 Jon Ewing '21
Huskies Caleb Niles '22 Julia Zaleski '21
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Preston Duclos '19 Gabriel Dibiase-Demoreta '22
Hawks 1 Jackson Connell '22 Jaqueline Frode '22
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Peter Neal '20 Jack Lugliani '22
Hawks 2 John Walton '22 Darcy Lavoie '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Grace Vincens '20 Jennifer Ryan '19
Seahawks Lucie Ford '20 Zachary Steuer '21
Tufts University Tufts University Samuel Merson '22 Emily Calandrella '20
Jumbos 1 Charlie Hibben '22 Sabina Van Mell '19
Tufts University Tufts University Ansgar Jordan '22 [1-12] Mo Liu '22 [1-6]
Jessica Friedman '22 [7-12]
Jumbos 2 Alex Fasolo '22 Jacob Whitney '21
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst No Show No Show
Minutemen No Show No Show
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Parker Colantuono '22 [1-6]
Kylie Castellano '21 [7-12]		 Mackenzie Fraser '23 [1-6]
Cecilia Schneider '20 [7-12]
Rams Megan Gimple '22 [1-6]
Peter Gunn '20 [7-12]		 Taylor Borges '22 [1-6]
Mackenzie Fraser '23 [7-12]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Jan Kite-Powell '19 Rowan Henke '21
Catamounts Cameron Nash '21 Gabrielle Myers '21
Yale University Yale University Nicholas Marwell '21 Catherine Mollerus '21
Bulldogs Martin Tipton '21 [1-12] Helena Ware '23 [1-6]
Emery Wallace '21 [7-12]

Conditions — 09/29/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1020.4 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 6.9 kn
Gusts to 14.0 kn
From WNW (298°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover35% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1020.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn · W 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at MIT: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.07 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.13
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.19 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at MIT by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (112 labelled days at MIT).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →